Trying to help. Am often wrong, sometimes right! Stocks & Markets. Please DYOR. My views. Onion peeler at heart

Here&There
Joined January 2015
Every country maximises their domestic energy supply to ensure continuity of supply except one. @andyburnham @JohnHealey_MP @Miatsf @jreynoldsMP need to do what they must know is intuitively right (for the climate as cleaner, for the economy as more tax, for prices as gas is a local market and for oil as more supply) and stop playing politics. It’s an absolutely extraordinary act of self harm. If @Miatsf thinks holding a talk in with Martin Lewis is action we are utterly doomed. Explain to the public the need for security, that the North Sea is carbon friendlier than imports and do what is correct for the country P.S the moron premium which is there because of this kind of inaction would rally as our energy policy would immediately become less moronic!
Houthi rebels have seized control of Yemen’s entire Red Sea coast, giving them effective control of a key shipping corridor. Find out how this could give Iran, their backer, a critical advantage in its war with the US 👇 telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2…
1
1
2
1,263
This fails the simplest of sniff tests Europe has the same (broadly) gas price but our bills are miles higher so it’s not gas it’s the intermittent subsidies and transmission costs
5
416
Define naughty step? @JeremyWarnerUK Gilts premium to US 10 year pretty close to peak which was 45 Fact that France is now the focus does not mean to say we are off the naught step. Moron premium exists What do I not understand @Frencheconomics It’s a thing as @faisalislam also wrote UK gilts better - but they are not!
2
404
When you say the UK debt is off the naughty step what do you mean? The cost of 10 year gilts is 30bhps higher than the US and close to highs….
1
434
Agreed. Miliband has lost the argument, but we have paid a heavy price in the interim. Labour’s entire position on oil and gas since February 2022 has been a complete catastrophe for the country. It warped the public’s understanding of the energy crisis and created the false impression that moving away from hydrocarbons was a simple substitution, and that we therefore no longer needed to take domestic production as seriously. It was as damaging, in intellectual terms, as the Conservatives entering the financial crisis with a socio-centric worldview built for an era in which prosperity was assumed to be secure. What Britain needed after 2008 was a renewed focus on productivity, investment and wealth creation. Instead, too much of the political class carried on as though the old New Labour economic settlement still worked and needed a few tweaks.
“We’ve been fighting a battle for a long time about whether it makes sense to use our own resources or make ourselves dependent on imports from around the world… Miliband and others have categorically lost that argument.” Our Head of Policy, @HarryWilkinsonn, reflects on the political significance of the announcement to allow production from the Jackdaw gas field.
2
29
2
88
2,522
Got to love Twitter I question this clown and he blocks me Profit is after tax. So take the profit number divide by the tax rate of 78% is the gross number. Take off the profit he quotes and you get the tax they pay The 27 staff are the staff operating the rig at any one time - ignores all the upstream and downstream point And he does not understand how capital allowances work. They are not a subsidy
8
446
Replying to @jennykleeman
@jennykleeman I watched you on @SkyNews this evening and I'm afraid your knowledge about gas markets is simply incorrect I recommend you read my recent report which explains from first principles how gas prices are set It's also very simple to see that gas prices are not global by looking up the gas price in different places Henry Hub is the main US benchmark JKM is the Asian benchmark TTF is the main European benchmark NBP is the UK benchmark CME gives all their prices in $/mmbtu ie the same currency and units for easy comparison The URLs are here... Henry Hub cmegroup.com/markets/energy/… JKM cmegroup.com/markets/energy/… TTF cmegroup.com/markets/energy/… NBP cmegroup.com/markets/energy/… Also here is the link to my report watt-logic.com/wp-content/up…
20
148
7
468
6,397
Every Labour MP should read this. Once and then twice @AdrianRamsay @UKLabour They have been duped by mad Ed And then read the DESNZ’s own paper which says even if we hit all targets we need oil and gas for decades
🧾The "Bill that Policy Made" Megathread 🧾 For a while I've wanted to put something together to clearly show that your bill is high because of policy choices. Not gas shocks. Not Iran, and not Ukraine. Thread🧵and video📽️
2
7
665
Don is either very stupid or a massive hypocrite; perhaps both
I can't begin to explain how angry this makes me. My son is 12 — he will live with the consequences. This is nothing more than an appeasement to Trump. Burnham has destroyed the government's commitment to tackling the climate disaster. 🤬
1
4
449
Anyone else notice the change here….she is now admitting that importing hydrocarbons is worse for the environment The rest of the drivel is obfuscation Tick Tock the Hypocrite 👇
Government support for drilling at #Jackdaw takes a wrecking ball to any pretence of UK climate leadership & pours fuel on an overheating world - and for what? It’s equivalent to just 2 months of UK gas demand, creates just 27 direct jobs & has *no* impact on energy bills🧵1/4
1
2
546
Our Andy says it’s just not fair that US gas is so much cheaper than UK gas. Not fair at all…… FFS
🚨 WATCH: Andy Burnham says he has an idea to ban VAR in Labour's next election manifesto "You'd accept it if it got decisions right, but it doesn't get decisions right"
4
532
The gilt moron premium to widen….he is the PM FFS
The most pointless PM of all time.
