keep learning. don't follow me for meaningful posts, just reposting stuff
Middle Earth
Joined November 2022
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I just invested into some 151 Pokemon UPC boxes. Not stocks, not bonds, not wine, not bags, not watches, BUT Pokemon cards. I do have a thesis for this and why I believe this set is investable. Maybe will write about it.
Mad Equities retweeted
It’s time. After years of buy the dip they’re going to flush every Semi, Neocloud, Cryto perma bull out of this market. It’s not shocking or new, this happens over and over when a new crew of traders never experiences the price action of a full market cycle.
How many of those 2020 Bull accounts do you still see here? Exactly.
First time after a long sell off/bear that BTC retakes the 200dma, tries to rally and then fails/loses it again so fast.
The pattern appears to have changed, the previous bears, when BTC recovered the 200dma, the bear was over. You got a retest a few months later which held then they went higher. This is something new… unless BTC retakes the 200 and rallies sharply in the next few weeks… it looks like it’s not over until Saylor gets Leopold’d.
Mad Equities retweeted
Pretty funny that the AI trade is breaking down right as AI actually gets good
Mad Equities retweeted
BREAKING: The petition to reinstate Jensen Huang as CEO of Nvidia, $NVDA, has reached over 100,000 signatures.
The petition has been signed by more than 53,000 shareholders and 6,200 current and former Nvidia employees.
In the first 24 hours of the petition, nearly 15% of employees at Nvidia have signed it.
The board has yet to comment on it.
Mad Equities retweeted
I’m not here to predict a bear or even care, know, or necessarily think we have one but in the 2022 start to Bear there was a 2 week period where most leaders broke the 10wk MA’s. We are getting that this week. At best time is need, ideally we flash V crash.
Mad Equities retweeted
Starting to see more charts look like the one below.
When you get a move off the bottom in a stock, chances of a V-bounce are very low unless the overall market is coming out of a deep correction bottom at the same time.
Instead what happens is these stocks need to base and wait for a better market to breakout.
Odds on the short side decrease when volume starts to come in and buyers are establishing more support, but they also don't have enough power to start a new uptrend.
So you have to keep waiting on charts like this, buying too early doesn't do any good and you can get chopped up in Stage 1, which can last for months.
Mad Equities retweeted
At first, I was disgusted with the New York Times for publishing this.
Then I saw someone who’d made money thanks to Jensen Huang jump at the chance to tear him down the moment he fell. That taught me just how ugly people can be.
It makes me sick.
My take on current events.
"Mr. Huang’s unraveling is not a technology story. It is a timeless tale of masculine hubris, of a man undone by reckless overconfidence. Some things never change."
nytimes.com/2026/11/12/opini…
Mad Equities retweeted
Be Jensen:
> Asian American Dishwasher at Dennys
> Founded $NVDA and pioneered GPU computing
> Took an extraordinary gamble in CUDA, despite the company close to bankruptcy risk.
> Bet paid off heavily, and Nvidia was there as the infrastructure for deep learning and generative AI.
> Spent last 33 years of his life growing $NVDA, and finally saw it become a $5T+ company
> Devoted his life to establishing American AI leadership
> Started having more influence on policies that Washington conflicted with
> Leaks and hit pieces happen all at once around midterms
> Washington tries to push out others like Lutnick that shared similar China stances to Jensen.
> Forced to resign by Taco Bell and NFL experience board members over unconfirmed Spy accusations + personal relationships.
> Huang's leadership then questioned by politicians that ask how $META makes money or how Wifi works.
> Slandered by US media that think because Mcdonalds did well under a CEO change, so can American semiconductors like $NVDA.
This feels like a horrible joke. Jensen Huang was the pinnacle of visionary tech CEOs and living the American dream.
Ousting Jensen Huang will go down as one of most consequential and darkest decisions in recent US history.
Mad Equities retweeted
I had a great conversation with Max about AI, hope you enjoy it.
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Disclosure: Militia Capital YTD net returns as of 9/30/2026 are +36.0% (militiacapital.com) with +832% cumulative and 48.3% annualized net returns since inception (1/29/2021). 2026 returns are unaudited. Individual investor results may vary based on timing of investment and fees.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any investment in the fund involves risk, including possible loss of principal. This is not an offer to sell or a solicitation.
Views expressed are David Orr's opinions as of the recording date, are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and may change. Militia may hold or trade the securities discussed.
Max Wiethe and OPM are not investors in the fund and were not compensated by Militia for this content.
Militia Capital is +36% YTD and +832% since inception, a staggering +48.3% annualized.
I've sat down with @orrdavid before on @opmpod but always to discuss his views on the hedge fund industry.
In this episode we focused exclusively on his market views and why he thinks AI is in oversupply.
Despite this oversupply he sees massive disruptions coming to software industry and white collar labor.
The crux of his view is that AI models have gotten so good so fast that even replacing huge amounts of white collar jobs won't require much compute.
Software companies are currently the only real customers he sees and unless we start throwing tons of compute at technological advancement and curing cancer he thinks we'll be oversupplied in the short term.
Listen/subscribe to @opmpod on your favorite platform:
YouTube: bit.ly/4Aivq9s
Spotify: bit.ly/4BY4Wvx
Apple: bit.ly/48egvRH
Mad Equities retweeted
Jensen Huang has faced more consequences than virtually anyone in the Epstein Files.
Mad Equities retweeted
🚨 Mohnish Pabrai has now allocated a staggering 95% of his US stock portfolio to coal stocks!
Mad Equities retweeted
A major player has orchestrated the downfall of Jensen Huang. It is blatantly obvious, and we should all demand an investigation into figuring out who is behind it.
Too much is at stake here bc of how important AI will be in the future.
I hope investigative journalists dig deep
Bombshell story. The spy narrative is collapsing already.
Is there clear & convincing evidence that Alice Huang was a Chinese spy?
- AG says no. (“no conclusions reached”).
- CIA says no. (“not yet convinced”).
- DNI says no (“not entirely accurate and over-torqued”).
- Ranking Democrat on House Intelligence (incoming Chairman) says no. (“today, at least, I don’t know”). This was immediately after he was briefed.
Who argues otherwise? Anonymous officials tell CNN “it strains credulity to believe that she was not acting as an agent of the Chinese government — simply by virtue of the fact that she is a successful Chinese businesswoman working with one of America’s most powerful companies.”
This is their proof after a year of investigating and surveillance? That she was a “successful Chinese businesswoman”?
At this point, the only crime that we know for sure happened is the leaking of the classified memo. Who did that and why?
An investigation should be opened.
Mad Equities retweeted
I see this a lot.
For example, traders will talk about “the market” as being good or bad at any point in time.
Yet, what they’re actually trying to say is “the type of stocks I trade aren’t doing well (or are doing well).”
If the type of stocks you trade aren’t doing well you have three options:
1) Stay on the sidelines and be patient
2) Stay on the sidelines and be patient while you try to convince everyone else why they should do the same
3) Move to areas of the market where the money IS going to
Option 1 is fine, option 3 is fine.
Option 2 isn’t fine.
