I do like 1 video a year if we're lucky lol (pinned) | mostly here to dump my thoughts on my readings, politics and the like
Joined January 2025
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Pinned Tweet
The yt channel if ur interested;) youtube.com/@given06?si
=4xfBD4tPBWw4wJ40https://youtube.com/@given06?si=4xfBD4tPBWw4wJ40
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Basic geopolitical understanding explains why it's in our best interest to side with another superpower against a superpower that's actively ramming our boats.
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In a realism standpoint of IR, we are forced to leverage the US and other western nations to defend our national territory. Not necessarily us capitulating fully to imperialism.
How in the world are we meant to demilitarize the WPS when China actively wants to seize it?
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Yup, I'm already back at it.
US midterm elections prediction up NOW!!!
youtu.be/6-mO38qTBGQ?si=QQ2q…
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Every Dem is using a sophisticated model called “PTSD” that subtracts 5 points from every red state Dem and 10 for Maine and South Carolina
Yup, I'm already back at it.
US midterm elections prediction up NOW!!!
youtu.be/6-mO38qTBGQ?si=QQ2q…
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Momentum Research releases their October national survey, their third poll this year. @momentumph_
Key results in this thread⬇️Expanded & Head-to-head matchups - topline:
President - Expanded List
🟩Duterte 44.3% (-1.5)
🟪Robredo 19.4% (-0.1)
🟥Tulfo 11.1% (-2.2)
🟪Aquino 4% (+0.1)
🟩Go 4% (+1.1)
🟪Hontiveros 3.3% (+1.2)
🟥Teodoro 1.5% (new)
🟥Remulla <1% (-1)
🟪Pangilinan <1% (0)
Hindi ko alam 9%
Hindi sigurado 4%
+/- vs. August 2026
Narrowed field with 3 potential candidates
🟩Duterte 50.6% (-4.9)
🟪Robredo 35.3% (+4.3)
🟥Teodoro 4% (August - Remulla 3.5%)
Narrowed field with only 2 potential candidates
🟩Duterte 53% (-5)
🟪Robredo 37% (+3)
Narrowed field, Baste Duterte replaces Sara Duterte
🟪Robredo 45.7% (new)
🟩Baste Duterte 43.2% (new)
For Vice President - Expanded list
🟩Padilla 20% (+5)
🟥Tulfo 18% (-7)
🟩Go 14% (0)
🟪Aquino 10% (+2)
🟩Marcoleta 9% (0)
🟪Pangilinan 7% (+4)
🟪Hontiveros 6% (-2)
🟩Marcos Imee 3% (0)
🟥Gatchalian 2% (-2)
🟥Teodoro 2% (new)
🟥Remulla 1% (0)
🟥Dizon 1% (+1)
@DeusXMachina14 @QuingAndre @CleveArguelles
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Some catches: In the expanded list, Sen. Tulfo at 28% and FVP Robredo at 25% are tied as the leading picks among pro-Marcos voters, followed by Duterte at 12%, Bong Go at 11%, Hontiveros at 7%, and Teodoro at 6%.
Among Independents: Duterte 32%, Robredo 21%, Tulfo 14%, Aquino 5%.
In a three-way race (among pro-Marcos voters): Robredo is at a near-majority 48%, Duterte at 28%, while presumed administration bet Teodoro is only at 15%.
Very close among Independents, with a 5-pt gap: Duterte 43%, Robredo 38%, Teodoro 4%.
For head-to-head matchups:
Pro-Marcos voters back Robredo by more than 2:1: Robredo 61%, Duterte 25%. Against Baste Duterte, it’s Robredo 71%-21%.
Among Independents, the same 5-pt gap: Duterte 46%, Robredo 41%. However, if it’s Baste Duterte, Robredo leads Independents by double digits, +13%.
