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@SeanTrende level-sets the senate: over the past two decades, "it has been extremely rare for a party to win elections in seats where the PVI is R/D+6 or greater." pollvault.substack.com/p/lev…
One Week Out: 2026 Kansas Senate Race
🔴Roger Marshall: 46.0%
🔵Adam Hamilton: 45.7%
🔴Net: Marshall + 0.3
RealClearPolitics Polling Average | October 28, 2026
One Week Out: 2026 Alaska Senate Race
🔵Mary Peltola: 49.4%
🔴Dan Sullivan: 48.2%
🔵Net: Peltola + 1.2
RealClearPolitics Polling Average | October 28, 2026
One Week Out: 2026 Iowa Senate Race
🔴Ashley Hinson: 46.1%
🔵Josh Turek: 45.5%
🔴Net: Hinson + 0.6
RealClearPolitics Polling Average | October 28, 2026
One Week Out: 2026 Maine Senate Race
🔵Troy Jackson: 48.7%
🔴Susan Collins: 47.5%
🔵Net: Jackson + 1.2
RealClearPolitics Polling Average | October 28, 2026
One Week Out: 2026 Michigan Senate Race
🔵Abdul El-Sayed: 48.1%
🔴Mike Rogers: 45.6%
🔵Net: El-Sayed + 2.5
RealClearPolitics Polling Average | October 27, 2026
One Week Out: 2026 South Carolina Senate Race
🔴Darline Graham-Nordone: 48.0%
🔵Annie Andrews: 45.3%
🔴Net: Graham-Nordone + 2.7
RealClearPolitics Polling Average | October 27, 2026
One Week Out: 2026 Ohio Senate Special Election
🔵Sherrod Brown: 48.2%
🔴Jon Husted: 44.9%
🔵Net: Brown + 3.3
RealClearPolitics Polling Average | October 27, 2026
