Tech Entrepreneur - Co-Founder @netqualtech - #Bitcoin Instructor @criptotaller - IG Personal: @jhalayon
En la Ciudad de la Furia 🔥
Joined November 2009
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Hari Seldon’s Psychohistory vs. Bitcoin: The Macro Math of Human Behavior
Right now, it’s hard for me not to see the massive parallel between the mathematical foundation of #Bitcoin and the science of "Psychohistory" created by Isaac Asimov’s character, Hari Seldon, in the Foundation series.
In the saga, Seldon uses mathematical equations to predict macro-level human behavior over thousands of years. He can’t predict individual events, what a single person does, or even the actions of small groups. It only works on a massive, collective scale.
Satoshi Nakamoto, on the other hand, engineered a decentralized, distributed mathematical model for a digital currency, hard-coded with a strictly regulated halving and supply issuance until the year 2140.
Here is where it gets fascinating: short-term, Bitcoin looks incredibly volatile and unpredictable. Why? Because its daily price depends on countless human variables—how many miners choose to secure the network, how many people use it as a store of value, medium of exchange, or pure financial speculation.
This is where Psychohistory kicks in. Bitcoin's code isn't just predicting block times; it forces us to predict human behavior in relation to Bitcoin.
On a micro level, individual decisions look chaotic. But on a macro scale, human psychology reacts to Bitcoin’s mathematical scarcity in cycles that are proving to be highly predictable. After just 4 halving cycles out of the 32 expected, the collective human pattern is already playing out exactly as the macro-math anticipated.
Are we watching the real-world application of Psychohistory?
#Crypto #Foundation #Asimov #BitcoinHalving
🤖 Made with AI
Ing. Jorge Alayon retweeted
el Híbrido no enchufable me parece la solución óptima para la argentina actual.
1 solo coche para la ciudad y la ruta, que reemplaza con una batería los arranques y los movimientos a baja velocidad, los que más combustible consumen en l/km. la batería se carga con las frenadas.
el vehículo es versátil, potente, autónomo y de muy bajo consumo.
trifecta de Wins.
Los autos híbridos y eléctricos crecieron 267% en Argentina y ya representan el 16% de los patentamientos. Entre enero y septiembre de 2026 se patentaron 66.265 vehículos electrificados, según un informe de ACARA y SIOMAA. Las marcas chinas ganaron terreno.
mase.lmneuquen.com/energia/l…
Ing. Jorge Alayon retweeted
Cómo va a ser feo un idioma en el que podés comerte una milanesa, un garrón, las eses, el cordón de la vereda, un alfil, tus ahorros, las uñas, un gol o a alguien a besos?
Ing. Jorge Alayon retweeted
Many thanks to @RodolfoBits & @labitconf for inviting me to beautiful Buenos Aires. I had a lot of fun debating Milei, eating fantastic asado & visiting one of the world's most prolific shitcoin-mills!
Ing. Jorge Alayon retweeted
Charla sobre IA para empresas. Anotarse en el link: forms.gle/C9ZbVc7TozotXDpbA
Ing. Jorge Alayon retweeted
I've never seen this kind of Wild West for hackers. If you run any kind of organization that produces software, pay attention:
- Someone injected a malicious Claude Code extension into Cursor's marketplace. It had a backdoor that gave the attacker instant access to the computer of every developer using it.
- Anthropic was founded in 2021. Cursor in 2022. These companies are used everywhere by everyone, but haven't had the time to build secure practices. It took Apple and Microsoft decades to get it right. You cannot speedrun security.
- Your organization is using a grab bag of AI tools. People are using Claude, ChatGPT, Codex, Claude Code, Muse, Instinct, Chinese models, who knows. You are creating code at insane speeds, using tools that are maintained by people doing the same. Stop and think about what this means.
If I were you, I would take a minute to run an inventory of every AI tool that you use. What access levels does it have, and how do you quickly react to a compromise. There is no book that will tell you how to do this, unlike for traditional software development practices. You're going to have to think about it. Don't delay, and godspeed.
Ing. Jorge Alayon retweeted
Empieza a pasar: "Aspectos jurídicos de la Ciberseguridad" es materia en la carrera de Derecho de la Universidad de Palermo. 😉
Cuando empiecen a hacer juicios por la falta de medidas de ciberseguridad... veremos.
Ing. Jorge Alayon retweeted
👁️Terminamos de relevar 62.742 sub/dominios gob/gov.ar.
Sobre 15.827 sitios "activos" se encontraron 5.780 con #PHP, de los cuales 2.034 tiene versiones obsoletas (no implica vulnerable o explotable).
Info: segu-info.com.ar/php.gob.ar/
Ing. Jorge Alayon retweeted
Amigo si no tengo RAM no puedo usar la pc para usar tu sistema de mierda
Ing. Jorge Alayon retweeted
In lieu of flowers, memorial contributions may be made to:
Johns Hopkins Alzheimer’s Disease Research Center Fund
alzresearch.org/giving/
Alzheimer’s Foundation of America Caregiver Resources
alzfdn.org/donate/
Photo Credit: Tommy Garcia
Sigue funcionando en linux como midnight commander. Sigo usandolo todos los dias, casi 40 años despues
Ing. Jorge Alayon retweeted
Ni los académicos ni los empresarios ni los políticos ni los periodistas deberían estar en Twitter por qué están todo el día quedando como boludos. Twitter es para nosotros que la gente ya sabía que éramos boludos
En el contexto de la proxima @labitconf, reposteo este paralelismo que se me ocurrió hace unos meses...
Hari Seldon’s Psychohistory vs. Bitcoin: The Macro Math of Human Behavior
Right now, it’s hard for me not to see the massive parallel between the mathematical foundation of #Bitcoin and the science of "Psychohistory" created by Isaac Asimov’s character, Hari Seldon, in the Foundation series.
In the saga, Seldon uses mathematical equations to predict macro-level human behavior over thousands of years. He can’t predict individual events, what a single person does, or even the actions of small groups. It only works on a massive, collective scale.
Satoshi Nakamoto, on the other hand, engineered a decentralized, distributed mathematical model for a digital currency, hard-coded with a strictly regulated halving and supply issuance until the year 2140.
Here is where it gets fascinating: short-term, Bitcoin looks incredibly volatile and unpredictable. Why? Because its daily price depends on countless human variables—how many miners choose to secure the network, how many people use it as a store of value, medium of exchange, or pure financial speculation.
This is where Psychohistory kicks in. Bitcoin's code isn't just predicting block times; it forces us to predict human behavior in relation to Bitcoin.
On a micro level, individual decisions look chaotic. But on a macro scale, human psychology reacts to Bitcoin’s mathematical scarcity in cycles that are proving to be highly predictable. After just 4 halving cycles out of the 32 expected, the collective human pattern is already playing out exactly as the macro-math anticipated.
Are we watching the real-world application of Psychohistory?
#Crypto #Foundation #Asimov #BitcoinHalving
Ing. Jorge Alayon retweeted
There are experts in open source trying to break cryptography with frontier models and their specific knowledge.
You just don't hear about this over the daily panicons.
This quoted post is unavailable.
Last Friday I killed my other AI suscriptions and "hired" @bot to manage my kanban with 11 personal projects I had drafted in the last 5 years. It's already turning them into functional and automated online businesses. Never thought to accomplish such a productivity growth.