New backup account of my old phi61861 that was CONFISCATED by X and is now impersonating Elon Musk . X has not been able to restore my old account,
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Joined May 2026
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Paul Bogaars retweeted
True
It’s almost incomprehensible how wide the distance is between someone who’s working at the frontier with AI and basically everyone else right now.
The crazy thing is these lines are not converging, but only growing farther apart. If the curve of AI progress had leveled off, it would certainly have given most people and companies time to catch up or implement their workflows in a standardized way. The technology would have neutralized competitive advantage because everyone would be using it the same way.
But what’s happened is the opposite. The curve of AI progress is basically going vertical right now, which means if you had codified your processes 3-6 months ago you’re likely already behind again. Now imagine most companies that kicked into gear a year ago and thought that they were done. Even further behind now.
I’ve never seen a technology in my life and career that improves at this rate, which consequently means you need to upgrade your expectations at a similar rate. Our brains weren’t wired for this, and our organizational change management processes certainly weren’t either.
With any form of recursive self improvement, things just get wilder. It’s a time when you will need to be constantly reevaluating the things that didn’t work just a couple months ago to see if they now can be solved. AI native companies certainly have a strong advantage due to this right now, so now it comes down to can the bigger companies keep up. Wild times.
Paul Bogaars retweeted
Worth noting that Grok @Bot has no free tier
Grok Bot is growing at an absolutely insane pace
Daily active users have increased for 16 consecutive days, marking its longest growth streak since launch
Here's how fast it's growing:
• Under 100K daily active users in early September
• Over 600K daily active users by October 26
• More than 6X growth in less than two months
And this is only the beginning
Paul Bogaars retweeted
SpaceX no longer needs NASA. This isn’t a bad thing, it’s the best era yet for commercial spaceflight.
SpaceX has told NASA it will stop flying Crew Dragon to the ISS by or before 2030. It has stopped selling commercial Falcon 9 launches after 2028, and is no longer bidding on new U.S. Space Force contracts or certain lunar payload services.
This means SpaceX no longer relies on government budgets to survive. Starlink and its AI business are already generating their own cash flow. The flood of government contracts is now opening real opportunities for Blue Origin, Relativity Space, Stoke Space, and others.
Imagine if SpaceX were still dependent on NASA contracts, most other rocket companies wouldn’t have a chance to survive.
Now SpaceX is flying on its own and leaving the sky open for everyone else.
It’s not walking away. It’s flipping the entire era.
I’ve spent a lot of time thinking about, and talking to people about a post-Falcon world. Why sunset the world’s best rocket? Can Starship replace it? What about Artemis? Why are SpaceXers flocking to Memphis? Grab a coffee, this is a long one.
arstechnica.com/space/2026/1…
Paul Bogaars retweeted
Elon Musk just says "Longevity is coming“. We are entering the singularity.
Jeff Bezos has committed around $3 billion to Altos Labs, a longevity startup focused on cellular rejuvenation and cell reprogramming approaches that could help pave the way for future AGE REVERSAL GENE THERAPY.
Sam Altman poured $180M into Retro Biosciences to chase age reversal through tissue reprogramming gene therapy.
Mark Zuckerberg and his wife are committing $500M to build AI simulations of the human body through Biohub.
Can’t wait to see Elon Musk join the club of longevity; this means a lot for humanity.
Paul Bogaars retweeted
New Google DeepMind paper says AI is already changing the economy, just not in the way people look for.
Its changing through leaner startups, flatter org charts and slower hiring for some entry-level jobs, but not through mass job losses.
The paper argues that big economic change from AI depends on agents learning to coordinate, not on each model getting smarter.
AI models already match experts on many solo tasks, yet jobs and productivity numbers have barely moved. Most benchmarks test 1 model alone, but firms compete as teams.
They built an economic model that tracks 2 abilities separately: competence on single tasks and coordination between agents. More competence moves wages gradually, but coordination past a tipping point lets a few large AI firms suddenly take over big, standardized markets.
In a quiz of 100 people, pairs matched to cover each other's weak spots beat random pairs by 32%. AI copies share the same weak spots, so a model that beats every person alone can still lose to a well-matched human team.