Pro Duterte and the Opposition
Senators Padilla 39%, Bong Go 24%, and Marcoleta 16% are the main VP picks among pro-Duterte voters. If Baste replaces Inday, his support is at 80%, considerably lower. Robredo receives 15% in this scenario (among pro-Duterte voters).
A majority of opposition voters support Robredo in the expanded list, with 52%, followed by Duterte at 12%, Aquino at 10%, Hontiveros at 7%, Bong Go at 6%, and Tulfo at 5%.
In the matchups, Robredo is at 81-84%. The top VP picks from the opposition bloc are all senators: Bam Aquino at 29%, Kiko Pangilinan at 21%, Raffy Tulfo at 18%, and Risa Hontiveros at 17%.
@momentumph_ @DeusXMachina14 @QuingAndre
Momentum Research releases their October national survey, their third poll this year. @momentumph_
Key results in this thread⬇️Expanded & Head-to-head matchups - topline:
President - Expanded List
🟩Duterte 44.3% (-1.5)
🟪Robredo 19.4% (-0.1)
🟥Tulfo 11.1% (-2.2)
🟪Aquino 4% (+0.1)
🟩Go 4% (+1.1)
🟪Hontiveros 3.3% (+1.2)
🟥Teodoro 1.5% (new)
🟥Remulla <1% (-1)
🟪Pangilinan <1% (0)
Hindi ko alam 9%
Hindi sigurado 4%
+/- vs. August 2026
Narrowed field with 3 potential candidates
🟩Duterte 50.6% (-4.9)
🟪Robredo 35.3% (+4.3)
🟥Teodoro 4% (August - Remulla 3.5%)
Narrowed field with only 2 potential candidates
🟩Duterte 53% (-5)
🟪Robredo 37% (+3)
Narrowed field, Baste Duterte replaces Sara Duterte
🟪Robredo 45.7% (new)
🟩Baste Duterte 43.2% (new)
For Vice President - Expanded list
🟩Padilla 20% (+5)
🟥Tulfo 18% (-7)
🟩Go 14% (0)
🟪Aquino 10% (+2)
🟩Marcoleta 9% (0)
🟪Pangilinan 7% (+4)
🟪Hontiveros 6% (-2)
🟩Marcos Imee 3% (0)
🟥Gatchalian 2% (-2)
🟥Teodoro 2% (new)
🟥Remulla 1% (0)
🟥Dizon 1% (+1)
@DeusXMachina14 @QuingAndre @CleveArguelles
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The second largest swing when Sara is replaced by Baste is in NCR from 48.7% down -> 33.5% (MoE±7%)
This is how it would look like if plugged into the NEMO Swingmeter (including its neighbors) @QuingAndre
Some catches: In the expanded list, Sen. Tulfo at 28% and FVP Robredo at 25% are tied as the leading picks among pro-Marcos voters, followed by Duterte at 12%, Bong Go at 11%, Hontiveros at 7%, and Teodoro at 6%.
Among Independents: Duterte 32%, Robredo 21%, Tulfo 14%, Aquino 5%.
In a three-way race (among pro-Marcos voters): Robredo is at a near-majority 48%, Duterte at 28%, while presumed administration bet Teodoro is only at 15%.
Very close among Independents, with a 5-pt gap: Duterte 43%, Robredo 38%, Teodoro 4%.
For head-to-head matchups:
Pro-Marcos voters back Robredo by more than 2:1: Robredo 61%, Duterte 25%. Against Baste Duterte, it’s Robredo 71%-21%.
Among Independents, the same 5-pt gap: Duterte 46%, Robredo 41%. However, if it’s Baste Duterte, Robredo leads Independents by double digits, +13%.
Pro Duterte and the Opposition
Senators Padilla 39%, Bong Go 24%, and Marcoleta 16% are the main VP picks among pro-Duterte voters. If Baste replaces Inday, his support is at 80%, considerably lower. Robredo receives 15% in this scenario (among pro-Duterte voters).
