Creator of The Many Rantings of John, a blog about classic film, past Oscar races, & elections analysis. Frequently distracted by cute boys-fully vaxxed. He/Him

Minneapolis, MN
Joined March 2015
It's back!!!! In 2026, we are returning with a 7th season of Saturdays with the Stars, this season celebrating the men & women who jump off buildings, fight the villains, and save the day. Time for Lights, Camera, ACTION: theworldofjot29.blogspot.com…
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It'd probably be a House candidate who had to run right for years to avoid a primary in a gerrymandered seat...making it harder for him to win statewide.
Yeah, this is a blue sky poll for Dems that would refresh their Georgia bench overnight and wipe out Republicans. (Who's the 2030 gov frontrunner if Rs lose LG and AG?)
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If she loses this is 100% on Trump in a way no Senate loss would be. He begged for Graham to be the nominee. It's also genuinely been a while since we had a six-year term fluke Senator who starts as a one-term wonder. Doug Jones was there for just three years...likely Mark Kirk?
Treating the U.S. Senate seat in South Carolina like a family heirloom months before a general election was a historic act of hubris. Even in a red state, it’s just crazy to put yourself in this position with a candidate who has no experience or skill with political campaigns!
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I'm going on record as saying SC will be closer than NH and MN.
NEW: Here are @njhotline’s FINAL 2026 Senate Power Rankings 1. NC 2. AK ⬆️ 3. OH 4. ME ⬆️ 5. TX ⬆️ 6. IA ⬆️ 7. MI ⬇️ 8. KS ⬆️ 9. MN ⬆️ 10. NH ⬇️ Learn why from @kirk_bado and I here: nationaljournal.com/s/733256…
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She won't run again. This was a one-time only situation.
Replying to @roon0292
My guess is Graham ultimately wins by around 4% And probably gets primaried regardless in 6 years
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No one is having a better day than Peggy Flanagan. 😊
Minnesota Senate: 🔵 Flanagan 48% (+4) 🔴 Tafoya 44% @VictoryPolling/@Michele_Tafoya 🔴 Internal Poll, 1,194 LV, 10/21-22
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Whether you voted for Donald Trump, Lindsey Graham, or someone else, you deserve leaders who care more about lowering your bills than playing politics in Washington. That’s what this campaign is about.
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If you have not bought a People Magazine in the last year, you should not care who their Sexiest Man Alive is.
every year this website goes up in arms when the magazine for middle aged women gives the sexiest man award to a middle aged man
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Dems won the US Senate that year. Just looking at that graph isn't good enough to see what was going on under the hood.
How did I ever believe we had a real shot in 24
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It's insane how rare it is that a losing senator makes a comeback. Brown being the first (if he wins) to do so since 1988 is truly a crazy stat if you think about how often former House members successfully run again for their seats after losing.
SUPRC/USA TODAY Ohio Network (10/21-10/26) Senate Statewide: Brown (D) 47 Husted (R) 44 Redpath (L) 2 Levy (I) 2 Und 4 (Already voted: Brown 53-40) Senate Portage County BW: Brown (D) 49 Husted (R) 48 Redpath (L) 1 Levy (I) 1 Und 1 (Already voted: Brown 68-32)
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We are officially kicking off my 2026 election night guide, with predictions in all Senate/Gov/House seats. We start with the "A" states, including the critical AK Gov/Sen elections, as well as 2 flip opps in AZ & an endangered Dem incumbent in Alabama: theworldofjot29.blogspot.com…
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We are continuing our election night guide with CA through HI, including a huge governor's race in Georgia, and a host of competitive House seats in California, Florida & Colorado. All my predictions here: theworldofjot29.blogspot.com…
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In what is likely the only non-partisan, top tier poll of the entire South Carolina Senate race post Darline Graham's entry, it's a tie. I can't really hope for this win (SC is so red), but if Andrews gets the upset, it'd be one of the coolest wins I've gotten to witness. 🤞🏻🤞🏻🤞🏻
NEW: South Carolina Senate (NYT/Siena) 🟦Annie Andrews 48% 🟥Darline Graham 48% 10/19-10/26 Link: nytimes.com/2026/10/28/upsho…
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Now we're talking Minnesota! This is the kind of margin that wins us back the State House.
NEW: Minnesota Senate (NYT/Siena) 🟦Peggy Flanagan 54% 🟥Michele Tafoya 40% 10/19-10/26
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Jean Harlow is so beautiful and brilliant in this movie (one of the best of the pre-Code talkies).
Most memorable PreCode endimg ever?
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For all of the "Jan isn't media trained" stuff...he knew not to step into the same mess Val did.
I love Jan 💕 Tatyana killed it #dwts
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There's really not, at least federally. Manchin had to be close, but even then I'd wager a majority of his voters were Clinton supporters rather than Trump. Murkowski is really in a class by herself in being a politician who is in office due to the other party.
Is there any other American politician like Murk… a Republican whose base is Democratic voters?
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Okay, I'm seeing it today-but in a pretty packed theater!
I'm seeing it tonight! ❤️
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So what's the bet...they go 52D-48R for the final prediction for the Senate?
CRYSTAL BALL: With a week left, 5 statewide rating changes: #FLSen: Safe R -> Likely R #NCSen: Leans D -> Likely D #SCSen: Likely R -> Leans R #AZGov: Leans D -> Likely D #VTGov: Likely R -> Leans R Plus 16 changes in the House. From @kkondik and me: centerforpolitics.org/crysta…
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I will genuinely cry if Dems win Texas.
Here’s a precinct map comparing the first eight days of IPEV in the Houston Metro area to the first eight days of IPEV in 2024.
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Susan Collins retiring (which was surely an option) should also be on this list.
As bad as the map currently is for Republicans, it’s strange to imagine that it could’ve actually been worse for them. 1. If Alani Bankhead didn’t decide to sabotage the Montana Senate race 2. If John Bel Edwards had agreed to run in Louisiana like Schumer was pushing for
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Wait...John McGuire in a Tossup?!? Damn those internals must be fun.
🚨🚨🚨 @Center4Politics shifts 16 RACES towards Dems ⤵️ #AL02/#CO05/#KY06/#MO02/#MT01/#PA01/#VA05 Lean R ➡️ TOSS-UP #AKAL/#AZ02/#FL13/#OH10/#OH15 Likely R ➡️ LEAN R #PA08/#TX15 Toss-Up ➡️ LEAN D #OR05/#VA07 Likely D ➡️ SAFE D
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