I joined @GoogleDeepMind to develop a research program on the economics of AGI. Today, together with Andrew Koh (@andrewjkoh) and Shane Legg (@ShaneLegg), we are incredibly excited to release The Economics of Intelligence, the first in a series of projects from our group on how AGI will change the economy.
How do capability improvements transform the economy, and when? In this project, we define thresholds of economic capabilities, e.g., minimal AGI, based on how they transform the economy. We then track how the economy–market structure, employment, and wages–changes during the transition across capability regimes.
We have seen exponential increases in what AI agents can do but the broader economy seems almost remarkably unchanged. Part of the reason is that the solo AI agent is the wrong economic object; economic transformation is an equilibrium outcome where organizations compete. Looking at how intelligence functions within organizations, transformation will depend on when two key capability thresholds are crossed: competence (gains on individual skills, e.g., coding, math) and coordination (gains on ability of agents to cooperate and work together).
We show that what economic transformation looks like depends on whether AI becomes supercompetent, supercooperative, or both—the regime of artificial superintelligence (ASI). Tracking this transition shows why the real visible transformation may come from improvements in coordination—a capability most benchmarks don’t yet track. Past a certain threshold, AI capabilities can break the Coasian ceiling on firm size and lead to an economy that looks drastically different than the one we see today.
Two main takeaways:
1. To understand the path of transformation, we should be tracking agentic coordination more closely.
2. The impact of AI will likely show up in wages before market structure or employment.
We are really excited about this paper. Excited to hear people’s thoughts.
Link: institute.deepmind.com/essay…
Paul Bogaars retweeted
Vice President Vance on solving the housing crisis for young Americans:
"The reason why housing exploded in the United States of America is in part because we allowed 20 million illegal aliens into our country to buy homes that ought by right to go to American citizens."
Paul Bogaars retweeted
My biggest concern is that if there is a clean sweep by Democrats of the House, Senate and Presidency in 2028, they will:
1. Make DC and Puerto Rico states to gain a strong majority in the Senate.
2. Open the borders and legalize everyone living in America illegally to cement a permanent majority.
3. Increase the size of the Supreme Court to gain an immediate majority.
This would result in America becoming a permanent one-party state and the end of democracy in any meaningful sense of the word.
All that is needed to ensure this doesn’t happen is 51 Republican senators in 2029. That is why you should vote for Republican senators this election. Other reasons are irrelevant compared to this one.
Paul Bogaars retweeted
The FCC voted 3-0 today to propose opening 482 MHz more spectrum to satellite-to-phone service like Starlink Mobile, despite AT&T, Verizon and T-Mobile pushing to cut it down.
The vote
• Passed 3-0, with Chairman Carr and Commissioners Gomez and Trusty all voting yes
• The proposal would raise the number of bands eligible for satellite-to-phone service from 5 to 13
• Satellite operators would no longer have to lease spectrum from carriers. They could certify coexistence agreements, or hold the license themselves
The fight
• The carriers and their trade group CTIA wanted the 2.5 GHz and 3.45 GHz bands removed. Both stayed in, and so did the full 482 MHz
• T-Mobile says satellite interference could cut uplink speeds by 88% to 99%
• SpaceX asked the FCC to add the 902–928 MHz band too
What happens next
• Today's vote opens a public comment period. Final rules need another vote later
• Holding the license directly suits SpaceX, which already bought spectrum from EchoStar for about $17 billion, plus a $2.6 billion follow-on deal
Video: @FCC
Paul Bogaars retweeted
BREAKING: SpaceX has reportedly told companies developing lunar landers for NASA that it will no longer provide launch services for their missions, according to new reporting by Ars Technica.
The decision could complicate NASA's plans to establish a sustained presence on the Moon, as smaller lunar lander developers may need to turn to alternative rockets such as Blue Origin's New Glenn.
The disclosure comes amid a broader shift in SpaceX's launch business:
SpaceX $SPCX has told NASA it intends to retire Crew Dragon by 2030, reportedly stopped offering new commercial Falcon 9 launches beyond 2028, and declined to bid on three additional U.S. Space Force launch contracts.
SpaceX continues to fulfill its existing government commitments, but the developments raise questions about NASA's growing dependence on a company increasingly focused on Starship, Starlink and AI infrastructure.
