dep director @devpolicy + econ assoc prof @ouranu. priors @dartmouthecon @stanford @ouranu @pmc_gov_au @uq_news. very personal account. šŸ§‘ā€šŸ§’ā€šŸ§’+🌻+šŸ¦‹

Canberra
Joined May 2011
Some "overdue" news: my first paper on palm oil, started over a decade ago, was accepted for Christmas and is in print open access at the @JIntlEcon today. It's quite different from earlier versions, and the (excellent) review process improved it a lot. sciencedirect.com/science/ar…
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Friendly amendment, they’re slop merchants—they don’t even produce their own slop
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You’re over-thinking it. 95% of these are posted by slop-producers who are suddenly afraid of being outed.
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Why have autism diagnoses in Australia tripled in just a decade? A new study published in the Journal of Health Economics reveals the NDIS itself accounts for 47% of all new autism diagnoses since 2013. Read more on Austaxpolicy: austaxpolicy.com/nearly-half… #AusPol #NDIS #Health
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what a millennia this last decade has been
Happy birthday to this future president.
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New at JIE: "Trade shocks and human capital: Evidence from Brazil’s trade liberalization" by Marcos Y. Nakaguma, Arthur A. Viaro doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.20…
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Big news. Woodside walks away from Greater Sunrise. Sells its 33% stake to Timor's state-owned oil and gas company Timor Gap for around $280 million AUD. Timor Gap will have full control of the asset after the sale. Some big questions looming now for Dili (and for Canberra)
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Media Watch takes aim at the FM over Australia's silence on the Samoan PM's campaign against the Observer and the "fundamental" importance of a free press: "so fundamental, she’s clearly decided to give a free pass to the Samoan PM" abc.net.au/mediawatch/episod…
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🚨New paper and (the usual) excellent @paulnovosad summary alert!
New paper: Cities in South Asia are hotbeds of upward mobility for everyone, but especially for women. This is the urban-minus-rural difference in the adult education rank of a child growing up in a bottom-half household. 🧵 1/
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PhD students sometimes ask me what I mean by "big question" My answer: first *you* should be convinced that the Q is interesting and important. Then tell me why *you* think it's interesting and important. If you can't do that, you're toast, regardless of data & methods.
The best lesson I learned from Uchicago Econ during my undergrad was: ā€œFind an interesting and important question first, then find methods to study it.ā€ Not the other way around.
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The opportunity to migrate even temporarily/seasonally is *really good* for migrant workers and their families. Families of migrant workers see lower poverty, greater food security, invest in assets & reduce debts Paper by @melaniemorten @BMagaloni Cubillos & @AliceYiqianWang
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Teaching Intro to Econ is fun because it’s the easiest class your science students will ever take and the hardest one ever for some of the humanities students.
Taking a break from my quantum mechanics homework so I ask my girlfriend what she's working on and she says "A problem set for econ. We have to graph the equation P = 36 - 3x" and ngl I actually lost it.
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Bottom line: there's a big female urban mobility advantage in South Asia. Exactly why this is and how long it has been so are open questions. We also don't yet know how much this holds elsewhere in the world. To be continued! 21/
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"I Just Ran 2 Million Regressions" pt. 2
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Orban as Secretary-General, this is good scriptwriting honestly
New: Sources from three countries confirm that the Trump Administration has advocated Viktor OrbĆ”n for UN Secretary-General. The US has encouraged OrbĆ”n to enter the race, even bringing him the initial idea of a joint U.S.-Russia-China candidacy. WSJ: wsj.com/opinion/viktor-orban…
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Universities do this during every fiscal crisis they face. UMN did it back in 2020 and iiuc in 2008 as well. UW did it last year. This is just encouraging early retirement for people who are close to retiring anyway.
It's over. The higher ed dam has broken: Clemson is offering a voluntary separation program (VSP) to 452 eligible faculty and staff. Eligible employees who accept the offer will receive a lump-sum payment equal to nine months of their base pay.
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If only there were a journal dedicated to political economy that is ranked similarly to other top economic journals.
Economics is fundamentally political. We cannot escape this fact. The so-called ā€œfree marketā€ is constructed by laws, maintained by institutions, and enforced by states. The choice between austerity and stimulus reflects deeper beliefs about responsibility, fairness, and social obligation. The mandates of central banks are products of political decisions. The emphasis placed on price stability in Western central banks rather than, say, regulating private finance reflects value judgments as well as political lobbying. One of the biggest differences between mainstream economics and heterodox economics is that the former often disguises political choices as technical ones. Economics has never been, and never will be, a value-free science, no matter how much today's mainstream economics tries to present it that way. At its core, economics is shaped by ideologies, human morality, competing interests, social norms, and political priorities. Pretending otherwise does not make economics more rigorous. It just makes it more dangerous.
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This is dead right, and not just with respect housing. It’s the whole increasingly provincial/parochial mindset that seems to be so loud and visible (though im deeply suspicious these are actual informed preferences of most Australians). Utterly unambitious, uninspiring
This is a terrific and terrifying read from @insteconomics Australia truly is the anti-Abundance nation It's self-inflicted damage We keep shooting ourselves in the foot and then wondering why we can't sprint anymore
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One of the things that AI slop is revealing about the scientific literature is how much of the non-AI stuff was slop already.
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