@MatterOfStats

#rstats, maths, science, quirky stuff, and Aussie Rules football. @MatterOfStats@aus.social on mastodon @matterofstats.bsky.social on Bluesky

 Australia
bit.ly/matterstats
Joined February 2010
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  • Followers5K
12.4KMedia
"I would rather my team play exciting football even if it means that they lose a lot more games than they win"
24%True
76%False
51 votes • Final results
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** NEW COUNTRY ALERT ** MoS Welcomes Its First Ever Visitor from Saint Vincent and the Grenadines! That's two new countries this month Just 27 "countries" now missing
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Tony Corke retweeted
Himanish Ganjoo@himganj15313h
With all the debate about whether cricket has analytics (compared to baseball), I have a short podcast episode with Jarrod coming out this week where we discuss why advanced analytics hasn't become more common in cricket.
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Latest AFLW sims are up (now with two pretty new plots) matterofstats.com/aflw-1/202…

AFLW 2026 - Simulations After Round 11 — Matter of Stats

This year’s post Round 11 simulations suggest that the teams can be roughly grouped as below: For anyone who is curious about the precise methodology I’ve employed, see this blog post over on the...

matterofstats.com
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It turns out that FMI Play AFLW scoring is intransitive in that it is possible, using the same forecasts and results, that Player A beats Player B, Player B beats Player C, but Player C beats Player A. There have been 1,227 example of this in the all-plays-all data this season
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... and if you include weakly intransitive examples (ie involving one or more draws), there are over 16,000 examples
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Your country might be great but does it follow Australia’s lead by colour-coordinating its currency with the nation’s favourite snack foods?
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WoSHBODS' R11 Results matterofstats.com/aflw-1/202…

AFLW 2026- Round 11 Results - Don't Give Start in the Rain — Matter of Stats

WoSHBODS and the two bookmakers tipped all 9 winners this week giving WoSHBODS 72% accuracy for the season. Its Margin MAE was 17.7 points per game, compared to 18.1 and 18.2 for the two bookmakers,...

matterofstats.com
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Lucky or unlucky in FMI AFLW?
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Tony Corke retweeted
Aaron Rupar
@atruparOct 23
this answer about what issues matter to him from a college student waiting in line at the Trump rally wasn't what the Fox correspondent expected to hear. She moved on with swiftness
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With one to play in FMI AFLW
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Records for teams leading by 12 points or more in the AFLW this season so far: At QT: 26-3 At HT: 51-6 At 3QT: 62-1
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Biggest deficits overcome in the AFLW this season so far: At QT: 17 points At HT: 24 points At 3QT: 12 points
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After Game 2 of FMI AFLW
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FMI AFLW after Game 1
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Think you can spot a fake men's AFL score worm? Try this and post your best scores matterofstats.com/inrunning-…

Synthetic Game Challenge — Matter of Stats

matterofstats.com
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Tony Corke retweeted
Sean@seanHPNOct 22
Being a Gold Coast resident enthusiastic about local sport.
J.\idyn 🇦🇺✋☝️@jaizc17Oct 22
Was just wondering today, what’s the worst (realistic) combination of Australian sports teams to support? In my opinion it has to be: St Kilda Melbourne Stars SEM Phoenix Western United/Melbourne Victory
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FMI AFLW pre-round estimates
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Memorable ... in their own way
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Local bakery has gone cash or PayID only. A trend?
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Tony Corke retweeted
Brian Burke@bburkeESPNOct 22
With all the talk about Kyle Shanahan's 51% comment, I want to take some time to walk through why a lot of the discussion yesterday was off the mark. I'm going to focus on just one of the points made--uncertainty. Thread:
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