3
364
Here&There retweeted
He is putting satirists out of work. I'm just not sure how to come up with something better to demonstrate how unsuitable he is for the moment. A policy that you should be able to choose the toy in your Happy Meal rather than putting it down to chance?
🚨 WATCH: Andy Burnham says he has an idea to ban VAR in Labour's next election manifesto "You'd accept it if it got decisions right, but it doesn't get decisions right"
55
168
3
1,624
45,051
This isa must have read from @LoftusSteve @Ed_Miliband @mgshanks and @Miatsf It’s time to tell us the whole story / picture Tick Tock 👇
Replying to @Ed_Miliband
@Ed_Miliband will never tell you the truth about this. He knows he’s lying and now we know he’s lying; so - he’s a liar.
1
597
You should read this 👇@Miatsf
Replying to @LoftusSteve
3️⃣ Your bill has four main parts. 🔹Wholesale: the power itself 🔹Network: getting it down the wires 🔹Policy: government schemes and taxes 🔹Supplier: their running costs Ofgem cram CfD, Carbon tax and Capacity market into wholesale. Of the £870, only £232 is electricity.
1
3
630
Spot on When is our Andy actually going to make a decision? North Sea, Heathrow, Benefit cuts? PM should stop being parochial and back Heathrow third runway thetimes.com/article/a6ba657…
2
431
Left and right Be a leader in AI have the highest energy prices in the world 👇
One-marshmallow government.
314
The one man economic wrecking ball that is @Ed_Miliband 👇 How and why do we let a Marxist loose in the henhouse! And why did our Andy remove him from @energygovuk to replace with someone as fanatical Make it make sense
FOOL BRITANNIA by @EdConwaySky While many countries face higher energy costs due to the events in the Middle East and Russia, few have seen quite as big a spike as Britain has. Industrial power costs are comfortably higher than in most developed nations, with domestic costs not far behind. To some extent, this is a function of bad luck and geopolitics. Britain is particularly dependent on natural gas to provide the critical baseload power for its electricity, not to mention much of its domestic heating. But higher energy costs are also the product of policy. Britain pushed faster and further towards net zero (the goal of diminishing carbon emissions to close to nothing in net terms) than most of its peers. The ambition, held by Labour and Conservative governments, was that the UK should be the global leader in decarbonisation – the flag-bearer for net zero. In one respect, the enterprise was a stunning success – Britain is one of the fastest-decarbonising major economies in the world. The main catch in – and the cardinal sin of – the make-things-cheap economy is how it affects energy bills. For all that Boris Johnson and Ed Miliband insisted (and as far as I can tell, sincerely believed) that renewables would mean lower costs, the opposite has happened. Unlike solar power, the cost of which fell precipitously as the Chinese mastered the mass production of arrays, wind power has remained comparatively expensive. And so Britain’s ambitious offshore wind programme happened largely thanks to a complex web of subsidies and price guarantees. Those interventions will lock in higher power costs in this country for years. There is a point – most likely a decade and a half in the future – at which the savings from net zero (less spent on gas and fuels) should outweigh the costs of building all the necessary infrastructure. But for the time being, the policy is expensive – nearly £30bn a year for the next five years, which is the equivalent of an extra 5p on the basic rate of income tax. One of the main reasons net zero is becoming so controversial (and will likely get more controversial) is that the majority of those costs end up on consumer bills. The other problem is that much of this decarbonisation was achieved through deindustrialisation. In the face of higher energy costs and rising environmental taxes, many manufacturers relocated overseas. Indeed, more than half of Britain’s carbon footprint is now accounted for by imported goods. Paradoxically, the more steel mills and chemicals plants shut down, the better the UK’s environmental credentials, since net zero plans ignore the embedded carbon in our imports and focus solely on what is puffed out of domestic flues and chimneys. Cover art by Doug Chayka
1
287
Given @Ed_Miliband has just lectured on the cost of capital he should understand this…..oh wait Fuck me how have we got to where we have got
A national heat pump rollout makes no sense, in fact it would be economic nonsense. Heat pumps don't work as advertised - they life expire one third of the way through their most optimistic payback period. It’s an expensive gimmick. And therefore this £3 Billion heat pump subsidy fund makes no sense - add in that it’s for better-off families (a middle-class subsidy) that can afford to spend around £8k after the grant on a new heating system that will (on the data) probably put their bills up - while 5 million people struggle to pay the energy bills they have now - and it’s also immoral. Sales this year are down nearly 25% for good reason. Labour should take back this mis applied funding pot and spend it on something useful. Likewise the half billion fund that gives £4k to people in the market for a new car (1% of the population in any given year) - to encourage them to buy electric. Middle-class subsidy, gives net zero a bad name. Oh and carbon capture - oil industry scam, shut that down and save £20 billion more….:) buff.ly/NnaZ30I
3
319