Catching both stages next flight would be a big deal, but weekly by early next year still feels aggressive. If they actually start reflying upper stages early in 2027 though, that’s when it starts getting real.
Is next year finally the year when Starship reaches an inflection point and takes off?
arstechnica.com/space/2026/1…
Gwynne just mentioned lunar surface cargo like it’s the next normal thing. Wild how fast things are shifted.
SpaceX just secured another major contract for Starship, and this time it's about delivering payloads directly to the surface of the MOON
Gwynne Shotwell revealed an incredible expansion of SpaceX's launch business during Q3:
• 18 new National Security Space Launch missions
• 3 additional human spaceflight missions on Dragon, running through 2028
• A new contract to deliver a payload to the lunar surface using Starship
• 3 new Starfall missions on Starship
SpaceX is continuing to expand its leadership in national security and human spaceflight while building Starship into a transportation system capable of delivering cargo to other worlds
The foundation of an entirely new lunar economy is taking shape
SpaceX is guiding more Capex in one quarter than Tesla has spent in four years. Almost all of it on compute, nearly doubling to 3 GW with a sub-12-month payback. SpaceX is clearly gunning to be the compute king.
SpaceX said it expects Q4 2026 Capex spend to be between $35 billion–$40 billion, which would be equal to Tesla’s total Capex spend over the past 4 years combined.
Massive buildout of compute capacity underway, and the payback period is <12 months! SpaceX will nearly double their compute capacity in Q4 alone to upwards of 3 GW.
This is going to be massive. SpaceX should call the Roberts Road campus Starbase Florida. With that much land it’s basically its own city.
A quick size comparison between the @SpaceX expansion at the Kennedy Space Center, and what currently exists at Starbase, Texas.
Images are the same scale.
🗺️ @GoogleMaps
400 acres is a lot of land to lock down just for factory and refurb space. They’re clearly planning on doing a lot more launches at KSC. Louisiana is not getting all the fun. 😂
Here it comes. SpaceX has submitted a proposal to NASA to expand its KSC campus, with roughly 400 acres of new development to support manufacturing, refurbishment and testing for Starship and Falcon operations. That’s about 2.4 times the size of its existing campus.
More factory space, refurbishment facilities, payload processing, and structures up to 122 meters tall. Plus a new four-lane road to get people and hardware in and out.
Classic SpaceX. Build the infrastructure first so it’s ready to support a higher launch rate.
Starlink is global because it has to be. A constellation that only serves Canada doesn’t have the scale to make the numbers work. Once politicians calling for alternatives actually see what it takes to build something like this, they’ll realize how hard it is.
Elon’s chip team is moving stupid fast with Korean suppliers. They’re aiming for a million wafers a month in 10 years, so they’re hitting basically every Korean company they can find and pushing for prices under China. Crazy to see such a massive project take shape.
According to Korean media, Elon Musk's Terafab is now talking to almost EVERY Korean chip supplier it can find.
Until now, the only known Korean suppliers were HPSP and Hanmi Semiconductor.
Now TheElec reports that Tesla and SpaceX are in talks across nearly every category Korean companies can supply, from basic piping parts to process materials to test components.
At SEMICON West in San Francisco last week, Terafab staff walked straight to around 10 Korean booths on the morning of day one, including ENF Technology, Dongjin Semichem, Hanmi Semiconductor, Unisem and MiCo.
Several companies have already signed NDAs. One got an NDA by email the same evening Terafab visited its booth.
Hanmi Semiconductor is discussing TC bonders for Terafab, and HPSP has agreed to supply one high pressure hydrogen annealing tool to the R&D line.
MiCo's cleaning unit Komico signed a three way NDA with Tesla and SpaceX about a month ago, and ISC is already swapping samples for rubber test sockets.
Tesla and SpaceX do not buy from Chinese suppliers. One Korean supplier put it simply, without China there are only a few options, and Japan is expensive.
They also want prices that are CHEAPER than China.
$LRCX and $AMAT have reportedly built dedicated Terafab teams, and Fujifilm is meeting Terafab buyers regularly on slurries, photoresist and etchants.
The goal is a fab with 1 million wafer starts per month within 10 years, with $16.8 billion of initial investment and more than 3,000 jobs.
SpaceX broke ground in Grimes County, Texas this month, and the first 100,000 wafer per month phase is expected before 2030.
Logic is being done with $INTC, talks with $TSM are ongoing, and memory will be built separately.
One supplier said that if they email Terafab in the middle of the night in the United States, they get an answer in 30 minutes to an hour.
$TSLA and $SPCX are building a chip supply chain at Elon speed.
Makes sense why he’d want the merger for chips, AI, and robotics work. The independent committees and the high Tesla vote threshold just make it a lot less straightforward than people are assuming. It is funny that Elon is not even part of these discussions.
Elon Musk on a possible SpaceX–Tesla merger:
"Do I think it would be a good idea? Yes"
Both SpaceX and Tesla have formed special committees of independent directors to discuss the idea, at the request of shareholders
Because he's a conflicted party, Elon can't take part in those discussions
"Some people out there assume that a SpaceX and Tesla merger is a certainty, and I think that would be overstating it"
"The special committees have not reached agreement on the terms of any transaction. And obviously there's no guarantee that they will"
On the Tesla side, it would need a 50% vote of all shares, not just those who vote. That's a high hurdle
So why does Elon support it?
"I do think there's a lot of merit to combining the companies as we are pretty much in the super intelligence singularity"
"There's a lot to be gained from cooperating on developing super intelligence software, chip design, the Terafab, obviously robotics, mass to orbit with the Starmind constellation. Connectivity"
Next, the special committees of both companies have to agree on terms, and then it goes to a shareholder vote
Watch live as SpaceX discusses our Q3 2026 earnings at 3:30pm CT today → xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1PKqrNbLZ…
Another example of CCS not knowing what he’s talking about yet trying to pass himself off as an expert. It’s crazy how delusional someone can be just because of a vendetta against Elon.
SpaceX going from $1.8B to $5.9B in defense work that quickly is pretty wild. Golden Dome is moving.
The ideal Optimus V3 reveal, the Roadster lands a kickflip, the V3 Optimus exits the car, and then multiple other V3 Optimus appear and then break into a dance routine.
Satellite partner still to be selected. Launch provider still to be selected. Timeline still to be determined. Very serious competition. 😂






























