A probabilistic gambler.
Joined January 2016
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“Quant” for non-IT people
Ane bangun sistem untuk normies ngelakuin quantmaxxing.
- Terhubung ke broker + live-trading
- Backtesting + Monte Carlo + uji statistik
- Trade crypto, US stocks, dan commodities
- Tanpa biaya bulanan seperti QuantConnect/LuxAlgo
- Lifetime
Abida Massi retweeted
robert carver, who managed billions at hedge fund ahl, met a young quant who'd produced 50 profitable backtests in a month. the firm was liquidated a few months later.
the software could automatically test hundreds of rules a day. the boss was delighted.
carver's diplomatic reply:
“Well I am sure some of them will work.”
their joint venture discussions went nowhere.
this is classic overfitting from data mining. test enough rules on the same history and some will look profitable by chance.
from the book "systematic trading".
Abida Massi retweeted
Nadie te lo cuenta, pero el mayor lujo de la vida adulta es trabajar con gente inteligente y competente.
Abida Massi retweeted
Much of your adulthood will be spent dodging miserable people who think they're smarter than you because you're hopeful when they're not. They mistake your strength of spirit for naivete, and preach what has made them despair like it's wisdom. Everything is spiritual warfare.
Abida Massi retweeted
Comprehensive list of hedge funds blowing up this week, getting large redemptions, or shutting down PMs:
- Axebrook
- Walleye
- Engineers Gate
- Lone Pine
- Millennium internal pods
- Verition pods
- Samlyn
Letter from Walleye closing internal funds below
Abida Massi retweeted
Kita non-stop ngomong mulu soal tech transfer dan pasif berharap dari altruisme perusahaan multinasional untuk berbagi teknologi.
It’s not gonna work. Udah strateginya aktif aja.
Akuisisi perusahaan luar negeri dan IP mereka. Permudah beli mesin dari luar lalu reverse engineer.
Abida Massi retweeted
I’m in love with this sentence:
“Every pattern in your life repeats until you learn the lesson. The moment you choose differently, the loop ends and growth begins.”
Abida Massi retweeted
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Abida Massi retweeted
Emang cuma HR yang boleh pake AI buat cari kandidat?
Job seeker juga bisa cuy. Mari kita lawan api dengan api.
1. Pake Claude Cowork
2. Sambungkan ke Claude Browser (biar Claude punya akses ke browser lo)
3. Log in ke platform buat cari kerja (linkedin, hiringcafe, dll)
4. Kasih context background lo dan kerjaan apa yang mau lo cari
5. Set up project baru, masukin semua konteks sebagai custom knowledge
6. Minta Claude buat optimize CV, cover letter, dan portfolio berdasarkan loker
Kalo RDN 100 juta, berapa dana yang di-chip in untuk sekali trade saham dengan volatilitas (ATR) 4%?
Katakanlah risk per trade 3%. Maka: (3%*100 juta)/(2*4%) = 37.5 juta sekali chip-in (dan CL ketika minus 8%).
Tapi kalo EV historis eksis (robust), pake Kelly Criterion saja.
SL 2*ATR dikonversi ke standard deviation artinya self_close_price=entry_price-(2*ATR*0.875).
I think the issue here is ATR indicator, not ATR as a measure of risk. I use standard deviation not ATR, but they are not that different. And unlike @DeepDishEnjoyer I don't hate on stop losses for closing positions for less experienced traders (but don't use take profits).
Abida Massi retweeted
The Art and Science of Trading will be published in four weeks time, on the 1st December. Have you ordered your copy yet?
