podcasting @PricedInpod, Defi tech BD/Growth, Ex Founder @RevalonFinance, Prev: @buildnexio, @Wise3Ventures fan @nillion & Also prev build @w3cg_labs, @dao_nad

Joined September 2021
Replying to @PricedInpod
@PricedInpod Episode 3 is coming. everyone’s watching Polymarket and Kalshi. @lmc_security is building for what comes after. social-native prediction markets. creators pricing niche events for their own communities, permissionless, across every jurisdiction. that’s where he sees the next billion-dollar market heading. full conversation with @kash_bot CEO, dropping soon.
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“a sportsbook takes the other side of your bet. prediction markets don’t.” that single distinction is why the gambling label doesn’t hold up. good read.
Yes, a bet and a trade often look similar. But how they work is fundamentally different. A sportsbook sets the odds and takes the other side of your bet. Prediction markets are markets, where buyers and sellers compete to discover and produce efficient prices and enable important public benefits. What the market is about can change, but the structure doesn't. My op-ed on prediction markets and regulation:
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new paper came out on the accuracy of prediction markets tldr, they are very accurate
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we're coming.
Guys, new pod eps w @Polymarket proven GW & PnL traders + @xomarket. Crazy pred mkt content incoming. Best fcking pod.
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🎙️Why 10x leverage on prediction markets actually matters. Great conversation with @SteveFlanders22, Founder & CEO of @Lattica Prediction markets did $60B+ in 2025 and now clear billions weekly yet almost all of it still runs at 1x. Capital sits locked in outcome tokens, idle and un-levered. Why Lattica: → Borrow against your prediction-market positions → Trade outcomes with up to 10x leverage → Supply USDC and earn from leverage demand no directional bet required The thesis is simple: prediction markets have the volume, now they need the credit layer. Leverage turns a sitting position into working capital. Full episode dropping soon 👇
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when someone says prediction markes are just gambling
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Guys, new pod eps w @Polymarket proven GW & PnL traders + @xomarket. Crazy pred mkt content incoming. Best fcking pod.
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everyone building prediction market leverage asked “how do we liquidate fast enough?” Stefan asked a different question: what if you never liquidate at all? turns out these positions don’t move like derivatives. they move like insurance. so he priced them like an actuary, not a trader. charge the expected loss upfront as a premium. the risk is covered before the trade even opens. one position going to zero doesn’t touch the pool. this is the clip that reframed how I think about the entire space.
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Orr bolo ab hogye na fielding set @Polymarket
yeh log hamare india k bare mai bhala bura kehte the dekho modizi ne inka kya haal krdiya 🥀
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Arg vs PMs applies to all tech ever built. AI misused constantly; we & China still race to win via reg, not shutdown. PMs no different: proper laws & guardrails, not a ban.
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Talking about my fav topic from my fav coffee shop
the “prediction markets are just gambling” take is lazy. every new technology hits a moment where misuse shows up. the answer is guardrails, not a shutdown. we’re repeating the same mistake we’ve made with AI and every tech before it. shutting it down doesn’t protect anyone. it just holds the country back. @vanishree_rao breaking it down on @PricedInpod.
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the “prediction markets are just gambling” take is lazy. every new technology hits a moment where misuse shows up. the answer is guardrails, not a shutdown. we’re repeating the same mistake we’ve made with AI and every tech before it. shutting it down doesn’t protect anyone. it just holds the country back. @vanishree_rao breaking it down on @PricedInpod.
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Who’s betting YES? Insider or pussy.
Smart money moved fast on the Kim Jong Un rumors. As the odds of him leaving power before 2027 spiked, four well-known Polymarket traders bought No: @DropperPM, @elm_cap, @CarOnPolymarket, @debased_PM All four positions are now in profit.
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I personally know these cases, so many haven’t been registered. I know of worse cases.
Crypto Exchange Kalesh irl😭🙏
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why prediction markets have no real leverage, explained in one line: a position can go from 99 to zero in half a second. you can’t liquidate that. you can’t underwrite against it. every lending model in DeFi assumes prices move smoothly, and these don’t. @SteveFlanders22 from @Lattica on how he solved it after 8 months: stop trying to liquidate, price the risk upfront instead. new on @PricedInpod.
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gm pm traders @PricedInpod szn loading 🎙️ keep your eyes peeled, something cool is coming.
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GM☀️ 1x is over. Leverage is coming to prediction markets. Great one with @SteveFlanders22 of @Lattica Episodes dropping. Stay tuned.
🎙️Why 10x leverage on prediction markets actually matters. Great conversation with @SteveFlanders22, Founder & CEO of @Lattica Prediction markets did $60B+ in 2025 and now clear billions weekly yet almost all of it still runs at 1x. Capital sits locked in outcome tokens, idle and un-levered. Why Lattica: → Borrow against your prediction-market positions → Trade outcomes with up to 10x leverage → Supply USDC and earn from leverage demand no directional bet required The thesis is simple: prediction markets have the volume, now they need the credit layer. Leverage turns a sitting position into working capital. Full episode dropping soon 👇
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it's always a pleasure to chat with people who think deeply about prediction markets, and @hardikthecoder definitely qualifies
🎙️Why 10x leverage on prediction markets actually matters. Great conversation with @SteveFlanders22, Founder & CEO of @Lattica Prediction markets did $60B+ in 2025 and now clear billions weekly yet almost all of it still runs at 1x. Capital sits locked in outcome tokens, idle and un-levered. Why Lattica: → Borrow against your prediction-market positions → Trade outcomes with up to 10x leverage → Supply USDC and earn from leverage demand no directional bet required The thesis is simple: prediction markets have the volume, now they need the credit layer. Leverage turns a sitting position into working capital. Full episode dropping soon 👇
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🎙️Why 10x leverage on prediction markets actually matters. Great conversation with @SteveFlanders22, Founder & CEO of @Lattica Prediction markets did $60B+ in 2025 and now clear billions weekly yet almost all of it still runs at 1x. Capital sits locked in outcome tokens, idle and un-levered. Why Lattica: → Borrow against your prediction-market positions → Trade outcomes with up to 10x leverage → Supply USDC and earn from leverage demand no directional bet required The thesis is simple: prediction markets have the volume, now they need the credit layer. Leverage turns a sitting position into working capital. Full episode dropping soon 👇
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good one
hot take 50 real users will do more for your project than 50k discord members 50k can say gm, 50 actually use the thing
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