Science Blog

"Radiative transfer models predict that, including Feldman's results." - Jim D No, that's not what the paper actually showed. The spectroscopic fact that CO2 absorbs and emits in the 15 μm band is not in dispute. The question is the magnitude of the incremental surface downwelling longwave from the recent rise in CO2 under real atmospheric conditions, and whether that signal is large enough to be the dominant driver of the energy balance. Feldman et al. (2015) merely isolated the clear-sky CO2 contribution at two well-instrumented sites and found roughly 0.2 W m⁻² per decade from a 22 ppm increase is about 10 % of the concurrent trend in total downwelling longwave. But this is merely guesswork and is a small number against a clear-sky background flux of typically 200–350 W m⁻². Near the surface the 15 μm band is already heavily saturated; most of the additional optical depth appears higher in the column, and the surface sees only a modest increment. Not the modeled increase you claim. The larger observed rises in downwelling longwave are accounted for mainly by higher air temperatures and more water vapor (roughly 90 % of clear-sky trends in broader analyses), not by the direct CO2 term. Meaning, we have no link between warming and CO2, just assumptions, and more modeled assumptions, but no real observational evidence to go on. So, the existence of a CO2 spectral signature does not, by itself, establish that the recent energy imbalance is dominated by anthropogenic CO2 radiative forcing. It's silly to even suggest that there is a relationship, but here we are, the believers have a new climate religion, where belief is stronger than evidence. The size of the measured surface signal is consistent with a small direct effect, not with the claim that “almost all the IR from clear skies” or the bulk of the recent increase is attributable to rising CO2. Furthermore, there is no evidence that CO2 increases water vapor. It's just a belief Jim. Anthropogenic CO2 is yet another 'god of the gaps' explanation with models written by the hands of man to predict the small-minded religious conclusion from man's biases and nothing more.

I can't be the first person to teach you about ice core data right? The REAL reason we are skeptical of ice core proxies is because of how they form. Air “bubbles” in polar ice cores are not bubbles that form quickly like in a drink. They are pockets of air that become sealed off as snow slowly densifies into ice (firn densification). Snow falls, gets buried, and is gradually compressed. Open pores between ice grains stay connected to the atmosphere until the density reaches roughly 0.82–0.84 g/cm³ (about 830 kg/m³). At that point the pores close, trapping the air. High-accumulation sites (coastal Antarctica or parts of Greenland, e.g., Law Dome DE08): close-off happens in ~30–40 years. The transition zone itself can be only a few to ~10 years wide. This is why Law Dome gas records overlap modern instrumental CO2 measurements.

Keep making up shit, maybe one day you might get something right. I'm a scientist and a very good researcher. The voter fraud is absolutely real. Even democrats are now admitting this. Don't believe a word a democrat or the left wing media says. This is just some of the research. I have a lot more. New Jersey State said thisJuly 21 and August 19, 2026 · Gov. Mikie SherrillOn the roll6,600Ballotsabout 340A Motor Vehicle Commission software error registered people who had answered that they were not citizens. It ran from June 2023 to June 2024. The state later removed about 5,100 who had never separately attested they were eligible, and held another 1,450 for county review.The first public figure was “fewer than 400” ballots. The August count is about 340 people who voted because of the error, plus about 220 who voted but may have been registered another way. That is hundreds of ballots, not thousands. A later federal figure of 35,152 registered noncitizens was not the state’s number, and the governor’s office said it did not know how it was produced. New Jersey Globe, Aug. 19, 2026; Washington Post, July 21, 2026 New Jersey counties Records fightSeptember 22, 2026 · Republican National Committee, in a lawsuitOn the rollWithheldBallots—After the governor’s admission, the RNC sued the state’s chief election official and election officials in Bergen, Hudson, Middlesex, Somerset, and Union counties. The suit says they produced some papers and kept back records federal law requires to be public, including how the noncitizens got on the