Tyler Colbourne (He/They)

I took a bit of time to look at the data that they are referencing, what of it I was able to find. This polling they speak of is a crystal-clear example of why you never accept polling results at face value. You always need to look further into the data to get a better picture. The most obvious issue this poll has is a sampling problem. Their 94% statistic comes from a voluntary form emailed to people who are already signed up to LGB Alliance's newsletter, as well as donors, event attendees, etc. They had 7,021 invitations and only managed a usable sample of 1,709. That's roughly 24% of those invited. Not good. This isn't a representative poll of the general population. It's functionally more affirming LGB Alliance of it's feelings, as it's from their supporters. By selecting only its supporters, they basically poison the results, as they are in no way representative of the larger public. The question they were asked is far narrower than the policy claim they are making, too. They were asked if they personally felt comfortable being categorized under LGBTQ+, not whether they opposed trans organizations or wanted governments to abolish the term somehow. People can personally feel uncomfortable with a label while still supporting an umbrella coalition. There is also additional suspect qualitative material such as random quotes that are inflammatory without any explanation of the circumstances in which those quotes were derived. There is a ton of missing info as well. Where is the full questionnaire, question order, respondent ages and regions, frame composition, duplicate controls, the exact subgroup bases, nonresponse analysis, and weighing? The 94% statistic solely tells the world how their newsletter subscribers feel. Not how Britain feels. This is functionally disinformation at this point.