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We’ve officially launched our new NEC Index.
✅ No paywall (FREE)
✅ 327 teams ranked
✅ Updated every matchday
Named after 🇳🇱 NEC Nijmegen — one of the most enjoyable, attack-driven teams in Europe — this rating measures a team’s true offensive identity and scoring environment.
NEC blends:
• Shot volume
• Goal production
• High-total match tendencies
• Real betting performance (Over & team total history)
Find teams for FREE —-> datagaffer.com
Some interesting manager vs manager insight 🔎
🇮🇹 De Zerbi came up against 🇫🇷 Pierre Sage three times at Marseille
Lyon 2–3 Marseille
Lens 2–1 Marseille
Marseille 3–1 Lens
3 meetings. BTTS + Over 2.5 in all three. An average of 4 goals per game.
Saturday’s most valuable play for every match. Gold indicates a DG Elite Edge.
Odds were recorded late Friday. Good luck! 🍀
If you’ve been following the 🇩🇪 2. Bundesliga this season, this won’t come as a surprise.
It has recorded its lowest scoring month in our data going back to 2023.
The last two weeks averaged just 2.33 goals per match, with over 2.5 hitting in only 33%. Unusual for a league known for goals.
Surely we’ll see a return to its usual scoring levels soon, unless we’re witnessing the reverse of what’s happening in Serie A.
Our simulator is backing 🇳🇴 Bodo Glimt against Viking in today’s massive six-pointer.
Bodo are coming off a rare finishing collapse against Valerenga, creating 2.90 xG without scoring.
The two comparable underperformances dating back to October 5, 2025:
▸ 2.72 xG in a 1-0 loss to Molde. They scored three against Brann in their next cup match and five against Tromso in their next league match.
▸ Underperformed their xG by 2.90 against Haugesund. They followed that by beating Sarpsborg 5-2.
Today’s match is about far more than data, but these performances are rare for Bodo. When they happen, they tend to respond emphatically.
These are the 100% betting trends still active this season (domestic league only).
Keep an eye on these teams this weekend.
Some interesting H2H insights today
🇩🇰 Midtjylland and Odense have seen BTTS hit in all 11 of their last 11 meetings, averaging 4.09 goals per match.
All 5 matches with a projected total of 4+ goals hit over 3.5! ⚽️
✅ Miami 2-2 Cincinnati
✅ Bayern 6-1 Magdeburg
✅ Leverkusen 5-2 Nurnberg
✅ Chicago 2-2 Orlando
✅ St. Louis 2-3 Portland
🇺🇸 Inter Miami vs Cincinnati has the third highest BTTS projection we’ve had this season at 84.4%.
It’s also just the fifth match in our archive with both a 90+ Pace Score (96.4) and an 80+ Efficiency Score (85.6).
The previous four all hit BTTS with an avg of 4.00 goals. 👀
Today’s playstyle trends 📈
🇳🇴 Kristiansund has seen BTTS land in all 7 matches they’ve played against low-possession teams.
Their opponent today, Aalesund, is a low-possession team. 👀
Updated Pace Rankings 📈📉
🇮🇹 Frosinone move into first place after their 4-4 draw with Atalanta, recording the highest Pace Rating we’ve seen this season at 0.98.
Pace measures game openness and combined attacking creation, not just one team’s output.
Our Pace Rating is contextual. It doesn’t rely solely on raw statistics; it also accounts for the league.
Pace measures game openness and combined attacking creation, not just one team’s output.
Our Pace Rating also accounts for league environment. Frosinone’s raw statistics may not match prime NEC’s, but producing those numbers in Serie A carries more weight.
The idea is that if Frosinone played in a naturally higher Pace league like the Eredivisie, their raw numbers would likely be even stronger.
🇫🇷 PSG face Lyon today, who rank in the 75th percentile or higher in our Offensive Efficiency Rating.
PSG have faced eight teams in that percentile this season. BTTS and over 2.5 goals hit in all eight.
The same combination has also hit in each of their last six H2H meetings.
✅8/8 vs high efficiency attacks
✅6/6 in recent H2Hs
Just an interesting trend we spotted. It could end today so be careful, nothing is guaranteed in gambling.
Find the ratings for free DataGaffer.com
This week saw two Getafe matches go over 3.5 goals and two PSV games go under 2.5.
This weekend in particular is just so weird. It’s like all the top attacking teams decided collectively to be shit. At least NEC is back though.
Today’s most valuable play for every match. Gold indicates a DG Elite Edge.
*Odds were recorded late Saturday when today’s slate was updated and may have changed since.
🍀🇩🇪 Augsburg vs Union Berlin has the largest Luck Rating gap we’ve ever recorded.
Augsburg: +1.66, ranked 8th of 449
Union Berlin: -1.71, ranked 449th
The closest matchups in our archive:
Dordrecht, 396th vs Almere City, 4th
Result: Dordrecht won 3-2
Monza, 433rd vs Cagliari, 12th
Result: Monza won 4-0
Interestingly, the lower rated team won both matches, but neither gap compares to today’s.
⛳️ Today’s top projected corners after 10,000 simulations
100 match slate today!😍
DataGaffer.com