list.This is an allegation in a complaint, not a judgment. The registrations themselves are the governor’s figure, above. Fox News, Sept. 22, 2026 Virginia State recordsJune 2024 – June 2026 · Virginia Department of Elections, via records released to Judicial WatchOn the roll6,531BallotsNot releasedThe department cancelled 6,531 registrations coded “declared noncitizen.” The program matches DMV answers: a person who indicates they are not a citizen is notified and cancelled if they do not confirm citizenship. No voting histories came with those records, so this is not a count of ballots. In October 2024 a federal judge ordered about 1,600 of an earlier purge restored inside the 90-day quiet period. The Supreme Court then allowed those removals to stand. In April 2026 the state settled a separate case by pausing this program for the 90 days before a federal election.Judicial Watch, July 30, 2026; Associated Press, Oct. 25, 2024 Georgia State auditOctober 23, 2024, and September 1, 2026 · Secretary of State Brad RaffenspergerOn the roll20 confirmed in 2024; about 2,570 potential in the later auditBallots9 earlier; 407 with a voting historyThe 2024 check of 8.2 million registrations found 20 people who were not citizens. Nine had voted in a previous election. None had voted in that November election. The 2026 audit, of about 7.9 million records, found about 2,570 potential noncitizens who had at some point been placed in active or inactive status because of administrative error, mostly at the driver-services office. Raffensperger said the rolls were more than 99.9 percent accurate and that noncitizens are removed when found.“Potential” and “voting history” are not the same as 407 proven illegal ballots in one election. The audit’s own summary was that there was no evidence of widespread fraud.Associated Press, Oct. 23, 2024; WSB-TV, Sept. 1, 2026 Ohio State referralOctober 28, 2025 · Secretary of State Frank LaRoseOn the roll1,084Ballots167 appear to have votedLaRose referred 1,084 noncitizens on the rolls to the Justice Department. He said 167 appear to have cast a federal ballot across 2018, 2020, 2022, and 2024. The same referral included 99 people who appear to have voted in two states in one federal election, 16 who appear to have voted twice in Ohio, and 14 who appear to have voted after a recorded death.“Appear to” is the secretary’s word. The Justice Department later charged 3 noncitizens with voting in Ohio. More than 20 million ballots were cast in the state across those four cycles.Spectrum News, Oct. 29, 2025; Ohio Secretary of State release of Oct. 28, 2025 Iowa State audit2025 audit of the 2024 election · Secretary of State Paul PateOn the roll277 confirmedBallots35 counted; 5 rejectedAfter a check through the federal SAVE database, the secretary’s office reported 277 confirmed noncitizens on the registration list. Thirty-five had a ballot counted in the 2024 general election. Five attempted ballots were rejected.Confirmed registrations, and a counted-ballot figure, from the state. Not a claim about other elections.Iowa Secretary of State audit notice, as cited by The Daily Signal, Oct. 25, 2026 Maricopa County, Arizona County investigationFall 2026 · County Attorney Rachel Mitchell; Recorder Justin Heap; Attorney General Kris MayesOn the roll207 referredBallots8 confirmed, of 60 who had votedThe recorder referred 207 registered voters he suspected were not citizens. Of the 60 who had cast a ballot in a past election, the county attorney said 8 were noncitizens. The other 52 in that reviewed group were citizens. As of October 21, 2026, 24 of those citizens were still marked ineligible. Attorney General Kris Mayes threatened to sue to restore them before the November election, including 18 who were on the early-ballot list.AZFamily, Oct. 21, 2026 Hawaii Records withheld2023 request; Ninth Circuit ruling; Supreme Court petition, July 2026 · Chief Election Officer Scott Nago; Public Interest Legal FoundationOn the rollStatewide list refusedBallots—The Public Interest Legal Foundation asked for the statewide voter list under the National Voter Registration Act’s public-disclosure rule. Hawaii refused. A district court dismissed the case, and the Ninth Circuit agreed that the statewide list is not a record the statute forces the state to hand over. The foundation asked the Supreme Court to take the case in July 2026. Judicial Watch filed a brief on August 28, 2026, urging the Court to hear it. No court has ordered the list released. This entry is the concealment fight, not a ballot