Paul Bogaars retweeted
Under Operation Economic Outcast, Iran’s regime is running out of lifelines, and its proxies are feeling the pressure. Tehran is struggling to move money, while the IRGC is reportedly failing to pay its own troops. We are cutting the regime’s ability to fund the Houthis, Hamas, and Hizballah. We will not allow Tehran to continue financing their campaign of terror.
Paul Bogaars retweeted
The ranking members of the House Judiciary and Oversight Committees have written a letter to President Trump asking whether he has been soliciting advice from Grok in order to help carry out his official duties as President of the United States.
They also demanded that he preserve any prompts sent to Grok, ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, and Perplexity, as well as outputs in response to those prompts, that were 'submitted to AI chatbots in carrying out your constitutional, statutory, or other official or ceremonial duties.'
The letter was provided by Politico.
Paul Bogaars retweeted
We’ve trained Claude to flag potential misuse in conversations, a technique we call self-assessment. Right after it responds, Claude gives a preliminary safety assessment of the conversation.
Since we began using self-assessment in June, it has surfaced misuse that our other safeguards weren’t designed to catch.
Because Claude has already read the conversation, self-assessment is very efficient. And unlike classifiers, which target a discrete set of harms, it draws on Claude’s own judgment, so it gets more accurate as our models improve.
Read more on our new Safeguards blog:
safeguards.anthropic.com/202…
Paul Bogaars retweeted
Our second product is called Blindsight and it will, as the name suggests, enable even those who are completely blind or have never seen to see.
It is ready from an engineering standpoint. Just waiting on regulatory approval.
Paul Bogaars retweeted
This is just ridiculous.
xAI is buying an entire neighbourhood so nobody can sue it.
A realtor going door to door reportedly says the target is 418 homes living around its Mississippi power plant, with 18 owners already agreeing to sell.
The catch:
If you sell, you have to give up legal claims over the plant, including the lawsuit residents filed over the near-constant noise.
And some renters are already getting caught in this.
One woman with four kids says she was given 60 days to leave after her landlord accepted a buyout.
Is this what AI infrastructure looks like for the people living next to it?
xAI and its subsidiary MZX are reportedly offering to buy hundreds of homes around Southaven, Mississippi. theverge.com/ai-artificial-i…
Paul Bogaars retweeted
BREAKING: The man who writes America's war plans just got fired.
Lt. Gen. Brett Sylvia, the Joint Staff's J5, is out. Hegseth removed him this week. No reason given. No replacement named.
J5 is the office that turns policy into military options for the Chairman. Strategy, plans, the menu the President picks from.
Timing is everything. Trump is openly talking about resuming strikes on Iran after next week's midterms. Vance is writing letters to Tehran. And the Pentagon's chief planner is suddenly gone.
That makes 24 generals and admirals pushed out in this term, and counting.
Bottom line: who's writing the Iran options now?
Paul Bogaars retweeted
I appreciated the opportunity to meet with Secretary Teodoro for the sixth time to discuss modernizing alliance C2, security cooperation, and deterrence in the South China Sea.
We are accelerating efforts to modernize @TeamAFP and enhance our interoperability along the First Island Chain.
Paul Bogaars retweeted
OpenAI says its unreleased AI models have made three major scientific breakthroughs:
1. Disproved the decades-old Exponential Time Hypothesis in computer science.
2. Proved a 35-year-old mathematical conjecture about waves.
3. Proved part of a $1 million Millennium Prize problem.
The claims are still undergoing independent review.
Science will almost certainly accelerate significantly with AI.
So far, we're seeing more progress in math and theoretical computer science than visible real-world breakthroughs in biology, physics, and materials science.
But I expect that to change. As AI gets better at generating hypotheses, designing experiments, and solving complex problems, these fields could accelerate rapidly too.
The real impact will come when AI discoveries start turning into new medicines, materials, and technologies.
Paul Bogaars retweeted
A lot of mathematicians and theorists are struggling with what I call Last Samurai Syndrome.
They spent their lives battling the hard intellectual riddles of their time. Becoming unusually good at it. And now AI shows up as the firearm in the hands of the untrained soldier, nullifying the tactical advantage they spent decades acquiring.
For math, that’s probably a fair conclusion.
For seminal breakthroughs and grand unifying theories in science, though, I’m not so sure.
I spent my entire career around scientists who were smarter than me. Sometimes a lot smarter. Yet they weren’t thereby making landmark discoveries.