Prediction Market Leaderboard retweeted
Flávio Bolsonaro was the clear favorite after the first round of Brazil's presidential election.
But Lula staged a historic comeback in the runoff to win.
Polymarket traders were actively trading the election, including:
@MrOziPM @_decap @DropperPM @aenews @CoffeeLover_pm @Parz1valPM @scottonPoly @Joker_Poly @cashyPoly
Here's how they traded during the volatility 👇
Day could've been better, but basically made back what I lost yesterday.
I had some outside work I had to do and I missed out on some games.. really sad about that :( I think I missed out on a few hundred in profits
My goal is to hit 60k profit in 7 days.. should be doable!
Prediction Market Leaderboard retweeted
March Kalshi Recap: +$24k
Traveled during the 2nd & 3rd weeks this month which hurt our performance but was able to get back in flow towards the end of the month.
Had a lot of success with the usual Trump mentions and found a few new sports angles
I am extremely uncertain for what April and beyond will look like now that both NFL and CBB will be over. I'll have to learn some new categories and size up larger into what I already know to compensate
Mentions definitely feel like they're getting sharper but have still been able to find some good spots.
Have started to take my mental more seriously. My biggest leak is still under-sizing positions. My background was mostly just arbing in the beginning so the idea of dealing with prolonged variance and losses still messes with my head - even when I have just a losing day or two.
Really want to focus on sizing up and trying to be more process oriented and less emotional on a specific outcome.
Onto the next month
Prediction Market Leaderboard retweeted
Honored to receive the Prediction Market Leaderboard badge from @predictingtop.
For those who don't know predicting.top is one of the best places to track top traders in real time - including their performance, activity and wallets across Polymarket, Kalshi and Opinion.
Definitely worth checking out.
I started with $3,000 back last October on @Polymarket , and I grew it to $30,000 on February.
Now, I've made over $50,000, and it's only been a month since!
I'm extremely grateful for my progression, making over $50,000 in a span of less than 6 months.
Next stop, $100k!
I'm speechless.
I started from $3,000 last October on @Polymarket, and as of now I have officially 10x my investment: Over $30,000 in my balance.
This is the first week I've earned over $1k per day. Absolutely insane.
Very thankful for everything <3
See y'all at $50k!
Prediction Market Leaderboard retweeted
1 week ago today I had just had the worst trading day of my mentions journey on Kalshi: -$7k on a single trump rally.
It was after I had just gone from 1-25k in 2 weeks and I had no idea how long It would take to bounce back. $7k is a lot to make back in mentions with only 17k in the port.
I stayed disciplined, didn't rage trade and locked tf in harder than ever.
In the first week of March we made $12k not including the $2.3k we made today putting us at a new portfolio high of $30k!
My goal is to hit $50k this month and we are well on our way.
Most importantly Ive posted most of the trades that have occurred this week and have been getting blown up in the dms by you guys who have been killing it this week: especially those crazy 2/2 lottos on trumps messi remarks!
WE ARE ALSO HIT 1K FOLLOWERS ON X! Love y'all. WAGMI.
Replying to @luanalopeslara
Yup. Sportsbooks are extremely predatory. Their analytics & marketing are designed around maximizing two things: deposits and losses. It is an adversarial relationship with their own customers. The things I've heard about how they use customer data is depressing, bleak stuff. Reminds me of the payday loan industry.
A peer-to-peer exchange has a totally different set of incentives. They are trying to maximize attention, importance, fun, longevity, fairness, etc. All theoretically positive things (obv not always positive for every player, but it is theoretically not at all predatory).
Tbc, prediction markets have a lot to work on and improve, but the 'operating system' of a neutral marketplace is just so much better for everyone.
Prediction Market Leaderboard retweeted
I made $403K profit trading prediction markets in February.
I had 2 major opportunities to size up (Superbowl and SOTU) and was rewarded with $100K days for both.
Not a flawless month like January, I lost many high conviction bets, took my biggest loss ever ($30K) and had my first red week.
But I quadrupled my volume, doubled my profit month over month, and diversified to other categories. I'm very happy with my performance overall, I know there won't be a month as ripe with opportunities as this one for a while.
Going to temper my expectations and focus on the $1M milestone for March instead of trying to outperform February.
Probably not going to be too active this weekend, but this week as a whole was pretty good!
Started tracking PnL more definitively on @predictingtop on Monday, and hit a new portfolio milestone of $40k last night after a successful Trump rally! (+$1200)
Learning tons recently from incredibly smart people. There are too many to tag, but you know who you are!
Prediction Market Leaderboard retweeted
I just hit $15,000 profit across all my Polymarket accounts
There is literally life changing money to be made on Polymarket!!
Prediction Market Leaderboard retweeted
"I made over $210K profit this month" are words that I never thought I'd have the privilege of saying in my life
But here I am! After a crazy 31 days of grinding approx. 11 hours a day, with me being sick with a virulent cold for 3 weeks straight, I can say it was all worth it.
Prediction Market Leaderboard retweeted
January Kalshi stats:
Profit: +$67k
Volume: $3.1m
Our best month ever.
With NFL ending, I expect things to slow, but I’m excited to look for new edges.
February = heavy focus on mentions.
Prediction Market Leaderboard retweeted
im just a selfless man advancing society by helping the markets find the truth
site: @predictingtop
Prediction Market Leaderboard retweeted
Replying to @Polymarket
There is no 14% chance of anything, it's just me gambling
Only real traders.
Exclusive poster for @predictingtop
Prediction Market Leaderboard retweeted
Want to copy trade on Polymarket
but don’t know which wallet to pick?
@predictingtop just launched copy score
a consistency based leaderboard
R² × win rate × max drawdown × profit factor = score
Stop picking wallets by vibes
Who’s your pick?













































