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人住美國加州,平時是航太工程師、週末是 Crypto 研究員 用鏈上數據+創投視角拆解幣圈商業模式: 「這代幣到底值不值得投?還是在騙我錢?🥹」 投資加密貨幣就是投資新創 — 找幣圈的下一個 🍎

5,000+ 訂閱的深度幣圈報告 →
Joined November 2020
Photo by Max (@MaxCryptoSpace)Photo by Max (@MaxCryptoSpace)Photo by Max (@MaxCryptoSpace)Photo by Max (@MaxCryptoSpace)Photo by Max (@MaxCryptoSpace)Photo by Max (@MaxCryptoSpace)Photo by Max (@MaxCryptoSpace)Photo by Max (@MaxCryptoSpace)Photo by Max (@MaxCryptoSpace)Photo by Max (@MaxCryptoSpace)
Claude Duet @claudeai 目前只開美國 waitlist,中文圈應該還沒什麼人用到,幫大家跟 Grokbot @bot、Meta Muse @muse 比一下 先講體感排名(我還在測試,可能之後會變) 積極性:Muse > Grokbot > Duet UX/UI:Grokbot > Muse > Duet 防護措施(限制能力):Duet > Grokbot > Muse 作為 Claude 忠實用戶($200 MAX 方案),今天終於被通知可以開始使用 Claude Duet 首先 Claude Duet 是單 Agent 設計(像是 Muse):你會跟一個主 Thread 對話,如果有分支任務就會另開 sub-thread 執行 這些 sub-thread 小分支會放在 Task 版面,追蹤上還算容易 另外,Duet 因為是 Claude 原生系列,自帶 Claude Code 連接橋 -- 理論上 Claude Code 的 session 可以 handoff 到 Duet 上面,很適合大量工作已經在 Claude 生態的人,不過測試上好像還無法無縫銜接 Anthropic 說 Duet 會沿用你帳號既有的 memory、skills 和 connectors,但 project 裡面的 memory 就不知道 再來說點雜七雜八的小缺點 1. 我覺得 UX 需要加強一下,整體用起來有一點點卡卡的,不知道是 Opus 5.5 自動夾帶 Thinking 還是因為我給的資料太多,有時回一些簡單東西也需要跑很久 2. 有時 Duet 問我一些 Follow-up 問題但沒有給選擇的卡片,反而要我一個個回答,希望可以把這加回去 3. Duet 還沒辦法接管 VM 電腦桌面,Guardrail 也做得很足,交易證券、轉帳這種事就算你批准它也不做 我覺得 Anthropic 並沒有把很多研發精力放在 Duet 上(偏 to C 應用,不是賺錢主力) 反而 Grokbot 是 xAI 跟 Cursor 一起做的,加上與 X 的原生連結,在 UX/UI 上使用非常絲滑 (持續測試,Duet 目前還在 beta 階段,也許我到時就被打臉了 hehe)
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Anthropic 要 IPO 了,但這次有個蠻有趣的地方:你買得到股票,買不到控制權 TL;DR 🔶 一般散戶買的是 Class A:可以分錢,但投票權加起來只有 49.9% 🔶 7 位創辦人固定 50.1% 股東票(股東會完全控制) 🔶 超過一半董事會由一個信託選出(信託人不能持股) 拆開來看,有 5 種類型股票: 1️⃣ 可以分錢 Class A:IPO 買家、早期投資人,還有創辦人自己的股票 Class N:Amazon、Google 這些策略夥伴,有分錢但 0 票 2️⃣ 有控制權(不分錢) Class F:創辦人 LLC 那 1 股,固定 50.1% 股東票,7 個創辦人剩不到 3 個才會進入註銷程序 Class T:5 位信託人,不准持股、薪水固定,只負責選董事會過半 另外員工拿 Class E:不分錢,只在少數事項有票 3️⃣ 實際誰說了算 董事會過半是信託選的,其餘席次靠股東投票(aka 創辦人說了算) 日常經營是 CEO Dario 跟總裁 Daniela,兩個都是共同創辦人 以前的案例: Google、Meta 上市用的是創辦人股票一股 10 票,Zuckerberg 到現在一個人握有超過 60% 投票權 Snapchat 2017 年更直接,賣給大家的股票零投票權 Anthropic 多做了一層:有一群不持股的人在選董事會(確保中立) 另外 S-1 寫了 $ANT 可預見的未來不打算配息(高成長股) 現在講講為什麼要這樣設計? 首先 Anthropic 認為 AI 是一個公共利益,需要有足夠的控制權,保證公司的 movement 跟他們的使命一致,而不是被股東把持 我自己看過太多上市公司一上市就被股東把持,公司朝股東想要的地方走,which actually means 利益最大化 但利益最大化不代表「公共利益最大化」 大家會參與 IPO 嗎?我自己身為 Claude 深度使用者應該是會參與
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EtherFi 免費機場貴賓室來了! TL;DR: 🔶 在 Visa Airport Companion App 買單次 lounge pass,只要用 EtherFi 卡付就有 100% 退款 🔶 Luxe 一年 2 次,Pinnacle、VIP 無限次 🔶 不用手動開通,綁卡付款就會自動退 幾個小細節: 1. 每次最多退 $49,目前 pass 價格在 $32–$49,等於全額 2. 退的應該是 $ETHFI,可以手動在 7 天後換成 U 3. 一天只能用 1 次,而且不能帶朋友 4. 不會再疊一般刷卡回饋,$37 的 pass 就退 $37 5. 額度每年 1 月 1 日重置,沒用完不累積 6. 只算 App 裡直接買的單次 pass(綁定 category 及商家) 想升等的話: Luxe:每月刷 $5K、Liquid 放 $15K、質押 30K $ETHFI,或直接 $199 買一年 Pinnacle:每月刷 $25K、Liquid 放 $100K、質押 150K $ETHFI,或 $999 買一年 官方 document、邀請連結放留言