count.Judicial Watch, Aug. 28, 2026 Maui County, Hawaii Records produced after a suitSettlement announced October 8, 2026 · County Clerk Moana LuteyOn the rollList-maintenance file, now producedBallots—The clerk did not provide voter-list maintenance records requested under the same federal disclosure rule. A settlement required her to produce them.The settlement is about access to cancellation records. It does not itself say how many ineligible ballots were cast.Public Interest Legal Foundation, Oct. 8, 2026 California State said the file does not track itRecords responses, August 2026 · Secretary of State Shirley Weber; Attorney General Rob BontaOn the rollNo noncitizen cancellation codeBallots—In a written response to a records request, the secretary of state’s office said the statewide registration system does not contain a cancellation reason for non-citizenship, so it could not say how many noncitizens had been removed. The attorney general’s office said it had no formal policy for investigating a report of illegal voting.That is an admission about the books, reported from the offices’ letters. It is not an admission that any particular number of noncitizens voted.The Federalist, Aug. 17, 2026, quoting the offices’ responses California Federal allegationJuly through October 2026 · Homeland Security and the Justice DepartmentOn the roll190,832 potential; about 20,000 reviewedBallotsNo state ballot totalA July letter from Homeland Security said there may be as many as 190,832 noncitizens registered. The department later said that figure is still the list it asked the secretary of state to review. About 20,000 of those names had been through a manual check, which is the subset the Justice Department pressed in October, asking the state to set their mail ballots aside. A sworn filing mentioned a further batch of more than 17,000. On October 19 prosecutors charged 28 people. Public descriptions of the 20,000 shifted among “likely,” “highly likely,” “verified,” and “suspected.” On October 25 the Ninth Circuit, 2–1, sent the department’s request back, saying it lacked jurisdiction.California has not agreed to the list. The secretary asked for the method and cited the federal ban on systematic purges inside 90 days of an election. At a hearing, a sample of the names included people whose registrations were already cancelled. The 20,000 is not a cut of the 190,000. Homeland Security said it is the portion reviewed by hand so far.CNN, Oct. 28, 2026; Courthouse News, Oct. 19, 2026; Democracy Docket, Oct. 22, 2026 Washington Federal allegationOctober 26, 2026 · Acting U.S. Attorney Neil FloydOn the roll405Ballotsabout 1,500, allegedThe Justice Department told the secretary of state it had identified over 400 noncitizens who are registered and, it said, have voted in multiple elections, including the August 2026 primary. The letter, as reported the same day, put that at 405 people and upward of 1,500 ballots over many years. Some had voted for more than a decade, and one as many as 27 times. Acting U.S. Attorney Neil Floyd called the list “the tip of the iceberg.” The department asked the state to set aside current mail ballots from those names until citizenship was confirmed.Washington has not adopted the count. Secretary Steve Hobbs said the office was reviewing the request against state and federal law, that one of the records dated to 1994, and that fraud cases found in the state are sent to local prosecutors. The secretary’s office has said automatic registration requires proof of citizenship at the license counter, and that the federal matching system often flags citizens.U.S. Attorney’s Office, Oct. 26, 2026; Washington State Standard, Oct. 26, 2026 California, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and Nevada Federal allegationJuly 16, 2026 · Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne MullinOn the rollabout 250,000 potentialBallotsNot a vote countAhead of a presidential speech, Homeland Security said a preliminary review had found on the order of 250,000 potential noncitizens registered across these four states, and sent warning letters to the secretaries of state.That is one national claim, not four state admissions, and it is registrations rather than ballots. The states said they were not shown a method they could check. The pieces that were later named were disputed or cut: Pennsylvania was given 14,576 names and told the match was not high-confidence; Nevada’s 15,903 became 185 and then, the state said, citizens; California’s 190,000 stayed a “potential” list.CNN, Oct. 28, 2026 Pennsylvania Federal list, low confidenceList described September 9, 2026 · Homeland Security; Secretary of the Commonwealth Al SchmidtOn the roll14,576 potentialBallotsNot statedHomeland Security told the state it had compared the public voter file with immigration records and flagged 14,576 people, using name, date of birth, phone, and address. It did not use Social Security numbers. Schmidt wrote that, on an August call, the department “explained that they did not have high confidence” in the figures. The department said it would send the names. As of September 17 it had not.These are potential registrations, not ballots. The state said it would not remove anyone on data it did not find credible. What was withheld here was the department’s list, not Pennsylvania’s own roll.Spotlight PA, Sept. 17, 2026 Nevada Number later cut2026, before the midterms · Homeland Security, then state officialsOn the roll15,903, then 185, then noneBallots—Homeland Security first said it had identified 15,903 noncitizens on the rolls. In a follow-up it said manual review had confirmed 185. A state official answered that those 185 were citizens, and that the department had “provided nothing of substance to suggest otherwise.”The thousands did not survive the state’s own check. Reuters reported the revision.CNN, Oct. 28, 2026; Reuters, Oct. 28, 2026 Texas Number later cutJanuary 2019 and October 2024 · Secretary of State, then Gov. Greg AbbottOn the rollClaimed 95,000, then 6,500BallotsClaimed about 58,000, then nearly 2,000In 2019 the secretary of state said roughly 95,000 registered voters were noncitizens and about 58,000 of them had voted. The office walked the list back after citizens turned up in it. In October 2024 the governor said 6,500 noncitizens had been removed and nearly 2,000 had a voting history. A report the secretary’s office had given him that August, obtained by newsrooms, identified 581 people as noncitizens, not 6,500. Reporters found citizens who had been labeled noncitizens or removed for not answering a letter.These are the cases where “thousands voted” was the official announcement and not the number left after review.Votebeat, Texas Tribune, and ProPublica, Oct. 15, 2024 National, SAVE matches Federal referral, not a ballot countSince April 2025, as described in October 2026 · Department of Homeland SecurityOn the rollmore than 24,000 potentialBallotsNot statedA department spokesperson said SAVE had flagged more than 24,000 potential noncitizens on voter rolls and referred those cases to Homeland Security Investigations. Separately, after a review of more than 100 million voter records, the department was still describing about 300,000 “potential” noncitizens. As of mid-September that work had produced about 1,620 investigations and about 160 arrests. Over seven weeks ending October 19, prosecutors said they had charged 113 people in 20 states.“Potential” is the department’s word. Arrests and charges are not the same as 24,000 ballots. States that rechecked individual lists, above, often found citizens in them.The Daily Signal, Oct. 25, 2026; CNN, Oct. 28, 2026 Oregon Inactive list, not votesSettlement, April 29, 2026 · Secretary of State Tobias Read, after a Judicial Watch suitOn the rollabout 800,000 inactiveBallotsNone impliedThe state said it holds about 800,000 inactive registrations, kept off the active list so they are not mailed a ballot. About 160,000 already meet the federal test for cancellation: a confirmation notice, no answer, and no vote in two federal elections. The settlement requires annual reports and access to the registration list.Inactive is not “voted.” Reading 800,000 as illegal ballots is a misreading of the settlement.Judicial Watch, April 29, 2026 Thirty states and the District of Columbia A different fightSuits since September 2025; scorecard as of October 16, 2026 · Justice Department Civil Rights DivisionOn the rollUnredacted files demandedBallots—The department sued for voter files that include partial Social Security numbers, driver’s-license numbers, and participation history, to compare them with immigration records. ProPublica counted final rulings in 26 cases. Every judge, including eight appointed by President Trump, rejected the demand. One state settled. Four cases were still open.Losing a demand for confidential fields is not the same as a state hiding the public roll. Several of the states above do publish a redacted list and still refused the unredacted one.ProPublica, Oct. 16, 2026 here-is-the-evidence-electio…