DataGaffer

Some interesting manager vs manager insight 🔎 🇮🇹 De Zerbi came up against 🇫🇷 Pierre Sage three times at Marseille Lyon 2–3 Marseille
Lens 2–1 Marseille
Marseille 3–1 Lens 3 meetings. BTTS + Over 2.5 in all three. An average of 4 goals per game.

⛳️ Today’s top projected corners after 10,000 simulations

Saturday’s most valuable play for every match. Gold indicates a DG Elite Edge. Odds were recorded late Friday. Good luck! 🍀

If you’ve been following the 🇩🇪 2. Bundesliga this season, this won’t come as a surprise. It has recorded its lowest scoring month in our data going back to 2023. The last two weeks averaged just 2.33 goals per match, with over 2.5 hitting in only 33%. Unusual for a league known for goals. Surely we’ll see a return to its usual scoring levels soon, unless we’re witnessing the reverse of what’s happening in Serie A.

Our simulator is backing 🇳🇴 Bodo Glimt against Viking in today’s massive six-pointer. Bodo are coming off a rare finishing collapse against Valerenga, creating 2.90 xG without scoring. The two comparable underperformances dating back to October 5, 2025: ▸ 2.72 xG in a 1-0 loss to Molde. They scored three against Brann in their next cup match and five against Tromso in their next league match. ▸ Underperformed their xG by 2.90 against Haugesund. They followed that by beating Sarpsborg 5-2. Today’s match is about far more than data, but these performances are rare for Bodo. When they happen, they tend to respond emphatically.

These are the 100% betting trends still active this season (domestic league only). Keep an eye on these teams this weekend.

Some interesting H2H insights today 🇩🇰 Midtjylland and Odense have seen BTTS hit in all 11 of their last 11 meetings, averaging 4.09 goals per match.

🇺🇸 Inter Miami vs Cincinnati has the third highest BTTS projection we’ve had this season at 84.4%. It’s also just the fifth match in our archive with both a 90+ Pace Score (96.4) and an 80+ Efficiency Score (85.6). The previous four all hit BTTS with an avg of 4.00 goals. 👀

Today’s playstyle trends 📈 🇳🇴 Kristiansund has seen BTTS land in all 7 matches they’ve played against low-possession teams. Their opponent today, Aalesund, is a low-possession team. 👀

Today’s top projected goals after 10,000 simulations

Pace measures game openness and combined attacking creation, not just one team’s output. Our Pace Rating is contextual. It doesn’t rely solely on raw statistics; it also accounts for the league. Pace measures game openness and combined attacking creation, not just one team’s output. Our Pace Rating also accounts for league environment. Frosinone’s raw statistics may not match prime NEC’s, but producing those numbers in Serie A carries more weight. The idea is that if Frosinone played in a naturally higher Pace league like the Eredivisie, their raw numbers would likely be even stronger.