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Grok @bot 實用功能:整理 X 追蹤名單 一直以來最困擾的就是 X 沒有好的方法能大量退追帳號(畢竟有些帳號經過牛熊市早就不發文了) 導致我的 timeline 有一堆官方行銷/早就不發文的帳號 Grok Bot 可以幫你: 1. 把追蹤帳號全部抓下來,看最後發文時間、發文量、領域 2. 自動分成「保留/建議退追/你自己看」 3. 我確認名單後,它直接用瀏覽器幫我退追 我叫 Grok Bot 把我的追蹤名單清理了一遍,從 726 → 362,退掉了 364 個官方帳號(只留 16 個核心 + 6 個我指定的) 裡面很多是: * 超過 90 天沒發文的 * 空投、邀請碼、推銷號 * 鏈、交易所、媒體的行銷帳號 現在 timeline 只留下朋友,或是「有料、有在輸出」的人,資訊密度現在很棒 小提醒: 1. 一定要先看名單再確認,不要讓它直接退 2. 退太快會被 X 限流,我是每 3 小時退 40 個慢慢跑 Prompt 放留言 👇 直接複製就能用
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咦剛發現 EtherFi 有個新的 perks 功能 每個人應該會被空投幾種不一樣的額外福利(去個人 > Promotions 查看) 我自己是: 1. 5% 刷卡回饋(接下來 $15K 消費,最多回 $750 美金) 2. 每天請你喝一杯咖啡(每杯最多 $7 美金) 3. 資金免手續費傳輸(一個月內,額度 $40K 美金) 不過一次只能選一個,而且需要做任務才拿得到(推薦朋友、存錢進 Liquid、跟刷卡) 看下來 1/2 都不錯,大家拿到哪些? @ether_fi
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我的 Tier List,歡迎交流 ✌️
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這圖表蠻有趣的,單純從 P/E 這數值來看: 1. 大家對於 Perp/DEX 會給一個類似於上周期「L1 Premium」的感覺,我推測是因為這種商業模型比較穩定,可持續性高,所以 PE ratio 可以到 30 幾,像是 $HYPE $LIT $UNI 2. 迷因發射平台自帶 Discount,像 $PUMP $PONS 雖然能產生很多費用,但是大家對於它的利潤可持續性會有很多懷疑 其中 $PUMP 因為已經走過一整個熊市(還能保持利潤穩定性),所以能拿到快要 10 的 P/E,其他 $PONS $STONK 還需要時間觀察 3. Venice 蠻有趣的,我沒記錯之前社群還在吵股權 vs 代幣的價值捕獲,這種項目可以炒到 P/E 141,我認為可以側面說明 Crypto AI 好項目的稀缺性 4. $CAKE 一定要拉出來說一下,我認為 Pancake 基本面一直以來都不錯,穩定回購+穩定收益,但價格走勢一直都不怎麼樣。之前在 3 年前進場過,之後就轉倉了
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Ethena 這消息蠻值得關注,因為第一眼會覺得「誒不對,ENA 之前不是已經跟幣安有合作了?穩定幣不是嗎?還因此有 10/11 事件」 但深看一層,這是 Ethena 在擴展商業模型:原本 delta neutral(現貨+空永續)只 cover 幣圈,現在有了美股代幣,他們可以現貨用 Binance 的代幣化股票 bStocks,對沖用 Binance 美股永續 然後幣安會給 Ethena 比較低的 ADL 優先級(就是比較晚才會被 ADL 自動減倉),很大程度保護了 Ethena 的 basis trade 策略 蠻看好這可以打開 Ethena 另一條大門(美股穩定太多了),然後持續推動 $USDe 的採用,而且美股 basis 過去半年平均有 11%+(很吸引人) 按照之前通過的 Fee Switch 提案,只要 USDe 破 $7.5B,總協議收入的 5% 會進基金會,其中 95% 拿去回購 $ENA;$10B → 10%,$15B → 15% 現在 USDe $4.9B,可以觀察 USDe 的增發量來判斷 另外就是要看幣安美股合約的真實深度了,不然可能做不起來
Ethena is partnering with @Binance as our first venue for the extension of the basis trade into equity perpetuals, one of the most exciting updates to the USDe collateral backing since launch. This expands the addressable market of underlying collateral from $2.5 trillion of crypto to $150 trillion+ of real-world assets. As part of the partnership, bStocks will serve as tokenized spot collateral, hedged with Binance USDT-denominated equity perpetuals - the same delta-neutral structure Ethena has securely executed across crypto assets since inception. Importantly, Binance provides lower ADL priority for eligible delta-neutral accounts including Ethena's, adding another layer of risk mitigation for USDe holders. Binance equity basis has averaged ~11%+ annualized over the past 6 months, while open interest has grown on average ~30% per month in the last 3 month period. We expect the market opportunity size for equity perpetuals to far exceed the $15b+ of crypto perpetuals captured by Ethena last cycle. Allocations begin today.
