
OG political blogger. Predicted the 2007 collapse. Read: https://xitter.gq/t.co/2oa9MDzFwj , Support: https://xitter.gq/t.co/XRrXGbpjQm - @ianwelsh.bsky.social
@ianwelsh.bsky.social
Joined August 2008
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Ian Welsh retweeted
Can anyone actually beat Steam on PC?
According to Newzoo analyst Emmanuel Rosier, itโs pretty much impossible as long as Valve stays independent and privately owned.
โSteam is difficult to avoid,โ He points out that publishers have tried to leave Steam before, only to come back. โ10 or 20 years ago, the big publishers decided to have their own platform distribution on PC, and then they almost all went back to Steam.โ
EA and Ubisoft are clear examples, and even Blizzard now sells Overwatch on Steam.
Ian Welsh retweeted
Gaming community be like: my favorite billionaires are taxing 30% for publishing their game, how cute
Also gaming community: why are gaming studios going bankrupt
I feel the same. Why was the Kaiser's Germany so much worse than the Allies, all running big disgusting colonial empires of genocide & theft? Why did Canada need to fight in WW1 at all?
Ian Welsh retweeted
Forcing them to:
- Use an engine meant for 1st person shooters, not RPGs
- Force multiplayer features on single player games
- Trend chasing & forcing game mechanics or style not meant for their games
- Forcing live service/microtransactions
- canning multiple iterations
Ian Welsh retweeted
As more news about EAโs decision making around Bioware comes out, the more validated my comment on โFuck Private Equities and Big Publishersโ is.
Every Bioware failure goes back to โwe didn't want to do it, it wasn't our strength or creative choice, but EA made us do it.โ
Ian Welsh retweeted
Are hotels removing stuff from rooms? I investigated.
๐ช Doors: Yes. A lot of newer midprice and boutique hotels now use frosted glass, a sliding barn door, or a curtain. Some put the sink out in the room and the toilet behind glass. Hotels told the Wall Street Journal that doors are expensive and a maintenance headache. Sadie Lowell started a site called Bring Back Doors after a London hotel put her and her dad in a twin room with no bathroom door, and she's gotten about 800 submissions.
๐ Bathtubs: Yes, for about a decade now. In 2015, Marriott told owners of its Marriott Hotels to put walk-in showers in 75% of bathrooms, including every king room. By 2019, almost a quarter of US hotel rooms had no tub. A shower takes about 9 square feet vs. 13 for a tub, and it's faster to clean.
๐ช Desks: No. They tried, and they came back. Marriott pulled desks out of a lot of rooms in 2015, and guests complained right away. A year later, Marriott's new room design had a desk again, on wheels.
๐งน Daily housekeeping: Mostly yes. Hilton stopped cleaning most US rooms every day by default in 2021. In 2023, it brought daily cleaning back at its luxury, full-service, and lifestyle hotels, and most of its other US hotels went to every other day.
๐งด Little shampoo bottles: Yes. Marriott announced in 2019 that it would swap them for big pump bottles, getting rid of about 500 million small ones a year, and California banned them at hotels with more than 50 rooms in 2023.
๐ซ Minibars: Mostly yes. The Marriott Marquis in Times Square started pulling most of its minibars back in 2004. A lot of hotels now leave you an empty fridge and sell snacks in a market by the front desk.
๐ Bibles: Some. 95% of US hotels had a Bible or other religious book in the room in 2006, and 79% did in 2017. Marriott left them out of its Moxy and Edition hotels.
๐ฟ Microwaves: Mostly no. Nicer hotels never really had them in the room. Budget and extended-stay hotels still do, and Residence Inn and Homewood Suites still have kitchens. Some hotels in between have pulled them because of smells and fire risk and put one in the breakfast room instead.
The desks and the daily cleaning came back after guests complained, so I think doors have a shot. Tubs, I doubt. If you're sharing a room with a coworker or your parents, check the bathroom photos before you book.
