Authoritarian Warning Survey (@authwarning) header
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Democracy scholars evaluating threats to American democracy in real time, with daily-updated expert survey.

George Washington University
Joined May 2017
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As always, what's most damning is what Trump says he's going to do publicly, not what he does in private. Media: Trump tried to overturn the election. He just said it. Again. And he'll try to do the same if he loses in '24.
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Longtime followers may be familiar with our Democracy Threat Index, run in partnership with @AuthWarning. After the events of January 6th, the Index reached an all-time high. Read more: protectdemocracy.org/update/…
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Happy to announce my book, Shock to the System: Coups, Elections, and War on the Road to Democratization, is officially published today. For all ages! amazon.com/gp/aw/d/B08XN5RL6…
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After 8 years, it's finally done. I'm thrilled to announce my book, Shock to the System: Coups, Elections, and War on the Road to Democratization, is coming out at @PrincetonUPress. I promise it will make you think about democratization in a new way. /1 press.princeton.edu/books/pa…
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I feel like the presidents recently pardoned former national security advisor calling for a military coup and martial law to overturn an election should be bigger news.
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I've seen enough. This is a genuine coup attempt now. We should absolutely use that language and it should appear in coup datasets, etc. We're much closer to a full democratic breakdown than a lot of people realize. /1 nytimes.com/live/2020/11/19/…
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I’ve been a fairly regular contributor to the @authwarning survey these past few years and have consistently been pretty sceptical about the prospect of an authoritarian breakdown in the US, but this month has *clearly* moved the needle in the wrong direction.
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Forget Russia’s interference in '16. Or Trump’s impeachment for asking Ukraine to dig up dirt on Biden. Arguably the biggest political scandal we’ve ever seen in this country is unfolding right before our eyes -- even if it's failed to gain traction nbcnews.com/politics/meet-th…
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80+ historians of fascism and authoritarianism released an open letter today warning that democracy “is either withering or in full-scale collapse globally”, and urging ordinary people to take action. theguardian.com/world/2020/n…
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In NC, police are pepper-spraying voters. In TX, Republicans want to throw out ballots in Democratic cities. In PA, the president is saying the courts might disenfranchise enough voters for him to win. I'm not sure what kind of regime this is, but it's not a healthy democracy.
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Textbook authoritarian tactic: encourage your supporters to whip up civil unrest and then exploit it for political purposes. Textbook.
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The notch below "weak democracy" is known as "competitive authoritarianism," where elections occur, but norms and institutions of democracy are not followed. That's where we are now. It's not where the US is going. This is now.
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Excessive debt is viewed as a national security vulnerability and generally means no security clearance allowed. Why? Not only because a debt ridden person is desperate, but because the entity loaning has undue influence over the person. #TrumpTaxReturns
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Our Democracy Threat Index, updated frequently with our friends at @AuthWarning, reports “Substantial Erosion” of our democracy. We're not letting up on our work to take on the threat. protectdemocracy.org/threat-…
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Adopt a fundamental *reform* of SCOTUS that will work as a new equilibrium. Make each justice's term 18 years. That means each presidential term replaces two justices. (If they die early, that counts as one replacement.) /2
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So this is likely happening. Lots of talk about Dems responding with court-packing in 2021, but this is really unlikely (tarred with FDR's failure, seen as illegitimate, GOP can respond in kind later...). So here's a better idea: /1 nytimes.com/live/2020/09/22/…
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Dear reporters, including at places like NPR & the NYT, there’s no ‘both sides’ here, there is no sitting on the fence. You can’t be neutral on the issue of autocracy. As me, @froomkin & @jayrosen_nyu & others have argued, journalists must have a bias in favor of *democracy*.
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Let’s be clear: Donald Trump is planning to declare victory on election night, regardless of uncounted votes. He is planning to steal this election, and wants his judges onboard. He’s telling us upfront. No hiding it. Are all Dems, journos, civil society orgs prepared for this?
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