Jupiter⚡️ retweeted
Independent votes didn’t “swing”
When you get a higher turnout you get more independents by default, that’s being referred to as a swing.
But Democrats got the same percent (34%) of independent votes in 2026 as they did in 2024.
Republicans also got the same percentage of independents (30%) in 2026 as 2024.
80% of independents only ever vote one way. Slightly more “democrats” identify as independent.
It’s more about turnout than switching.
That doesn’t mean Republicans don’t have to do well with independents or on general turnout in 2028. But we didn’t simply lose the midterms because of independent vote switching.
Nobody is really an independent anymore.
Republicans got regular turnout and Dems got high turnout.
Jupiter⚡️ retweeted
Only 4% of people listed foreign policy as their top priority. (The GOP won most of them)
33% (almost all democrats) thought the top issue was “the state of democracy”
The left voted against Trump for dismantling their institutional control.
Not because they are anti-war.
In a polarized country votes aren't fluid. Motivation and ballot harvesting is all that matters. Republican turnout wasn't depressed, Democrat turnout was turbocharged because Republicans are threatening the system for the first time. The same happened to Obama and Clinton
Independent votes didn’t “swing”
When you get a higher turnout you get more independents by default, that’s being referred to as a swing.
But Democrats got the same percent (34%) of independent votes in 2026 as they did in 2024.
Republicans also got the same percentage of independents (30%) in 2026 as 2024.
80% of independents only ever vote one way. Slightly more “democrats” identify as independent.
It’s more about turnout than switching.
That doesn’t mean Republicans don’t have to do well with independents or on general turnout in 2028. But we didn’t simply lose the midterms because of independent vote switching.
Nobody is really an independent anymore.
Republicans got regular turnout and Dems got high turnout.
Jupiter⚡️ retweeted
Manufacturing jobs jumped again in Oct to highest level since Dec '24 - as we can see on this chart, manufacturing was in a 3-yr slide before the turnaround started this year; the sector began hemorrhaging jobs at the very start of '23:
Social media derangement: Trump is ignoring domestic policy while focusing on foreign policy and harmed the economy with dumb tarrifs
Reality: the economy is booming and manufacturing is returning because of tariffs. Affordability can't be fixed in two years
Jupiter⚡️ retweeted
... Seriously, this is the Right's biggest problem. "Gross, this is intelligible to normies, must savage edgily."
My issue with the strongly anti-war side is the arguments were always disingenuous. Now they admit they're happy Republicans lost, or don't care at best, when the impact on midterms was the crux of their argument. Will they now explain what truly motivated their opposition?
Maybe the real lesson of the election is that you can't build a stable coalition with the kind of morons Trump recruited. Disaffected voters are malcontents who will soon be disaffected with you
Jupiter⚡️ retweeted
Gas is cheaper than it was during Obama’s entire 2nd term BTW, adjusted for inflation.
Same level today it first hit TWENTY YEARS AGO, in 2005. (Pew Research)
Jupiter⚡️ retweeted
The previous record for most Texas 'votes' for a Democrat was for Joe Biden in 2020 who got 129,000 FEWER 'votes' than Talarico has gotten so far (they're still counting) and that was the Presidential election year in which Joe Biden got 81 MILLION total 'votes.'
Jupiter⚡️ retweeted
A lot of yammering about Republican turnout.
Greg Abbott (Respected Moderate) EXCEEDED his 2022 midterms performance by 100K votes (and counting).
He garnered more votes than any Republican Gubernatorial candidate in Texas history.
The problem is Gina Hinojosa gained 1.7 million votes more than Beto O'Rourke.
Those are Looney Tunes numbers.
Hinojosa got 400K more votes in Texas than Kamala Harris in 2024. She's got more than Joe Biden in 2020 by 5,000 votes and counting.
These are not normal midterms numbers. These are retard numbers.
Not a single opinion poll before the elections came close to predicting this.
Lines at the polling places in Texas should have been around the block to get these results.
Unfortunately too many Conservative Thought Leaders are more concerned about screaming "I told you so" and polishing their resumes for 2028 for the upcoming DeSantis-Vance feuds.
Jupiter⚡️ retweeted
Zoomers are a uniquely stupid, neurotic, and insecure generation. I have not yet met a zoomer that did not possess what I would consider to be some type of profound mental illness. Maybe the trad tards are right, watching brazzers at 11 really did fry their "brains."
Jupiter⚡️ retweeted
we're basically in a civil war. their plan:
-censorship and mute RW social media (meta defeated, thanks elon)
-lawfare to arrest/harass undesirables (countless)
-influencers to normalize violence (hassan)
-DDOS violence (antifa, assassins) to kill if necessary (kirk, thompson)
Jupiter⚡️ retweeted
String theory is what happens when an intelligent system is starved of sensory input and starts hallucinating. Intelligence needs grounding.
For this reason, intelligence is practically never the bottleneck to solving impactful problems. The bottleneck is iterated contact with reality.
Yarvin is unfathomably cool. He's too cool for anything. I'm looking forward to him sharing his cool ideas on what Trump should do that he's not already doing plus wouldn't get him impeached. Maybe when he gets bored spending every day doing demoralization propaganda he'll share
Jupiter⚡️ retweeted
Okay. I’ll take the bait.
I went to work for Peter in 2013 with opposite politics.
He sat me down right at the beginning.
PETER: “I don’t want the (Thiel) Foundation to do good that the market can do. That is the job of the market. Likewise, I don’t want to do the good work that is seen as good. That work can be done by people richer, weaker and more needy of approval than we are. I want us to do only the work that is *deeply* good but somehow confused for being evil, because that is the work of the courageous and the strong. We strive to be both and that is where a small foundation can make the greatest positive difference. Go look for such good and let’s do that. But remember. Good has TWO different antonyms. What is “bad work”? It could be seen as shoddy work. Or it could be seen as evil work. And we can’t do shoddy work. Why? Because evil that isn’t competent never gets to be evil. It’s just pathetic. So we have to be exceptionally competent at the good work which we do to make sure it is always confused for evil.”
I thought it totally logical. So that’s the argument. And that’s classic Peter.
This is an old idea of his. And now you know.