Ian Welsh retweeted
Aรฑadir romero al freรญr disminuye significativamente la oxidaciรณn de los aceites, y podrรญa reducir hasta un 74% la formaciรณn de compuestos daรฑinos.
Ian Welsh retweeted
ๅป่ฅฟ้็ฌฌไธไบบๅฃๅคงๅฝๅฐผๆฅๅฉไบ็็ปๆต้ฆ้ฝๆๅๆฏ๏ผLagos๏ผ๏ผไฝ ไผ่ง่ฏๅฐไบบ็ฑปๅๅฒไธๆ็ฉ็้็ป็โๅฏไบบ้ ๅฒ่ฟๅจโ๏ผ
ๅ ไธบ่ๅๅบๆฒปๅฎๆททไนฑใๆฏๅคฉๅ็ตๅๅ ไธชๅฐๆถไธๆด้จๅฟ
ๆทน๏ผๅฐผๆฅๅฉไบ็็ณๆฒนๅฏ่ฑชใ้ถ่กๅฎถๅ่ทจๅฝ่ดขๅข๏ผๅนฒ่็ดๆฅๅจๅคง่ฅฟๆดๆตทๅฒธ็บฟๅคๆฝๆฒๅกซๆตท๏ผ่่ต่ถ
็พไบฟ็พๅ
ๅญ็ฉบ้ ๅบไบไธๅบง้ข็งฏ่พพ 10 ๅนณๆนๅ
ฌ้็็งๆๅ่ถ
็บงๅฏไบบๅ๏ผโ่พ็งๅคง่ฅฟๆดๅ๏ผEko Atlantic๏ผโ๏ผ
่ฟๅบงๅฏไบบๅฒๅคๅด็ญ่ตทไบ้ฟ่พพ 8.5 ๅ
ฌ้ใ้ซ่พพ 8 ็ฑณ็โๅฐผๆฅๅฉไบๆตทไธ้ฟๅโ้ฒๆณขๅ ค๏ผๅฒๅ
ๆฅๆๅฎๅ
จ่ฑ็ฆปๅฝๅฎถ็ ด็็ต็ฝ็ 24 ๅฐๆถ็ฌ็ซๅ็ตๅใ็ฌ็ซ็บฏๅๆฐดๅใๆญฆ่ฃ
็งไบบไฟๅฎๅๅซๆ้ไฟก็ฝ๏ผ็พๅฝ้ขไบ้ฆไน็ดๆฅ็ ธ้ฑๆฌ่ฟไบๅฒไธใ
่ๅฐฑๅจ่ท็ฆป่ฟๅบงๆฐดๆณฅไนๆ้ฆไธๅฐๅ ๅ
ฌ้็ๆๅๆฏๆณปๆน้ปๆฐด้๏ผๆฏๅฑ
ไฝ็่ฟ 30 ไธๅบๅฑ่ดซๆฐ็โ้ฉฌ็ง็งๆฐดไธ่ดซๆฐ็ช๏ผMakoko๏ผโใๅ ๅไธไบบไธ่พๅญไฝๅจ็จๆจๆกฉๆๅจ้ป่ฒ็ฒชๆฐด้็็ ดๆจๆฟๆฃ้๏ผๅบ้จๅ
จ้ ๅ็ฌๆจ่ใ
ๅฏไบบๅซ้ๅฐๅคช่๏ผๅฐฑ็ดๆฅๅจๅคงๆตท้็ป่ชๅทฑ้ ไบไธชๆฐๅฐ็ใ
Ian Welsh retweeted
Bolsonaro literally fled on a narco-traffickers plane ๐ฅฒ Between the pardon for Juan Orlando Hernandez in Honduras, refuge for Flรกvio from Brazil, and the close alliance with Ecuadorโs Noboa, the Trump admin is proving itself to be the true ally of narco-terror in the region.
