Cynthia Simpson

Elon Musk just made a huge prediction: new orbital compute deployed each month surpasses new compute deployed on Earth around the end of 2028, and far exceeds it in 2029 This isn't a hopeful guess. SpaceX's own plan is built to hit it Mass to orbit is the engine. SpaceX launched about 2,200 tons to orbit in 2025, more than 80% of everything humanity sent up Now its official path takes that to roughly 167,000 tons in 2028, about 740,000 tons in 2029, and over 2 million tons a year by 2032. Elon said SpaceX is projected to hit "a million tons to orbit per year in about three years" Starship V3 is designed for 100 tons per launch, with 200 tons expected as soon as V4. Launch cost per kilogram has already fallen from about $18,500 to $2,700 on Falcon 9, and Starship targets a cut of more than 99% Every ton becomes compute. SpaceX at a million tons a year of SI satellites and 100 kW per ton adds 100 gigawatts of orbital SI computing capacity every year, with near-continuous solar power and radiative cooling in space. No grid queues, no land fights, no cooling towers For scale, SpaceX's entire ground fleet is expected to pass ~3 GW this year That's why Elon is so confident. Earth's data centers are capped by power plants and permits. Orbit is capped only by how fast you can launch, and SpaceX is the only one launching at this scale