Pres. of @SDEWES_Centre, co-Ch. of @EASACnews Energy Steering Panel, Prof. in energy planning, economics, policy, management & system analysis. IPCC AR7 WG3 CLA
Joined September 2010
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Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
Doppelt so teuer: Wie @realDonaldTrump's #IranWar die Gaspreise und dann die Strompreise in Deutschland treibt. Diese fossile Abhängigkeit will Katherina Reihe vergrößern und verlängern.
Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
Ich bin alt genug, um mich zu erinnern, wie immer wieder auf günstigere Strompreise im nuklearen Frankreich hingewiesen wurde.
Jetzt hat es sich umgedreht. Der Windkraft sei Dank. Mit mehr Windkraft wäre es noch besser, liebe Katherina Reiche.
Can we get rid of gas by 2035? Yes, and it is actually cheaper that continuing with burning it:
youtube.com/watch?v=YZRLPWuw…
Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
My favourite chart from the @IEA special report on electrification. Electricity is only 23% of Final Energy (No big deal), but it's 37% of Useful Energy (What?) and delivers 46% of GDP (Wow!) And it's going clean, fast. Still think there's no transition?
iea.blob.core.windows.net/as…
Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
Good morning with good news: In 6 of 9 EU countries, EV trucks are now cheaper!
In Holland, Germany & Denmark, savings can be €100,000, €85,000 & €69,000 respectively in 5 years.
EV trucks there pay off after 2 years.
Trucks are ~20% of oil demand.
uploads.transportenvironment…
Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
Electricity Already Powers More of the World Than Oil
>While electricity is now 23% of final energy, combustion engines and boilers waste massive heat
>Because EVs, motors, and heat pumps waste far less, electricity already delivers 40% of the world’s useful energy, providing more actual energy and work than oil!
Count the energy that actually does work: Electricity powers 45% of global GDP
Electrification is unstoppable
Wires chewing pipelines
iea.org/reports/electrificat…
Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
Electricity is 23% of global final energy but delivers 37% of useful energy and powers 46% of the global economy.
We don't need to replace all fossil fuels. We need to replace the services. A much smaller task.
Great to see @IEA Electrification report finally measure this.
Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
Der größte Denkfehler bei der Energiewende: Sie wird oft als reine „Kostenstelle“ abgetan.
In Wahrheit erleben wir die größte Verschiebung von Kapitalflüssen seit Jahrzehnten – weg von unberechenbaren fossilen Devisenabflüssen, hin zu solider heimischer Wertschöpfung.
Ein volkswirtschaftlicher 30-Jahres-Vergleich zeigt die Dimensionen:
1. Das alte Modell: Brennstoffverbrennung ohne Sachwert
* Rund 2,5 Billionen Euro hat Deutschland über Jahrzehnte im Schnitt für fossile Nettoimporte (Öl, Gas, Kohle) verbrannt.
* Teuer & unberechenbar: Volatile Weltmärkte (Ukraine-Krieg, Iran-Krieg) Währungsschwankungen und geopolitische Erpressbarkeit machen fossile Brennstoffe zum permanenten Risiko.
* Null Restwert: Das Geld ist unwiderruflich an ausländische Förderstaaten abgeflossen. Nach 30 Jahren steht kein Sachwert in den Büchern – ab Tag 1 des nächsten Monats muss wieder voll bezahlt werden.
2. Das neue Modell: Einmalige Investition in eigene Ingenieurleistung (CAPEX statt OPEX)
* Mit rund 1,5 Billionen Euro Gesamtkosten für Erzeugung, Netze und Speicher ist das elektrifizierte System über 30 Jahre nicht nur deutlich günstiger, sondern kalkulierbar: Grenzkosten nahe null statt Rohstoffcasino.
* Das Geld fließt nicht in Förderquellen im Nahen Osten, sondern als Reinvestition in den europäischen High-Tech-Anlagenbau:
* Windkraft: Turbinenbauer wie Enercon, Nordex und Vestas sichern Zehntausende Industriejobs. Kommunen profitieren dauerhaft über Gewerbesteuern und Standortabgaben.
* Netzausbau & Trassen: Milliardeninvestitionen in SuedLink & Co. sind ein massives Konjunkturprogramm. Hightech-Erdkabel kommen von NKT (Köln, Nordenham) oder Prysmian, HGÜ-Konverter von Siemens Energy. Bau, Masten und Erdarbeiten bleiben komplett im regionalen Mittelstand.
* Großwärmepumpen: Der direkte Hebel gegen Gasimporte. Am Beispiel eines 100-MW-Fernwärmenetzes: Ein Gaskessel verbrennt über 30 Jahre ~850 Mio. € (v. a. Brennstoff & CO₂). Eine industrielle Großwärmepumpe (z. B. von MAN Energy Solutions in Augsburg oder Siemens Energy) spart über 450 Mio. € ein und macht aus 1 kWh Ökostrom 3–4 kWh Wärme.
Fazit:
Der Umbau erfordert Kapital. Aber der Unterschied ist elementar:
Früher haben wir Billionen für verbrannte Rohstoffe ins Ausland überwiesen. Heute finanzieren wir Maschinenbau, Netzinfrastruktur, handwerkliche Arbeitsplätze und dauerhafte Sachwerte vor Ort.