Ian Welsh retweeted
Never forget, a 13-year study found that protected bike-lanes led to a drastic decline in fatalities for all road users.
ALL ROAD USERS.
What about painted bike-lanes? No safety improvement at all.
For sharrows, itโs actually safer to NOT have them.
Via @StreetsblogUSA @StreetsblogNYC
usa.streetsblog.org/2019/05/โฆ
Ian Welsh retweeted
China doesn't allow bubbles.
In August 2020, Beijing introduced the "three red lines" for developers:
โ๏ธ liabilities max. 70% of assets (excluding customer deposits from pre-sales)
โ๏ธnet debt max. 100% of equity
โ๏ธcash at least equal to short-term debt
The more lines a firm crosses, the less it can borrow. Annual growth of interest-bearing liabilities (loans and bonds):
๐ข no lines crossed: max. +15%โจ๐ก one: max. +10%โจ๐ two: max. +5%โจ๐ด three: 0%, no new debt
The result? Evergrande in default, Country Garden in trouble, prices falling since the 2020/21 peak. Not a chaotic crash, but a managed deleveraging of a sector that held a huge share of GDP and household wealth.
It hurt developers and speculators who believed prices would rise forever. It also hurt buyers who paid deposits for pre-sold apartments and are still waiting for completion. Those who are just looking for a home, though, see prices no longer running away from wages.
Meanwhile, capital is moving out of concrete and into other sectors.
And the West?
It lets the bubble inflate first, then bails out the "too big to fail," and once the elites are safe, lets it burst.
China deflates bubbles preemptively and drop by drop.
Is socialist #China really that diabolical?
๐ค Made with AI
Ian Welsh retweeted
์ง์ ํ ์ ๋ถ๋
๋ฒจ๊ธฐ์ ๊ท์กฑ ์ถ์ ์ผ๋ก, ๊ฐ์ฅ ๊ฐ๋ํ ๋๋ผ์์ ๋ด์ฌํ๊ธฐ์ํด ํ๊ตญ์ผ๋ก ์ด
๊ทธ ํ ์ ์ ๋ฐ๋ ํฌ์, ์ฅ์ ์ธ์ ์ํด ์ผํ์
จ๊ณ
2019๋
๋์๊ฐ์ฌ
share.google/dznobi98va07NZ8โฆ
Ian Welsh retweeted
์ด๋ฐ์ผ์ด ํ๊ตญ์์๋ ์์์
์์ธ์ ์ง๋
ํ ๊ฐ๋์
๋ฏธ๋๋ฅผ ๋ฏฟ์ ์ ์์ผ๋ ์ค๋ ๋จน๊ณ ์ค๋ ํ์์น์ฐ๋ฉฐ ๋น์ฅ์ ๊ตถ์ฃผ๋ฆผ์ ํด๊ฒฐํ๋๊ฑฐ
ํ ๋ฒจ๊ธฐ์ ์ฒ์ฃผ๊ต ์ฌ์ ๊ฐ 1959๋
ํ๊ตญ์ ๋์ฐฉํด์, ํ๊ตญ ์์์๋ ๋ง์ด ๊ฐ๋ํ ๋ง์์ ์ฐพ์๊ฐ์ ๋์์ฃผ๋ คํจ
๊ทธ ์ฌ์ ๋ ๋งค์ผ ๋ฐฐ๊ณ ํ ์ ๋๋ก ๊ฐ๋ํ ์ฌ๋๋ค์ด ๋ถ์ํด์, 3๋
๊ฐ ๊ฐ์ฒ์ง๋ฅผ ๋ง๋ค์ด์ ๋์ฌ์ง์ ๋
์ ๋ง๋ค์ด์ฃผ๊ณ ๋ ๋จ
ํ๊ตญ์ฌ๋๋ค์ด๋๊น ๋
์ ์ฃผ๋ฉด ๊ทธ ๋
์์ ๋ถ์ง๋ฐํ๊ฒ ์ผํด์ ์ฑ๊ณตํ์๊ฑฐ๊ฐ์์?