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EtherFi 這兩天把一些回饋規則改了,整理幾個影響最大的: 1. 刷卡回饋改發 ethereum:0xfe0c30065b384f05761f15d0cc899d4f9f9cc0eb (原本是 $USDC ) 刷卡回饋按當下幣價換成 ethereum:0xfe0c30065b384f05761f15d0cc899d4f9f9cc0eb,鎖 7 天+累積到 $5 才能領取。另外寫 6 個月沒領會失效。 2. 升 Luxe 的門檻重算 點數門檻 10K → 5K 刷卡積點的兌換比例下降,純刷卡現在要月刷 $5,000 才升得上去(之前 $3,334) 質押路線 15K → 30K ethereum:0xfe0c30065b384f05761f15d0cc899d4f9f9cc0eb,另外多了存 $15K 進 Liquid、或付 $199/年兩條路 3. 訂閱回饋每月選一次 Luxe 10%、Pinnacle 20%、VIP 30%,一次只能選一個類別、每 30 天換一次 4. 帳戶保障 9/4 生效 Core $10K、VIP $500K,全站一年總池 $5M,保護 Safe 跟 CashModule 合約被駭。要先開 recovery(帳戶復原)功能才有資格 不保護私鑰被盜、oracle 出錯、脫鉤 🕵️‍♂️ 雖然回饋 $ETH or $USDC 很讚,但我覺得把刷卡回饋幣種改成 ethereum:0xfe0c30065b384f05761f15d0cc899d4f9f9cc0eb 是正確的事(以永續經營下去的情況考慮),畢竟他們有每月回購 能持續下去才能長久,另外也可以把 ethereum:0xfe0c30065b384f05761f15d0cc899d4f9f9cc0eb 直接換成其他代幣 再來帳戶保障是很大加分,如果 EtherFi 出事大多會是因為 Cash Module,安全性很重要 整體下來應該是 Bullish ethereum:0xfe0c30065b384f05761f15d0cc899d4f9f9cc0eb 代幣,EtherFi 目前看來商業模型越來越穩定了 @ether_fi
四張加密支付卡一次比完:EtherFi、OKX、幣安、Coinbase 先講我自己會怎麼選: 🔶 EtherFi Cash → 整體最優+自託管 🔶 OKX Card → 小資神卡,月刷 $250 以內 CP 高 🔶 幣安卡 → Nah 不推 🔶 Coinbase One → 我的愛卡,但美國限定 先把廣告數字跟實際拿到的攤開來: 1. EtherFi 廣告 4%,一般人拿 3% 4% 是 VIP 等級。Core 用戶前 $2,000 是 3%,之後掉到 1%/0.5%,換匯再扣 1–1.5% 2. OKX 的 10% 要 VIP 4 以上,非 VIP 是 2% 問題是每月回饋上限只有 $5,月刷 $250 就打滿,之後刷再多都是 0(而且只有用 $USDG 扣款才計回饋,拿 $USDT 刷一整個月是 0) 3. Binance 的 3% 要月刷滿 $1,000 才跳得到 沒刷滿回饋直接砍,台幣消費又被當成海外交易收 2% 手續費,回饋幾乎被吃光 4. Coinbase One 廣告 4%,要在 Coinbase 持倉 $200K 才有,還只算每月前 $10K 消費 條件是四張裡最單純的(真信用卡走 Amex、金屬卡、0% 外幣費),但美國限定,台灣辦不到 @okxchinese @ether_fi
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最近 solana:BPxxfRCXkUVhig4HS1Lh7kZqV6SPJhzfEk4x6fVBjPCy 漲幅驚人。作為早期就看到 Backpack、還訪談過創辦人 Armani 的人,我又回去翻了一輪資料,有幾個蠻酷的更新: 先講美股這塊: 1. Backpack 上的美股是真實股票,跟你在嘉信、IBKR 開戶買股同性質(DTCC 結算,連結你的 KYC、可收股息、有投票權) 補一個小細節:Backpack 本身不是券商,它走白標 — 美國持牌、但做交易的是 Atomic Vaults Securities,清算託管是 RQD Clearing(兩家都是 SEC 註冊) 2. 美股也能當統一保證金:這比較少見,是讓股票、加密現貨、永續共用一個保證金帳戶,資本效率可以拉很高(當然 — 清算時也是一起清算 XD) 3. 真實股票跟「鏈上股票」能一鍵互換、不用賣掉再買:想享股權分紅就保持真實形態,想進 Solana DeFi 做抵押、借貸就換成鏈上形態 官方給的例子是 — 交易時段持真實股票、收盤後轉成鏈上去玩 DeFi,又是一層資本效率 再來講平台幣 solana:BPxxfRCXkUVhig4HS1Lh7kZqV6SPJhzfEk4x6fVBjPCy: 1. BP 目前沒有什麼價值捕獲(沒有費用分潤、回購這類直接回流代幣的機制),主要效用是降手續費 + 更高的 USD 存款收益;「IPO access」和 Backpack 卡片都還沒上線。 2. 