Wer über die Kosten der Energiewende redet, darf über industrielle Souveränität und planbare und günstigere Standortkosten nicht schweigen!🇪🇺⚡️
Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
The strong correlation between increasing WindWaterSolar penetrations and lower electricity prices in the U.S. is not due to random chance.
Multiple statistically-significant regression lines indicate that, above 10% WWS supply relative to grid + behind-the-meter demand, the correlation between more WWS and lower residential retail prices is not random.
Results are also significant when all WWS penetrations <35% are compared with penetrations above 35%. @jillgferguson
Promising new @EIAgov data for 1st half of 2026:
WindWaterSolar is surging in the U.S. and keeping electricity prices lower in states with lots of WWS than in states with little WWS
27.1% of all grid+BTM U.S. electricity demand from Aug 1, 2025-Jun 30, 2026 was met with WWS (versus 24.7% the prior year).
If this rate of growth and demand stays constant, U.S. electricity will be supplied by 100% WWS by 2056.
WWS met 127.3% of demand in South Dakota and 115.4% of demand in Montana (versus 124.6% and 99.1% in the prior year)
WWS met 51-127% of demand in 13 states.
web.stanford.edu/group/efmh/…
Of the 16 states with 38-127% WWS, 14 had electricity prices 2-5.5 c/kWh below the U.S. average.
Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
#Africa’s solar boom is spreading across the entire continent, with 36 out of 54 countries set for record solar installations in 2026 🌍☀️
19 countries saw YoY growth of over 100%, including DRC 🇨🇩 (+544%), Zimbabwe 🇿🇼 (+282%) and Egypt 🇪🇬 (+176%)
ember-energy.org/latest-insi…
More variable renewables, cheaper electricity.
Die Regression gibts auch auf Energy-Charts: energy-charts.info/charts/pr…
Im Rechner auf stromhandel.netlify.app können alle Jahre seit 2016 summiert werden.
Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
OUT TODAY: The take-off in African solar that official statistics can’t yet see
2026 is on track for +45% in solar installations, setting new records in 36 countries.
New methodology reveals 3/4 of growth is distributed solar, much of which is missing from official data..🧵
Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
Commenting on a report commissioned by the Conservatives from Onward, which backs dropping 'net zero dogma' by prioritising 'cheap power', Jess Ralston, Head of Energy at the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit (ECIU), said:
"It's obvious that the North Sea is not a long term source of energy security with around 90% of its oil and gas already extracted, so building more gas plants just makes us more reliant on gas imports from the likes of the Strait of Hormuz and US. Polling shows British people aren’t happy relying on Trump for gas, with imports from the US already having risen around 40% last year. Gas prices today are near a three year high, as conflicts caused by actors like Putin and Trump dictate those costs, not UK supply."
"Nuclear can play a role, but so far large plants have been delayed and over budget. Small modular reactors have been touted for many years, but none are currently operating in the western world. The extreme heat and drought have forced nuclear plants across France, Romania and Hungary to switch off, a reminder that no energy source is completely ‘firm’.
"With household interest in net zero tech like solar, electric vehicles and heat pumps soaring as a result of energy instability resulting from war in Middle East, the public clearly see electrifying as a way to take back control of bills. Cheaper power would help boost that further, reducing our oil and gas demand and so our vulnerability to the next energy crisis, but there's no guarantee that nuclear or gas would deliver cost reductions while we know that renewables lowered the wholesale price of electricity by a third last year."
eciu.net/media/press-release…
Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
“If Hinkley C had been completed, on schedule and within budget, we would still be paying them twice as much for electricity as for onshore wind, and a new gas plant would produce electricity at even higher cost than Hinkley. It is a myth that gas is cheaper than renewables. One big gas price spike from a war or other major disruption costs Britain more than the entire Net Zero project. We saw the economic risk of dependence on fossil fuels when the wars in Ukraine and Iran sent energy bills skyrocketing. When a political party that receives lots of fossil fuel money says you should switch from the cheapest electricity sources to the most expensive, exercise caution. When they claim huge overall savings, best wait until some independent experts have a look before you start celebrating the mathematical miracle.”
greenpeace.org.uk/press-cent…
Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
Solar is about to overtake wind. Generation is set to rise ~600 TWh in 2026, matching last year's record, putting it second only to hydro among renewables.
And renewables together are on track to out-generate coal this year.
Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
2018 was near peak mansplaining by anti-RE folks why solar, wind and batteries would not add up to much.
EIA in 2018 projected that in 2050:
large solar would be ~170 GW;
wind ~140 GW;
batteries 40 GW.
In July 2026,
large solar was 171 GW;
wind 166 GW;
batteries 53 GW
Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
It’s absolutely insane that Europeans are forced to use a 6 year old obsolete Basic Autopilot system when FSD exists
People are being forced to use a system that is more dangerous to protect the European auto industry. It’s nuts.
Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
Global electric car sales are on track to rise to 23 million in 2026, after hitting record heights in nearly 100 countries last year.
This means that close to 30% of cars sold this year are set to be electric.
Learn more 👉 iea.li/42FJkUm