๊ทธ ์ฌ๋๋ค์ ๋๋ฌด ๊ฐ๋ํ์. ๊ฐ๋์์ ์ด์๋ณด๋ ค๊ณ ๊ณ ๋ฆฌ๋๊ธ์
์์๊ฒ ๋น์ง ์ฌ๋๋ค๋ ๋ง์๊ณ , ๋ฏธ๋๋ฅผ ํฌ๊ธฐํ๊ณ ๋๋ฐ์ ํ๋ ์ฌ๋๋ ๋ง์๊ณ , ๊ทธ๋ฅ ๋น์ฅ ๋จน๊ณ ์ด ๋์ด ์๋ ์ฌ๋๋ ๋ง์์
๊ทธ ์ฌ์ ๊ฐ ๋ ๋์ ๋์ด์ ๋ณดํธํด์ค ์ฌ๋์ด ์ฌ๋ผ์ง๊ฐ์
์ง๋
ํ๋ ๊ฐ๋ํ๋ ์ฌ๋๋ค์ ๋จน๊ณ ์ด๊ธฐ ์ํด ๋
์ ์๋ฐ์ ์ผ๋ก ํ๊ฑฐ๋, ๊ณ ๋ฆฌ๋๊ธ์
์์๊ฒ ๋นผ์๊น
์ฌ์ ๊ฐ ๋์์์๋ ๋๋ถ๋ถ์ ๋
์ด ๋ค๋ฅธ์ฌ๋์๊ฒ ๋์ด๊ฐ ์์์
์ด ์ฌ์ ๊ฐ ๋ค์์ผ๋ก ๊ฐ ๊ณณ์ ๋ ๊ฐ๋ํ ๊ณณ์ด์์
์ด๊ณณ์ ๋์ฌ์ง์ ๋
์ ๋ง๋ค ์๋ ์๋ ์ฐ์ด์์
์ฌ์ ๋ ๊ณ ๋ฏผํ๋ค๊ฐ ์ฃผ๋ฏผ๋ค์ด ๊ฐ์ถ์ ํค์ฐ๊ณ , ๊ทธ ์์ฐํ์ ๊ฐ๊ณตํด์ ํ์ ๊ณ ์์ต์ ์ป๊ฒ ํ๋ ค๊ณ ํจ
๊ณ ๋ฏผ๋์ ์ฐ์์ ์ ํํ๊ณ , ์ฐ์์ ์ ์ผ๋ก ์น์ฆ๋ฅผ ๋ง๋ค์ด ํ๋๋ก ๋ง๋ค๋ ค๊ณ ์ฃผ๋ฏผ๋ค์๊ฒ ์ฐ์์ ๋๋ ์ฃผ๊ณ ํค์ฐ๊ฒํจ
ํ๊ตญ์ธ๋ค์ด๋ฉด ํ๊ตญ์ธ๋ต๊ฒ ์ด๋ฐ ๋์์ ๋ฐ์ ๋ ์์ฒญ ์ด์ฌํ ํด์ ์์ด๊ฑฐ ๊ฐ์์?
์ฌ์ ๊ฐ ์น์ฆ๋ง๋ค๊ธฐ๋ฅผ ๋ ์ ๋๋ก ํด๋ณด๋ ค๊ณ ์ ์ ์ ๋ฝ๊ตญ๊ฐ๋ค์ ๋ณด๊ณ ๋ค์ ํ๊ตญ์ผ๋ก ๋์์์ ๋, ์ฃผ๋ฏผ๋ค์ ์ด๋ฏธ ๊ทธ ์ฐ์๋ค์ ๋ค ํ์์น์ ์
๋๋ฌด ๊ฐ๋ํ๋๊น, ์ฃผ๋ฏผ๋ค์ ์ฌ์ ๊ฐ ์ ๋๋ก ์์์จ๋ค๋ ๋ง์ ๋ฏฟ๊ณ ๊ธฐ๋ค๋ฆด๋งํผ ์ถ์ ์ฌ์ ๊ฐ ์์์.