A majority of opposition voters support Robredo in the expanded list, with 52%, followed by Duterte at 12%, Aquino at 10%, Hontiveros at 7%, Bong Go at 6%, and Tulfo at 5%.
In the matchups, Robredo is at 81-84%. The top VP picks from the opposition bloc are all senators: Bam Aquino at 29%, Kiko Pangilinan at 21%, Raffy Tulfo at 18%, and Risa Hontiveros at 17%.
@momentumph_ @DeusXMachina14 @QuingAndre
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People often forget that Rizal isn't just a Filipino hero but one of the first Pan-Malayan nationalists lol
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Tbh, may classmate ako sa UA&P na radio anchor tapos he told me na our province of Quezon will flip by 2025 elections in favor of DDS. Girl, hindi flip, trounced. Mas naging pink. HAHAHAHA.
We’re Bicol’s wall. Mas delikado pa nga CamNorte to fall to DDS than Quezon.
2028 Presidential Election: Independents (YouGov)
🟦AOC 40%
🟥JD Vance 28%
10/10-10/14
Link: thebulwark.com/p/new-poll-bu…
Duterte-Hontiveros voters once existed
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He's partly right and partly wrong.
No one cannot expect foreign firms / multinationals to willingly give up their trade secrets and intellectual property to be able to do business in the Philippines. That is indeed naive.
But the Philippines can require foreign firms to partner with domestic companies in manufacturing where the country can derive the most value-added benefit.
One problem with foreign capital has been how it tends to take advantage of a country's labor, land, and natural resources. Producing goods locally does create jobs. But if 80% of the value ends up in the hands of the foreign entity, it is not healthy for the host nation's long-term prosperity.
This is what China learned very early on. It didn't want Western companies going into China to build cars, tires, computers, cell phones, and appliances using their own natural resources and labor, while selling these to Chinese consumers at a huge markup, only to repatriate the bulk of the profits forever.
So, China's policy of technology transfer, while seen as unfair by many, likely prevented the country from ending up a very poor, inflation-ravaged, perennially low-cost manufacturer with a standard of living like Bangladesh. (No offence meant to Bangladesh people.)
Of course, the Philippines is nothing like China in terms of market size, which could allow it to demand similar terms to those China imposed on foreign investors. But it should learn to play to its strengths and advantages to derive AND retain the most value-added out of any foreign venture in the country.
FDI shouldn't just be about giving job opportunities and fixed capital, but also be a positive force in building up a nation's ability to become more self-sufficient while adequately guaranteeing all stakeholders' interests.
Investment expert Stevie CuUnjieng challenged calls for Filipino ownership and technology transfer in foreign-backed industrial projects, arguing that multinational companies cannot be expected to surrender their intellectual property simply because they establish operations in the Philippines.
During an interview with @ANCALERTS Market Edge host Michelle “Mimi” Ong, CuUnjieng responded to concerns initially raised by Caritas Philippines and Bishop Gerardo Alminaza over the proposed US-backed Pax Silica Industrial Hub in New Clark City, Tarlac. The Catholic organization called for greater Filipino ownership, stronger local manufacturing and technological development, expressing concern that the country could remain dependent on foreign-controlled supply chains.
CuUnjieng questioned how many products commonly used in the Philippines are developed through Filipino-owned technology, citing computers, smartphones and cameras. He also pointed to @ToyotaMotorCorp and @Microsoft as examples of multinational companies that retain control over their proprietary technologies when operating abroad.
He argued that foreign investments already provide economic benefits through employment, supply-chain opportunities and increased business activity. CuUnjieng maintained that technology transfer takes time and that countries can acquire knowledge, purchase technology and develop their own capabilities rather than expect foreign investors to provide immediate access to their intellectual property.
The exchange centered on whether foreign investments should be expected to strengthen Filipino ownership and technological independence, and how the Philippines can develop its domestic industries while attracting international companies.
Written by Niño G.