比較有意思的是 BP 之後能換 Backpack 股權:質押滿 12 個月,在 Exit Event(IPO 或被併購)觸發時,可透過 SPV 把 BP 轉成真實公司股權,這個池子上限是公司 20% 股份 方向很明顯是衝 IPO(像 Coinbase) 3. 簡單算一下:1000 顆 solana:BPxxfRCXkUVhig4HS1Lh7kZqV6SPJhzfEk4x6fVBjPCy 鎖 3 年大約換 0.00014% 股權(現在 1000 顆約 $660)。如果 Backpack IPO 做到 Coinbase 一半,約 $20B,那這 0.00014% 約值 $28K 但股權這塊變數很多,算高風險高回報 4. 流通量結構:25% 在 TGE 就釋出,而且 100% 給社群 — 創辦人、員工、VC 在 TGE 一顆都沒拿。另外 37.5% 隨 milestone(例如拿到監管牌照)解鎖,最後 37.5% 是策略金庫、要 IPO 上市才解鎖。所以沒有傳統那種團隊解鎖砸盤的時程,團隊利益是綁在公司股權(aka IPO)上 整體看,BP 這套代幣經濟設計蠻有意思 — 把代幣價值跟公司股權、IPO 綁在一起,「直接換股權」這招的確吸引人,但也可能引來監管單位的注意 至於 IPO 之後 BP 代幣本身的效用就不多評論了,大概就是直接被砸盤吧 🤣
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$STRC 從 $100 脫鉤砸到 $88,然後看到有人把這比喻成「Luna 死亡螺旋」 ??Why,這兩者運作方式完全不一樣吧 $UST 當年會死,是因為它有固定贖回路徑 — 1 顆 UST 永遠能換到 1 美元的 LUNA 只要信心一崩,大家就會狂燒 UST 去鑄 LUNA,LUNA 無限增發、價格就歸零,儲備金(當時買的 BTC 被迫要賣出),才拉垮整個 DeFi 與幣圈 $STRC 明顯不一樣,它沒有固定贖回路徑,作為永續優先股, $STRC 不能拿去跟 $MSTR 換回 100 塊,唯一的出口就是在市場上賣掉 STRC 是自由市場資產,價格會隨著「市場對於 Strategy 的償付信心」浮動(恰恰又跟 bitcoin:native 價格相關),會脫鉤不奇怪 整理一下 STRC 脫鉤的幾大影響: 1. 以 STRC 而生的 DeFi 產品 2. STRC 需調整利息(從 11.5% 往上加),這會影響未來可用現金流 3. 如果沒回穩,投資者對於這種工具會失去信心,進階影響 Strategy 未來籌錢的能力 當然 Strategy 也可以考慮不護盤,反正就算 $STRC 跌到 50,他們也不會被清算。只是這樣搞之後 Strategy 可能再也籌不到錢買 BTC,所以這是下下策 我預估 Strategy 會在近期透過方法(像是增發 MSTR 股票)來增加現金並調整 STRC Yield %,盡量讓 STRC 回穩,撐到下個牛市到來 反面來看 Bitmine 買 $ETH 的情況就好很多,本身 $ETH 可以質押產生現金流(現在大概每年 ~$280M),所以 Bitmine 搞這一套會更簡單一些
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跟几个朋友聊 $ETH 的前景问题,正好头脑风暴了下,我觉得思考清楚了,对你是否继续持有ETH和信仰以太坊会有帮助: 两个问题: 1)若以太坊上的当前DeFi协议锁仓价值(TVL)进一步抬升10倍,你觉得 $ETH 价值能破 $10000 吗? 2)若以太坊上Staking、Restaking以及原生POS挖矿等各类理财APY收益能持续高于甚至2倍于美国国债,你会把自有资产的80%以上放到链上吗? 三个答案: 1)美国GENIUS Act和CLARITY Act等稳定币相关法案接连落地,会扫清传统机构入场的最大障碍,包括BlackRock、JPMorgan等在内的机构会大规模布局稳定币,并沉淀资金到链上,其链上沉淀资产达到其总持仓资产AUM的20%以上,这大水漫灌的滔天资金入场,十倍TVL的扩张根本不在话下; 2)当RWAFi资产代币化叙事进一步落地,Tokenization股票规模达到万亿美元以上,而你玩转DeFi的价值资产从BTC、ETH、SOL等高波动资产变成了S&P 500、QQQ、NVDA等,DeFi行业会真正甩开套娃包袱,迎来真正的第二春,届时围绕美股代币化后的衍生品创新市场会雨后春笋般绽放,新一波有真实价值资产支撑的“套娃”游戏开启,你是否期待? 3)以太坊真正把zkVM、zk-SNARKs、FHE等一大批技术叙事转化落地成隐私和高性能交易引擎解决方案。机构可以再链上做大额交易、高频做市、套利,且催生以太坊版本的Hyperliquid。届时机构对公链“全透明”的需求和芥蒂矛盾完全找到最优解,以太坊金融结算链的叙事得到落实,真正围绕超级金融时代(DeFi、CeDeFi、TradFi)的大规模创新金融时代继而来临。没准能盘活一大批死掉的协议、应用和扩展链,一个开发者活跃度超越AI的大自由、平权化市场是不是更有造富效应? 以上。 认真思考完以上两个问题,和三个可能性结果,相信每一个ETH Holder内心都会有“新”的答案。