์ง๊ธ ๊ฐ๋ํ๊ณ ๋ด ๊ฐ์กฑ์ด ๊ตถ์ฃผ๋ฆฌ๋๊น, ๋ด๋
์ ๊ฐ์กฑ์ด ์ด์์์์ง๋ ์๋ฌด๋ ๋ชจ๋ฅด๋ ์ผ๋จ ์ค๋์ ๊ตถ์ฃผ๋ฆผ์ ๋ฒ์ด๋๋๊ฒ ์ค์ํ๊ฑฐ์
์ด ์ฌ์ ๋ ๋ค์ ์์ํจ
๋ค์ ์ฐ์์ ๊ณต์ง๋ก ์ฃผ๋ฉฐ ํค์ฐ๊ฒํ๊ณ , ์ด๋ฒ์ ์ฃผ๋ฏผ๋ค๋ผ๋ฆฌ ์กฐํฉ์ ๋ง๋ค์ด ์๋ก ๋ฏธ๋๋ฅผ ๊ณํํ๊ฒ ํ๊ณ ์ฑ
์์ง๊ฒ ํจ
๋๋์ด ์ฑ๊ณตํจ
์์ค์ ํ๊ตญ์์ ์์์ ์น์ฆ๋ฅผ ์์ฐํ๋ ํกํนํ ์ง์ญ์ด ๋์์
๋๋ฌด ๊ตถ์ฃผ๋ฆฌ๊ณ ๊ฐ๋ํ๋ฉด ๋ด์ผ์ด ๋ณด๊ฒ๋์ง ์์
์ค๋ ๋จน์๊ฒ์ด ์์ด์ ์ฃฝ์ ๊ฐ์กฑ์ด ์๋ ์ฌ๋๋ค์๊ฒ, ๋ค๊ฐ์ฌ ๋ฏธ๋๋ฅผ ๊ฟ๊พธ๊ฒ ํ๋๋ฐ๋ ๋ง์ ์ธ๋ด๊ฐ ํ์ํจ
My uncle did a mission trip to Africa to teach a village how to raise pigs for food.
They flew in with a bunch of pigs, built pens for them, Food and water troughs, and taught them how to breed them so they could always have meat. Two weeks of work and teaching.
They went back a year later to check on the village. They had thrown a giant party the night after my uncle left, slaughtered and ate all the pigs, sold the feeders and fencing, and were really pissed off that the mission didn't bring them more pigs.
Ian Welsh retweeted
Chow performed better than 2023 in every ward, except 4. York Centre was really the only place where she saw a worse margin against Bradford than she did against Bailao. She ran up huge numbers in Downtown and Scarborough. Her second biggest increase was in Brad's ward.
Ian Welsh retweeted
This is such a profound disconnect with reality where most people:
- donโt use AI (except for Google search)
- donโt know what an agent is
- will never need to use more than 5 software products, 4 of which already ship with their OS by default
Ian Welsh retweeted
Replying to @ali_hld13
This is the problem with every single game with open world these days.
Morrowind is still a king of how you should write main quest in an open world rpg.
For those who refuse to read the articles about this case. She had a babysitter coming in the mornings to check in, make lunches, get them off to school, and prep dinner for them. All the 14 year old had to do was help them get inside after school. Microwave dinner. Get kids in bed and text mom updates. This was a work trip and they threatened to fire her if she did not go. The father has abuse charges and the police handed him their kids on top of arresting her.
A 50-year-old woman was arrested after getting off a plane after authorities said she left her four children home alone for four days while she traveled to Las Vegas for work: bit.ly/3UlVZeA







































