Knight

NBA’s BEST BET🏀 Derrick White O 8.5 RA (-125 DK) 11/4 Prop #1 Pritchard and Tatum are questionable tonight. I can see both but at least one of call out as Boston is reliable with their reports. With Tatum off the floor, White gets more run to facilitate the offense with a 4.6% usg increase. Milwaukee at times like to blitz off-screen/spot up actions where White operates the most. That scheme has led to a ton of leaks at the rim where they are giving up 45% of the total assists from. Almost 40% of White’s assists are at the rim. PnR action should feast tonight. PnR guards has had major success vs MIL so far: Lamelo 9 RA, Ayo 20 RA Harden 13 RA, Mitchell 7 RA Vanvleet 11 RA Haliburton 15 RA Maxey 8, Edgecombe 15, Brown 8 Giddey 13 RA Young 13 asts Note that the Bucks are playing at a T3 pace so a ton of easy opportunities to go around as well.

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NFL TNF’s BEST BET🏈 Bijan Robinson O 14.5 Longest Rush (-139 DK) Week 3 Prop #3 This Green Bay run defense has been elite despite missing their All-Pro Edge (shocking). Giving up under 90 rush yards per game and is allowing the 2nd fewest YPC allowed. One minor tweak here: ATL in their 2 previous games has faced against defenses that closes the middle of the field much more often than GB. Green Bay is T5 in Middle of the Field Open Rate. The Packers in Wk1 gave up 5.7 YPC in outside zones vs MIN (28 longest) **Bijan’s outside longest vs PIT: 20 yds, 15 yds, 7 yds, 5 yds vs CAR: 4 yds, 8 yds, 8 yds, 11 yds** ATL has emphasize a ton of outside veers to get Bijan open in space. It’s been poor since defenses has clammed to load up due to Rush’s horrendous QB play. With Penix back, the pass game can open up a tad leading to less presence in the box. We’re asking Bijan to break 15 yards where they gave up 28 to Jordan Mason. I’m confident he connects here. Should be a tempo type of game here.

NFL SUNDAY’s BEST BET🏈 Carnell Tate U 42.5 Receiving Yards (-115 DK) Week 2 Prop #2 Tough spot for Tate going against an elite defense in Philly. First, Tate is a 1on1 downhill receiver but Philly plays in their 2-high formation with their elite outside CB in Quinyon Mitchell and a much-improved outside corner this season in Tariq Woolen. Offenses last season use to target the opposing outside corner of Mitchell and now that’s covered. Washington faced this defense last week and all of their production came from the slot between Williams and Diggs. The pure out-wide receiver in McLaurin had 2 recs 4 targets for 14 yards. Ward looked sloppy in Wk1 vs NYJ who has a solid defensive front but the DBs aren’t a strength for them and he struggled finding the outside receivers. Tate in his college history was less productive against 2-high defenses. Expecting that to carry on against Philly today.

NFL TNF’s BEST BET🏈 James Cook O 78.5 Rushing Yards (-113 FD) Week 2 Prop #1 Buffalo this past Sunday ran a ton of 3TE personnel. Led the league in snaps by the way. Even with them relying on the pass more going forward, Cook was still the focal point of the offense. They tried to ram it into HOU’s defense and Cook finished with 13 carries for 57 yards. This Detroit defense played 90 snaps this past Sunday vs NO. Buffalo should gash this defense in the run and force the depleted secondary to make plays nearly everytime. If you can get 13 for 57 against a HOU defense that stacked the box, you can get after it against DET in their light box.

NFL MNF BEST BET🏈 Rashee Rice U 5.5 Receptions (-140 MGM) 9/14 Prop #1 Don’t think this is a good matchup for Rice tonight. He’s more of a zone beater who can get the ball immediately, find open spots rather than trying to beat a man to receive the ball. Denver is a man heavy defense and I don’t see why they should run away from it. With the Chiefs LT Simmons out, I trust Denver to rely heavy on their man and trust the d-line to get home as this is Mahomes first game off of the ACL tear. Last season, Rice’s TPRR drops to -0.8 when facing man compared to zone. For YPRR? -2.42!! Rice faced this defense last season and recorded 6 receptions 9 targets for 38 yards. I’m going to take the gamble that it gets more difficult for him tonight.

NFL’s BEST BET🏈 Rhamondre Stevenson O 23.5 Receiving Yards (-112 DK) 9/9 Prop #2 Rhamondre is the clear RB1 for this matchup. Henderson is officially out who’s the 3rd down back even though Mondre has performed miles better than him last season. McDonald’s defense is an elite pressure group without blitzing and Drake had a rough time in the previous meeting. SEA’s defense is built to limit the big plays with their 2-high set and funnel everything underneath. Because of that, Seattle gave up the most catches, targets, and 2nd most rec yards to RBs. Previous meeting: Stevenson 5 recs 40 yds Henderson 3 recs 26 yds That’s 8 total targets to RBs and now Henderson is out for tonight. This is Mondre’s backfield and with AJ Brown now at the helm, Seattle needs to respect the deep game and force checkdowns as usual.

Yeah, it’s that simple. Access to this in my bio 🔥 ✅🥉Athletics ML (+150) ✅🥈Athletics +1 1H (-126)

CFB Week 1 Saturday’s BEST BETS🏈 Jeremiah Smith O 83.5 Receiving Yards (-114 DK) Jai’den Thomas O 70.5 Rushing Yards (-114 DK) Alabama Crimson Tide -27.5 (-128 DK) Marshall Thundering Herd +24.5 (-139 DK) Let’s get after it today💰

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NFL Preseason Props Tonight‼️ Jordan Love 25+ Passing Yards 1.86x (Kalshi) Bryce Young O 43.5 Passing Yards (PrizePicks) Panthers ml -124 Let’s get after it💰