Viktor Kovalenko

Elon Musk shares an incredibly important lesson about avoiding wishful thinking and making better decisions “One of the biggest mistakes people generally make, and I'm guilty of it too, is wishful thinking” You ignore the real truth because of what you want to be true. It's a very difficult trap to avoid The best approach is to accept that you're wrong to some degree and make it your goal to become less wrong over time And actively seek critical feedback, especially from friends. The people who care about you want the best for you, but they often hesitate to tell you the things you need to hear

HOPE FOR SUSTAINABLE PEACE Oleshky proves we can raise humanity above war. Together, we can build a peaceful planet, a world of promise for our children.

ELON MUSK: PHONES AND APPS WILL BE GONE IN 5-6 YEARS Elon Musk says we will not have phones in the traditional sense anymore. What we call a phone will become an edge node for AI inference, especially AI video. There will be no operating systems and no apps. It will just be a device for the screen and audio. You will get everything through AI. Whatever you can think of, or whatever the AI thinks you might want, it will show you. Most of what people consume in 5 or 6 years, maybe sooner, will be AI-generated content like music and videos. People have already made AI videos with Grok Imagine that are several minutes long and pretty coherent. The phone will just display the pixels and make the sounds that the AI anticipates you would most like to receive.

UPDATE!! The U.S. Patriot PAC-3 announcement comes with a major caveat: these are new missiles, with deliveries not expected until after 2030, sources tell me. It does little to address Ukraine’s urgent interceptor shortage ahead of winter 1/3

The events unfolding tonight at Poland’s Constitutional Tribunal are very serious indeed. We appear to be witnessing an unprecedented confrontation over the government’s use of state power and the independence and authority of a constitutional institution. Both sides offer sharply different accounts of what happened and why. Whatever the facts ultimately establish, thousands gathering outside the Tribunal make an already dangerous situation more combustible. The last thing Poland needs is a confrontation that spirals into something far worse. America is on Poland’s side. It is not our place to judge or interfere in its internal affairs. Our concern is for the stability, security, and democratic future of a country we are proud to call our friend and ally. I hope everyone involved—government officials, law enforcement, and demonstrators alike, to take a deep breath, and don’t take any action that could provoke violence or further escalation. Americans and @POTUS care deeply about this country, its democracy, and its future. But Poland’s strength ultimately must come from within—from its people, its institutions, and their shared commitment to the rule of law. Poland has come too far and accomplished too much to let political differences, no matter how strongly felt, put any of that at risk.

Ukrainian drones struck the Novokuibyshevsk oil refinery in Samara, Russia: at least 11 fires were reported there. In total, more than 1,000 drones attacked Russia overnight, one of the largest strikes of the entire war.

🇵🇱 Poland's pro-EU Prime Minister, Donald Tusk, has ordered a raid on the offices of the Constitutional Tribunal in Warsaw, prompting President Karol Nawrocki to turn his plane around mid-flight. The court is responsible for ensuring that parliamentary legislation complies with the Polish Constitution.

Poland takes a seat at the G20 for the first time, as top diplomats from the world’s leading economies gather to discuss geopolitical tensions and global economic challenges. And @sikorskiradek is seated right next to Rubio. A place at the table — and right next to the U.S.

Pentagon officials are reportedly asking European leaders -- especially those from front-line countries like Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania -- to lower the volume on their rhetoric against Russia. trib.al/DOzTKDp

Ukrainian and Russian Humanitarian Commissioners thank First Lady Melania Trump for brokering the ceasefire in Oleshky, and helping with aid.

BREAKING: The U.S. has approved the sale of 500 Patriot PAC-3 missiles to Ukraine for $2.1 billion. The purchase will be funded by Canada, Germany, Norway and EU-backed Ukrainian funds, with Lockheed Martin as the main contractor.

Prominent Russian newspaper shuts down under pressure from authorities bbc.in/4A3vYzS

"With [Putin] agreeing to trilateral negotiations with Ukraine and the U.S. next month, [Zelenskyy] should show deference to his people and make a deal. If he does not, it could be argued that [Zelenskyy] is becoming exactly what he has been fighting against: an authoritarian dictator profiting from the riches of war,' writes @kellyriddell.

Poland Approves Transfer of Two MiG-29 Fighters and Ammunition to Ukraine Poland will transfer two MiG-29 fighter jets to Ukraine as part of an aid package worth about €50 million that also reportedly includes artillery ammunition, F-16 cannon rounds and Piorun air defense missiles. clashreport.com/world/articl…

There’s nothing historically unprecedented about a great power pressing for a negotiated settlement that falls short of an ally’s objectives. Eisenhower did it in Korea (where the US and my own grandfather were actually fighting). South Korean President Syngman Rhee bitterly opposed the armistice, warning that accepting it amounted to a death sentence for his country. Eisenhower proceeded anyway. Theodore Roosevelt mediated the Russo-Japanese War at Portsmouth. The US isn’t joining Russia against Ukraine by pursuing peace. Saying so is inflammatory nonsense. Meanwhile, Ukraine and Europe need to confront some uncomfortable realities: corruption, procurement scandals, Europe’s inadequate defense-industrial buildup, and the brutal mathematics of a war of attrition. You can hardly blame Ukraine’s friends for asking whether continued spending under the present strategy will produce better results, or whether the terms of a negotiated settlement will actually be more favorable tomorrow than they are today. Is “mighty” Europe going to outproduce Russia anytime soon? Will Ukraine’s relative manpower position improve? Which side is degrading the other’s industrial and logistical capacity faster? This is the dismal mathematics of the war, and wishing it away won’t change the equation. A ceasefire that preserves Ukrainian sovereignty, establishes defensible boundaries, and creates conditions for rebuilding isn’t necessarily a betrayal of Ukraine. It may be the best available path to its survival and recovery. The question isn’t whether Ukraine deserves a complete victory. It’s whether anyone has a credible plan to achieve one.