Another thing to consider, the thermocline is starting to show the early stages of our El Niño collapsing. The cooler anomalies are starting to pierce underneath the warm anomalies across the western ENSO region.

The two warmest years in the record of the weather station at Port Angeles, Washington, and the five warmest in the record of the station at Whiteriver, Arizona, were never measured by either station. Both are part of NOAA’s U.S. Historical Climatology Network, 1,218 long-running stations in the 48 contiguous states, and when a station stops reporting, NOAA’s adjusted file for the network continues its record with values estimated from surrounding stations and marked with the flag E. NOAA’s raw file for Port Angeles holds three recorded months in 2008 and nothing after, yet the adjusted file continues the station year by year through 2025, and its estimates for 2015 and 2016 stand about a degree above the warmest year the station recorded in full. The Washington State Climate Office’s trend tool shows Port Angeles as a continuous record from 1896 through 2022 warming 0.11°F per decade, a record whose last 14 years are entirely estimates, and neither the tool’s page nor the University of Washington’s announcement of it mentions estimates or closed stations, the announcement describing the data as federal weather observations. At Whiteriver every month from 2006 on is an estimate, including the months of 2006 through 2008, when the station was still reporting and NOAA’s procedure set its recorded readings aside and replaced them. The five warmest years in its record all fall between 2017 and 2025 and are all estimates, the warmest of them about 1.7 degrees above the warmest year the station recorded in full. In 2026 the U.S. Geological Survey reported a rise of about 2.5°F at the station from 1980 to 2023, in support of tribal members’ accounts of a changing climate, over a period whose last 18 years, 41 percent of it, consist entirely of estimates. The survey’s 58-page report states that estimated data from 2009 to 2023 were used, which omits the three years in which recorded readings were replaced, and its four-page fact sheet, which carries the 2.5-degree figure, does not say that estimated data were used.

It's in a computer model that they put the assumptions into Learn more at co2coalition.org/

I was arrested, interviewed under caution for 2 hours by two sturdy lllllllesbians and my case sent to the @CPSUK for the crime of… ‘causing offence to myself’.

Let's start something! We clearly need to define "AI" for what it truly is. #ArtificialIgnorance

Almost every closed station in the dataset is one that inconveniently shows no long-term warming trend, only cyclicity, despite attempts to manufacture one via adjustments. And most were closed in the early 2010s, right after climategate. Colour me increasingly sceptical.

Lol @ the people claiming that this is a “strongly negative PDO” 😂😂😂

Wow! Latest ECMWF 12z is going all out in the stratosphere, now forecasting an actual Stratospheric Warming event with a wind reversal, making it an official SSW event. It will likely not remain at this, as this would be an unprecedented event, and the model trend map shows quite a spread between the last runs. But even seeing this suggested at this time is really insane. All the maps are available in my Polar Vortex hub (link in the comments) @judah47 I have seen you noticed the 12z ECM, but did you know it also has a proper reversal? 😁