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一些關於 ethereum:native /以太坊的思考: 1. L2 策略沒有錯:當初要是 Ethreum 不做 Layer 2,市場份額可能早被 Solana 分走了,不會有今天的龍頭地位 2. 要是 EF 不追求中立+縮小自己的權利,那大型機構不會這麼容易就優先選擇進駐以太坊 3. CROPS 恰恰是 Ethreum 最強 BD 手段:只要在混亂的時間保持中立+安全,錢就會來 4. 以太坊 L1 要解決收租、價值捕獲問題,那就先從整頓 L2 做起。太多 L2 虛有其名,只是成立起來收排序器費用 5. L2 搞定後,再來就是 Layer1 的效率擴展 最後,也是最重要的,需要一個類似 EF 的單位來領導、幫助 ETH 的價值捕獲 (不要覺得 ethereum:native 幣價不重要,要是繼續跌那 L1 安全性、生態成長飛輪該怎麼辦?) 我認為 Uniswap、Aave、Lidos 等等的 DeFi 龍頭需要聚集起來,名字都想好了,就叫做 EU(Ethereum United)或是 SF(Second Foundation) Some actions are needed 👊
紀念一下 5/22/2026,ETH 士氣最低的一個日子 一年後對照一下 ethereum:native 幣價 🔶 只要銀行持續印錢,BTC 就會繼續漲 只要有抗審查金融需求,ETH 就會存在
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最近的穩定幣思考:我認為 Tether 與 Circle 的地位短時間(3 年內)很難撼動,因為先行者優勢太過巨大 除了 Circle、Tether 自己耍笨以外,要撼動他們只有兩條路: 1. 賺更多錢的穩定幣 新競爭者 allocate 行銷預算,給更高的穩定幣利息(像是持有 $USD1 給更高存款 APY),但這個留不下忠實客戶,其他人也能做,甚至長期來看降低利潤 2. 更萬用的穩定幣 藉由與大型分發管道合作,讓用戶能用此穩定幣做更多的使用空間(像是 Paypal USD 可以做商家支付),這樣做還可以把用戶綁在自己的生態空間裡 因此「優秀的分發管道」將會被穩定幣發行商轟搶(或者說已經在搶了) Circle 每年付 Coinbase 50% 分潤不是因為慷慨 — 是因為 Coinbase 這個分發管道太強了,甚至直對 Crypto 用戶。沒有 Coinbase, $USDC 就失去最大的入口 Paxos 成立 $USDG 搶到 Kraken、OKX(借由 Global Dollar Network,承諾 100% 利潤返還); $PYUSD 自己有 Paypal;甚至 SoFi 也在今天發了自家穩定幣 $SoFiD 接下來要看的不是誰的利率高,是誰拿到了分發商的獨家: • Coinbase → USDC(已鎖定,AQAv2 連 Hyperliquid 都拿下了) • Telegram → 支持誰?TON 生態目前用 USDT • LINE → 支持誰?日本市場巨大 • X 會自己發 X Money(推測也能做穩定幣) • Apple Pay / iPhone → 支持誰?Apple 會自己進場嗎? Just some thoughts
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Vitalik 剛發了一篇長文回應最近 ETH 的危機,我節錄幾個重點(第三點我看到很驚訝XD) 1. Ethereum L1 的成功定義 很明確 — Ethereum 不追 250ms + 1M TPS。「只比別人多一點去中心化,是通往平庸的路,我們會輸」 ETH 要贏的是 CROPS(抗審查、抗捕獲、開放、隱私、安全),具體要做: • AI 輔助 formal verification → 可證明無 bug 的 Ethereum • 唯一同時擁有 BFT + PoW 式安全性的鏈(其他鏈只有其中一種) • 去中介化 — 錢包不該依賴第三方、不該洩漏隱私 2. EF 的使命 = 縮小自己 EF 只持有全網 0.16% 的 ETH(其他公鏈基金會 10-50%)。EF 不是以太坊的中心,只是「一個有特定使命的節點」 近期的人才流失是刻意的 — 這些擁有相同 vision 的人才能吸引外部資金,從外在角度改變 Ethereum,而不是全部依賴 EF 少賣 ethereum:native ,專注做「如果 EF 不做就沒人會做」的事 3. ethereum:native the asset 需要幫助 來了,Vitalik 承認了:ETH 作為資產的價值支撐,有些「必要的工作」超出 EF 的範圍 這就是之前在討論的 financial incentive alignment 原話:「This is where we need other heroes — some of whom hold more ETH than the EF does — to step in and help」 翻譯:EF 不會也不該做 ETH 的價格管理、市場推廣、或機構 BD。這些需要「其他英雄」來做 @BitMNR 持有全網 4.37% 的 ETH — 比 EF 的 0.16% 多 27 倍 Calling @fundstrat(Bitmine):Are you willing to be this hero?
