Giulio Giacomo Cantone (@GGCanto) header
Giulio Giacomo Cantone (@GGCanto) profile picture

Researcher at Magna Graecia University | Active research interests: multiverse-based statistical analysis, measuring similarity, KPI monitoring and synthesis.

Tenure-tracked Researcher
Joined August 2012
Photo by Giulio Giacomo Cantone (@GGCanto)Photo by Giulio Giacomo Cantone (@GGCanto)Photo by Giulio Giacomo Cantone (@GGCanto)Photo by Giulio Giacomo Cantone (@GGCanto)Photo by Giulio Giacomo Cantone (@GGCanto)Photo by Giulio Giacomo Cantone (@GGCanto)Photo by Giulio Giacomo Cantone (@GGCanto)Photo by Giulio Giacomo Cantone (@GGCanto)Photo by Giulio Giacomo Cantone (@GGCanto)Photo by Giulio Giacomo Cantone (@GGCanto)
Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
I have always liked the Plutarchian tradition of "companion pieces", reading 2 works together aids criticism, the "how can this be interpreted under the light of that other thing". Some books from my weird education that "go together", emphasis on the classics + medieval:
Books should simply be assigned in matched pairs. Pride and Prejudice + Master and Commander. The Aeneid + Lavinia. You’re welcome school administrators, please send your royalty checks to my DMs
2
10
68
1,485
Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
New working paper: "Do Modern Difference-in-Differences Estimators Change Published Findings in Business Research?" Peter Hull's recent meta-analysis found that in economics, two-way fixed effects and heterogeneity-robust DiD estimators rarely disagree. Using Claude, I ran his protocol on seven business journals, screening 1,829 papers, and re-estimated every eligible design in Management Science and Marketing Science, the two with public replication archives. That gave 355 published staggered-adoption specifications from 40 papers, re-estimated with Callaway-Sant'Anna (CS) and Borusyak-Jaravel-Spiess (BJS). On the comparisons that pass Hull's leverage screen, from 28 (CS) and 29 (BJS) papers: - Correlations between TWFE and modern estimates are 0.61 and 0.70, against 0.88 and 0.93 in economics. - Estimates change sign in 25 and 18 percent of comparisons, and 10 and 7 percent show a statistically significant difference. - Modern standard errors are 1.6 and 1.3 times those of TWFE. - Disagreement concentrates in unbalanced panels and in designs without never-treated units. Every table and figure rebuilds from the public repository; re-estimating a specification from scratch requires the journal's replication package. Paper: lnkd.in/gXmtvfBC Code, protocol, and estimates: lnkd.in/gZijx_dy
3
22
2
150
11,185
Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
I made a little visualisation to try and help explain p-values for students. Some people might enjoy: psy104-p-values.netlify.app/
3
20
119
7,407
Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
“Causal Effects Versus Causal Mechanisms: Two Traditions With Different Requirements and Contributions Towards Causal Understanding” statmodeling.stat.columbia.e…
1
31
1
144
11,349
Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
I think the electorate fundamentally voted for the same thing - cheaper prices and isolationism - both times.
Actual results aside, it does not seem healthy for a country to swing to radically every two years. Horrendous for any long-term policy.
58
420
29
8,132
101,213
Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
PRIN 2026, settore SH1. 7 progetti finanziati su 9 (!) hanno un PI di Bocconi o Bologna. I soliti 2 atenei monopolizzano quasi tutta la graduatoria. Meritocrazia? O è il caso di chiedersi quanto conti la cooptazione e il potere nelle reti accademiche? (Io non ho applicato in SH1)
12
2
2
47
18,923
Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
Anthropic found vaults in bacteriophages, bacteria and archaea. This has to make vaults a foundational feature of life, on par with ribosomes. There aren’t many things that are shared so deeply. We still have no idea what vaults do. Preprint has cryoEM, site directed mutagenesis. Will probably be a Nature paper. Full dive into wet biology, buckle down guys.
32
79
7
1,326
88,977
Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
Democrats won enough trifectas last night to theoretically obtain an absolute majority of the electoral college for the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact, and they certainly have Congressional majorities large enough to authorize such a compact. The only question is whether it would survive a court challenge. If they win the Presidency in 2028 and stack the Supreme Court as many Dems have threatened to do the moment they have the votes, there’s a chance that we will never again have Presidential elections in America decided by the Electoral College. I do not think people fully understand yet that Democrats won enough elections last night to permanently change this country in a way that may make things impossible to ever undo. Political parties operate off incentives. Their goal is to win elections, not permanently pander to a specific demographic constituency. While they can spend years or even decades in the wilderness, eventually, someone will look at the median voter and determine that he too can win an election by pandering to everyone to the Left or Right of that individual. So what happens when one side of the equation permanently changes the rules so that the median voter shifts from someone living in Ohio to say someone living in Virginia? The Beautiful Losers may not immediately return to power tomorrow, but make no mistake they are quietly waiting in the wings, hoping that Democrats change the rules of the American electoral process in order to permanently enshrine them as the natural controlled opposition.
If the remaining results go as expected, Democrats will hold governorships in states totaling 392 electoral votes.
433
965
139
10,002
919,088
Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
How do you know a research theme in 2015 is the "same" theme in 2020? Most thematic evolution maps answer by comparing keyword lists. Our new paper in the Journal of Informetrics argues that is not enough. 🧵 #ScienceMapping
1
3
9
475
Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
Paper rejected. Two reports. The AI written referee report was excellent, the human written one caught the missing references to their work.
15
65
8
1,364
116,993
Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
Il ministro della Pubblica amministrazione Paolo #Zangrillo afferma che servono hacker per la cybersicurezza, ma la Pa fatica a reclutarli: i meno pagati guadagnerebbero un milione l’anno, mentre il tetto retributivo pubblico è di 311mila euro. Chiede politiche salariali adeguate alle competenze richieste.
61
33
35
813
181,204
Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
I made some plots to help visualize why coalition formation in Israel is so difficult right now We are witnessing an extremely rare situation that political scientists call a "Condorcet cycle" - a demonstration of Arrow's impossibility theorem in the wild!
38
211
30
2,115
176,079
Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
What do you mean, everyone he talked to liked his costume.
I hate sf halloween, what do you mean you’re going as survivorship bias
69
1,701
23
65,489
765,291
Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
>openai >completely closed >altman >creates alternative to man >anthropic >hates humans >amodei >loves a machine god
23
667
8
10,785
130,803
Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
😊🤗
107
1,472
145
17,863
426,650
Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
New website for our Center for Computational Social Science and Human Dynamics in Trento, have a look at what we do! c2s2.unitn.it
2
61
2
317
9,681
Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
Carrion crows make decisions faster than monkeys and humans. Learn more in a new #SciencePerspective: scim.ag/4zmOF1i
75
635
103
3,210
162,509
Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
Just realized that the way most people talk to LLMs (lots of typos, short sentences, writing down the minimum information required for them to figure it out) is the same way that most CEOs talk to people
77
218
50
8,071
425,049
Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
Let's go!!! 50 years from now, people look back on current dentistry practices the way we look back at bloodletting.
🚨 BREAKTHROUGH: Scientists at the University of Nottingham have developed a new enamel-repairing gel that starts restoring teeth in just 2 WEEKS. This could replace fillings and change dental treatment worldwide, with use expected around late 2026–2027.
2
6
154
7,914