Authoritarian Warning Survey (@authwarning) header
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Democracy scholars evaluating threats to American democracy in real time, with daily-updated expert survey.

George Washington University
Joined May 2017
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To see a continuously updated version of our democracy threat index, check out the @protctdemocracy site; as of Nov. 29, U.S. has edged into the "substantial erosion" category, w/ media, exec constraints, & rhetoric most imperiled protectdemocracy.org/threat-…
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As always, what's most damning is what Trump says he's going to do publicly, not what he does in private. Media: Trump tried to overturn the election. He just said it. Again. And he'll try to do the same if he loses in '24.
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Authoritarian Warning Survey retweeted
Longtime followers may be familiar with our Democracy Threat Index, run in partnership with @AuthWarning. After the events of January 6th, the Index reached an all-time high. Read more: protectdemocracy.org/update/…
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Happy to announce my book, Shock to the System: Coups, Elections, and War on the Road to Democratization, is officially published today. For all ages! amazon.com/gp/aw/d/B08XN5RL6…
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After 8 years, it's finally done. I'm thrilled to announce my book, Shock to the System: Coups, Elections, and War on the Road to Democratization, is coming out at @PrincetonUPress. I promise it will make you think about democratization in a new way. /1 press.princeton.edu/books/pa…
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Authoritarian Warning Survey retweeted
I feel like the presidents recently pardoned former national security advisor calling for a military coup and martial law to overturn an election should be bigger news.
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I've seen enough. This is a genuine coup attempt now. We should absolutely use that language and it should appear in coup datasets, etc. We're much closer to a full democratic breakdown than a lot of people realize. /1 nytimes.com/live/2020/11/19/…
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I’ve been a fairly regular contributor to the @authwarning survey these past few years and have consistently been pretty sceptical about the prospect of an authoritarian breakdown in the US, but this month has *clearly* moved the needle in the wrong direction.
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Forget Russia’s interference in '16. Or Trump’s impeachment for asking Ukraine to dig up dirt on Biden. Arguably the biggest political scandal we’ve ever seen in this country is unfolding right before our eyes -- even if it's failed to gain traction nbcnews.com/politics/meet-th…
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As people celebrate the election results, don't sleep on the Trump camp's fraud claims. Although meritless & unlikely to succeed, they'll breed years of illegitimacy & conspiracies on the right. Need a thorough debunking and acceptance by as many GOP leaders as possible.
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Authoritarian Warning Survey retweeted
80+ historians of fascism and authoritarianism released an open letter today warning that democracy “is either withering or in full-scale collapse globally”, and urging ordinary people to take action. theguardian.com/world/2020/n…
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In NC, police are pepper-spraying voters. In TX, Republicans want to throw out ballots in Democratic cities. In PA, the president is saying the courts might disenfranchise enough voters for him to win. I'm not sure what kind of regime this is, but it's not a healthy democracy.
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Great article by @mattshuham covering the election, the debate, & potential for violence. Covers the recent spike we've seen in our threat index & scholars' alarming predictions of the chances of democratic breakdown. /1 talkingpointsmemo.com/news/t…
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Although the threat of violence & disruption is real & the Trump's stand-by comment disgraceful, the bigger danger remains Trump's attempts to delegitimize millions of ballots & challenge the election (legally or rhetorically). /2
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Part of his likely strategy with poll-watchers is not just to challenge & disrupt, but to collect anecdotes about "suspicious" voting, isolated errors, & watchers getting denied access. This was his entire case on mail-in voting last night. He needs more from election day. /end
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Textbook authoritarian tactic: encourage your supporters to whip up civil unrest and then exploit it for political purposes. Textbook.
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