Some of my perspective on where the @ethereumfndn is going. First of all, this is only my own view. The board is not just me, and I have no extra special powers on the board that the other board members do not. @aerugoettinea is the one executing much of this transition. My input has been largely on technical questions. The board is in the process of expanding, and my own power within the org will continue to decrease, which is honestly what I want. The 2025 era brought many important improvements to EF and its ability to execute. Many issues were resolved, and EF continues to benefit from its improved efficiency and greater focus on concrete goals to this day. And so with those problems resolved, early this year, the largest remaining hole that I perceived was something different nagging at me: I would regularly spot people saying things like "vitalik says these beautiful things about ethereum needing to be decentralized, and have privacy, and be a sanctuary technology, but why do the EF's actions not reflect that?" Now, you may have been hearing something different. You may not have been sensing a feeling of crisis at all, and maybe were hearing people saying that finally we were taking execution and BD seriously and the main task for us is to keep going that way and be even better and faster. Then probably there is genuine difference between you and me, in what kinds of criticism I take most seriously, and what kinds of critics through their criticism are most able to make me feel pain. As an analogy, let's briefly switch over to a different domain. One belief you can have about Google is that it is a success story, and has brought a lot of good to humanity in organizing the world's information. Another belief you can have about Google is that they had a beautiful idealistic beginning, but at some point the corruption of mainstream corporate attitudes seeped in, and they slowly bit by bit completely abandoned the "don't be evil" slogan. My belief on Google specifically is probably somewhere between the two. BUT, if you had taken me back in time to ~2008, and offered me a button to press to make Google one or two standard deviations more "dogmatic", eg. give Richard Stallman permanent veto power over some key policies, I would immediately press it. Why? Because a choice for one company is not a choice for the world, or even one country. Google existed and exists in the context of a technology industry generally drifting away from early idealistic don't-be-evil roots and toward greed for financial gain, totalizing visions of accelerated superintelligence, infiltration by sociopaths, and craven capitulation to (or worse, active participation in) government pressure for ideological control, surveillance and war. And so *one company* doing something different, positioning itself to be what George Bernard Shaw calls the Unreasonable Man, resisting the trend of the times, would have been better for freedom, balance of power and stability of society as a whole, than *all* large companies bending to dominant trends. This is a part of my version of pluralism. This line of thinking is not just mine, but I also is not too far off from what Aya and others had in mind with the Mandate. Now how does this all get to the role of the EF? EF is not a "center of Ethereum", rather EF is "one node, with a defined purpose, alongside other nodes". We've always said that the EF should be the latter, but many in the Ethereum ecosystem (and even within the EF) wanted us to be the former. Now, we are taking action to ensure that we will be the latter. This is particularly important because EF is a limited organization, with limited resources and limited organizational capacity. The EF has only ~0.16% of all ETH (less than many other individual ETH holders), whereas among other blockchains it's common for "the central foundation" to have 10-50%. Fiscally, the EF was originally designed to fulfill a limited work scope defined in the token sale docs and other pre-launch materials (building the chain software; getting through Frontier, Homestead, Metropolis, Serenity), which was fully completed in 2022; it was not designed to be an eternal steward. And so today, the EF is choosing to use its remaining resources to pursue longevity over breadth (yes, this means we sell less ETH). The EF focuses *specifically* on those activities critical to the success of ethereum as a censorship/capture-resistant, open, private and secure system, that would not happen otherwise. This means making hard choices, and in some cases even activities that we highly approve of and people that we highly respect becoming outside of the EF. People of great technical talent, public respect and even alignment with the mission and CROPS being outside of the EF is in fact necessary if we want important tasks to be able to attract outside capital. This also means the EF taking opinionated stands culturally. This is all intended in cooperation with all other parts of ethereum. We recognize that many other parts of the ethereum world highly respect CROPS and related values. But highly respecting is not the same as choosing to specialize and totally dedicate to a domain (Compare in a different domain: I think reducing animal cruelty is important, and I like vegan food, but am not full unconditional vegan myself) EF is still in a transition period, and we expect its new long-term form to stabilize over the next few months. What are the guiding principles of this new form? Again, I am only one person, but I can give my answer from a technical perspective (there are also critical non-technical aspects). At the core, *Ethereum must be impressive*. We are living in an age of highly intelligent AI and all kinds of other technological acceleration. "Status quo EVM, with a hard fork or two a year to optimize for short-term needs of users" is not interesting. To some, "impressive" means: 250ms latency and 1M TPS. I think Ethereum trying to go that route is a mistake. Being as fast and as scalable as possible, and only a small epsilon more decentralized than the others, is a route to mediocrity, and if we try it we will lose. I think Ethereum should scale. But I think Ethereum should strive the hardest to be deeply impressive in a different dimension: the CROPS dimension. This means things like: * Provably bug-free Ethereum. This is a goal that all cybersecurity researchers would have thought is absurd and impossible, up until roughly 6 months ago. Now, it's on the cusp of being possible, thanks to AI-assisted formal verification. So we should be frontrunners in doing this. * Available chain consensus. Ethereum is, and with lean consensus will cotninue to be, the ONLY chain that has both (i) traditional-BFT style properties that it's safe under asynchrony up to a high level of fault tolerance, and (ii) the bitcoin PoW-style property that under synchrony it's safe up to 49% attackers. As far as I can tell, literally no other chain has this or is planning for it; bitcoin goes for (ii) only and most other chains go for (i) only. Some will remember I fought hard for this, Unreasonably insisting that it is not OK for ethereum to rely on social consensus and hard forks to rescue ethereum from 34% of nodes going offline. It's OK for chains like hyperledger, bnb, solana, tempo, etc. It's not OK for bitcoin or ethereum or eg. zcash. * Intermediary minimization. The fact that smart contract wallets, protocols like railgun, etc have to send transactions through intermediaries to get included onchain is honestly embarrassing, and it's a constant point of fragility. Hence the work on FOCIL and EIP-8141 (and 7701 and years of work before) to make transaction sending intermediary-minimized with public mempool and strong inclusion properties, in a truly general-purpose way, that covers not just eg. secp256r1, but also privacy protocols and much more. Kohaku is pushing intermediary minimization at the user layer, pulling Ethereum away from the dystopian status quo world where our wallets don't even verify the chain, send our private data out to a dozen third-party servers, and toward a brighter CROPS future. Some of these goals are Unreasonable - maybe Ethereum would be "fine" getting only 50% of the way - what if we depend on intermediaries, but make it easy to switch? But going 50% of the way would not make Ethereum Deeply Impressive in the CROPS way. So we push for 100%. Fortunately all these goals are compatible with high TPS, this is a major focus of research (esp. on scaling the state). Well-designed L2s can also help, especially L2s optimized for specific applications (eg. high-volume trading, privacy...). These goals are even compatible with significantly lower slot times, thanks to Raul's work on erasure-coded P2P, and many other optimizations. The most high-value "product" of the ethereum blockchain, financially speaking, is ETH the asset. Ethereum secures $250 billion of ETH. The types of properties of Ethereum that I mentioned above are very good for ETH the asset. Nearly 90% of my net worth is in ETH, and most of the remainder is ~$40m of onchain fiat of which every dollar has already been allocated for some open-source biotech or software or hardware initiative. That said, there are aspects of supporting ETH the asset - *necessary* aspects even - that are outside the scope of the EF. This is where we need other heroes (some of whom hold more ETH than the EF does) to step in and help. EF has been recently thinking more about how it will relate to other such organizations, and give them needed initial support. EF will be a smaller ship than in previous years, a more opinionated one - in some cases more opinionated in ways that might be difficult to comprehend - but a longer-lasting one, and one suited to making sure that ethereum brings something meaningful to the world. We are grateful to all those inside and outside the EF who are helping to make this happen.
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如果這是一盤棋,那 Hyperliquid 下棋的人很猛 🔥 還記得去年 9 月各大穩定幣巨頭搶破頭要拿 $USDH 發行權嗎? 當時 Paxos、Ethena、Frax、Sky、BitGo 全部都來搶(Paxos 最後打不過,還拉了 PayPal 合作) 結果 Hyperliquid 最後選了 Native Markets,一個只做 USDH 的小團隊,那時很多人都看不懂(包括我) 然後搞笑的來了:USDH 八個月後只做 ~$100M 採用,鏈上還是躺著 ~$5B 的 $USDC (沒人想換) 所以今天 Native Markets 決定把 USDH 品牌資產的收購權讓給 Coinbase,以後 Hyperliquid 還是回歸 USDC 就這樣,Coinbase 成功拿下 Hyperliquid 的穩定幣層 不過回頭看,這結果竟然比當初任何一個 bid 都好(?) 🔶Coinbase x Hyperliquid 的合作方式長什麼樣? 根據 AQAv2 規範,在 Hyperliquid 上的 90% 穩定幣儲備收益會返還給協議,進行回購(USDH 時代的 AQAv1 是 50%) 這代表之前躺在 Hyperliquid 裡面 $5B 的 USDC 利息現在 能產生 ~$180M/年的收入流進項目的 Assistance Fund 做 $HYPE buyback(之前全被 Circle 吃掉) = 每年 buyback 約 400 萬顆 $HYPE(流通量的 ~1.7%) = 比 USDH 時代(~$2M/年)多 90 倍! 另外,Circle 同步 stake 50 萬顆 $HYPE 擔任 technical deployer,Coinbase 也增持 staking 部位 — 兩家美國最大的 crypto 公司同時質押你的代幣 🔶當初選 Paxos/PayPal 或 Ethena 會不會更好? Paxos 當時開的條件其實更高 — 95% yield 給 Hyperliquid(Native Markets 只給 50%),還附帶 PayPal/Venmo 上架 $HYPE + $20M 生態基金 Ethena 也開 95% yield 加上 $75M 的 HIP-3 incentive,背後是用 BlackRock 的 BUIDL 基金背書 純數字看,Paxos 的 deal 短期贏很多(我當初最支持的也是 Paypal 方案) 當時選 Native Markets 看起來像是選了最弱的,但其實就是一個「可以被替換」的過渡方案 都是自己人,做不好換掉也同意 🤪 🔶 回頭看整件事有點像一盤大棋 第一步:宣布 USDH 競標 → Paxos/PayPal/Ethena 全來搶 → 免費出圈行銷,主流媒體全部都在報 第二步:Circle 感受到壓力 — 「你 $5B USDC 的利息我不讓你賺了」→ Circle 去年 9 月就開始買入 HYPE 示好 第三步:Native Markets 試水溫 — 用小團隊跑通 AQA yield sharing 機制,證明模式可行 第四步:USDH 品牌資產收購權讓給 Coinbase — 帶來合規身份 + 華爾街護身符 + USDC 直接 AQA 化,不用再推新幣 如果這是一盤棋,那 Hyperliquid 下棋的,真的很猛 🔥
Coinbase has announced its plan to activate AQAv2 on USDC as the treasury deployer, with Circle serving as the technical deployer responsible for CCTP and native cross-chain infrastructure. Both Coinbase and Circle have committed to stake HYPE to activate AQAv2. As part of this transition, Native Markets has agreed to terms granting Coinbase the right to purchase the USDH brand assets. With Coinbase, in its role as treasury deployer, sharing the vast majority of reserve yield revenue with the protocol, USDC will become the most aligned stablecoin on Hyperliquid. As a result, canonical outcome (HIP-4) markets will use USDC as the quote asset in a future network upgrade. User and builder feedback has been consistent that fragmentation leads to degraded experience; now, the community no longer needs to choose between liquidity and protocol alignment. The pioneering work of Native Markets in launching USDH as the first production-scale stablecoin sharing yield directly with a protocol in a purely onchain implementation made AQAv2 possible. The learnings and mechanics pioneered by USDH will live on in AQAv2. The Hyper Foundation will give grants to eligible HIP-3 deployers, HIP-1 deployers, and builders who integrated USDH, supporting teams through migration over the next months. These grants reflect an ongoing commitment to teams who choose to build on Hyperliquid and align with the protocol. USDH markets are fully functional but will sunset over time. USDH remains fully backed, with feeless conversions to USDC and fiat available to users during this transition.
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花幾個禮拜,把我 7 年的研究心法裝進 Claude 了 MaxBrain 是一個 MCP 工具,接上後能讓你的 AI 學會做「幣圈基本面投研」! 你的 Claude 接上 MaxBrain MCP 之後能: 👉 抓 DeFiLlama / CoinGecko 即時數據(P/F、Holder Yield、MC/FDV) 👉 套用我的項目研究框架(DYOR 5 大架構、Revenue 三層拆解、Value Capture 紅綠燈、熊市生存力四項壓力測試) 👉 引用我 90+ 篇報告 + 55+ 篇 my-views(個人觀點檔案) 實際用起來: 「分析 $AAVE 」 → 30 秒拿完整估值報告 「比較 $AAVE $MORPHO $COMP 」 → 同賽道項目橫向比較 「找 P/F 最低的 DeFi」 → 全市場掃描 + Value Capture 標籤 「搜 Max 對 AI Agent 的看法」 → 語義搜尋我所有觀點 🔶 最相似的工具是 DeFiLlama 的 LlamaAI — $40/月,但少了觀點層 + 研究框架 Check it out 👉 maxcrypto.space/p/maxbrain
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There's 99,410 ETH in bad debt from the KelpDao exploit. The good news? DeFi protocols have united with donations, and 90% is covered so far. Here's a list of who's contributing:
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#鴉推好文 📖 文章名稱: 《打造一個懂你的幣圈新聞 Agent(附完整 Prompt)》By @MaxCryptoSpace 📚 出處: open.substack.com/pub/maxcry… ℹ️ 文章簡介: 這篇文章探討在幣圈資訊爆炸的環境下,如何建立高效的資訊吸收體系。作者 Max 分享他身為兼職研究員,如何透過「減法」過濾 90% 的市場雜訊,將注意力集中在影響基本面的關鍵資訊。 他強調主動獵取「第一手資訊」的重要性,包含研讀白皮書、追蹤治理平台與分析鏈上數據,以提升自己在資訊食物鏈中的位置。 文章後半段更提供實戰教學,引導讀者利用 AI 工具 Claude Code 建立具備回饋機制(Feedback Loop)的個人新聞代理,將繁瑣的篩選工作自動化。這是一套方法論,更是將 AI 轉化為專屬研究助理的具體執行指南。 🐦‍⬛ 推薦原因: 這篇文章的價值在於將抽象的「資訊篩選」轉化為可複製的結構化路徑。作者不談空泛的學習技巧,而是直接給出幣圈實戰的分類準則與工具清單,對於苦於被海量資訊淹沒的投資人具備高度參考價值。 最引人入勝的部分是關於「AI 代理」的養成思維:透過 CLAUDE.md 檔案賦予 AI 記憶,使其在持續的回饋中成為「最懂你的助理」。這種將知識內化並自動化的過程,精準解決了現代人注意力不足的痛點。 這篇文章適合希望從被動接收演演算法推送,轉向主動掌控資訊權力的人閱讀,它能協助你省下每日數小時的重複勞動,將精力聚焦於真正的決策與思考。
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單看 Chaos Labs 的文章,你會覺得 Aave 完蛋了(又跑一個重要 service provider) 但 Stani 的回覆補足了關鍵資訊 Chaos 續約的核心訴求:想要一個 bundle deal — 自己當 Aave 唯一 risk manager + 用自己的 oracle 取代 Chainlink + 自己的 vault 當作 default Chaos 的公開信完全沒提這些被拒的訴求,只把故事框架設定在 budget + V4 風險 + 貢獻者流失 Aave 當然是拒絕(btw 我非常同意),延展一下: 1. 唯一 risk manager → 目前 Aave 靠雙層風控(LlamaRisk + Chaos)互相制衡,改成單一供應商 = 單點故障 2. 取代 @chainlink → $LINK oracle 在 Aave 跑了多年,機構信任建立在上面,不可能換成未經同等規模驗證的方案 3. 未審計 vault 作預設 → too risky 🔶 不過這真的是一次 Aave 基本面大換血 先是 BGD 離開,然後 ACI 選擇不續約,今天 Chaos Labs 也走了 算是 Aave 建立以來最大的考驗,但協議本身的護城河是 $26B TVL + 機構信任 + Chainlink 整合 只要對於 Risk Management 的標準沒變,我就會繼續持有
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