Frontier Tech | Research, Strategy & Investment | Founder, @zengen_labs | Co-founder @RyzeLabs | DMs open

Shanghai
Joined March 2016
Five years ago, a humanoid robot cost about as much as a house. Today you can order one that does kung fu for the price of a used car, from @UnitreeRobotics. @MorganStanley estimates there could be more than a billion humanoids by 2050. If current trends continue, most will be built in China. So what is actually going on? When @ReadFuturist suggested I write about China's humanoid boom for AI Supremacy, I ended up going much deeper than the robots themselves. The result is my attempt at a full account of Chinese physical AI: how decades of industrialization built the supply chain underneath it; the founders and companies leading the field; what the robots can actually do today; who is buying them; where the money is going; how the business models look; and what still has to happen before this becomes a real mass market. It gets into the funding boom and rush toward IPOs, Beijing's sudden effort to cool the hype, the race to make the machines genuinely useful, and the growing US-China tensions around robotics and supply chains. And along the way: robot fight leagues, training grounds, dexterous hands, world models, billion-dollar rounds, factory deployments and national security. In short, a deep dive into the industry as it exists right now, how it got here, and where it may be going next. The full story of how China became the center of the humanoid boom and came to be building what some call humanity's last machine. Full piece 👇🏻
The State of Chinese Physical AI By @dermotmcg Robotics deep dive. A nearly 9,000 word report. How China became the factory for humanity's last machine. Featuring: @UnitreeRobotics, @UBTECHRobotics, @AGIBOTofficial, @GalbotRobotics, @Alibaba_Qwen shorturl.at/OMTh8
2
1
8
910
I’m pretty sure the entire world could get behind a Nokia resurgence 🔥
THE LATENT: Nokia said its AI and cloud customer sales grew 123% in the third quarter, with order intake rising 118% to €1.5 billion ($1.67 billion). The Finnish telecom equipment maker reported €605 million ($680M) in comparable operating profit, above the €453 million ($509M) analyst consensus.
77
Chinese investors have had a difficult time capturing the AI wave. Compare this to the S&P 500 and it's night and day. Even the robotics hype has been disappointing. Unitree is down >20% from open. Not surprising there's a huge demand to invest in U.S. stocks, but the capital controls and recent brokerage crackdown (Futu, Tiger etc) make direct access much harder.
Major dislocation today in Chinese tech stocks in Hong Kong. The Hang Seng Tech Index is set for its worst day since Trump's "Liberation Day" in April 2025. The selloff in charts: 1. Index drop from peak has now exceeded 40% 2. Price has all but fully erased gains from the 9/24 big bazooka event 3. Valuations are now at extreme lows (forward P/E of this tech group's now at 13x)
75
We are in a golden age for consumer AI that economically cannot last. The subsidies on these coding plans are craaaaazy.
JUST IN: Anthropic recorded a staggering $80,000,000,000.00 net loss in the first half of 2026.
90
The U.S. versus China guys often miss this key feature The difference in capital markets This is American exceptionalism 🇺🇸
4
270
I have seen neither Boardwalk Empire nor Dexter. Which one should I watch next?
1
1
172
You know what, bodyguard isn’t actually a bad use case
Unitree Introducing: H2-X Kung Fu Legend Guardian🤖 Powerful performance to serve and guard you, with a maximum endurance of approximately 8 hours. Please use the robot safely and in a friendly manner.
1
3
427
Weilan Deep Sea (卫澜深海), a Xi'an startup building underwater maintenance robots, has completed 5 funding rounds in 9 months. Its core shareholders include Shenzhen Capital Group, Yuanhe Origin (元禾原点) and Guoce Capital (国策资本), with existing backer Innoangel investing again. 36Kr's report gives no amount for the latest round, labeled “angel++++”. The company pairs its two-armed robot with a seabed base designed to supply the robot with power and communications. The base generates that power from ocean currents with a screw-shaped turbine. The first jobs are inspecting subsea structures, cleaning off marine growth and checking the sacrificial zinc anodes that protect equipment from corrosion; the new money is aimed at oil and gas sites. Founder Zhang Dayu says the growth must be cleared regularly to keep structures safe, and the anodes checked to see whether they still work. For offshore wind farms and oil and gas pipelines, he puts maintenance at about 1% of their value a year over lives of 20 years or more. Today that work needs a ship on site. For divers working deeper than 120 meters, Weilan puts the cost of a specialist support vessel and dozens of staff at over ¥1M (about $150,000) a day. It says standard remotely operated robots are still controlled by cable from a large mother ship. Zhang argues a robot kept at the installation could cut that reliance on ships and crews. Zhang started the company out of a Xi'an Jiaotong University lab team. The university says the accelerator MiraclePlus backed it early. His doctoral research was on drawing power from slow currents; the technology was developed for equipment left underwater for long periods, including submarine-detection sensors. A turbine that cannot start in slow water produces nothing, and a university profile of Zhang says his design starts turning at 0.1 meters a second, less than a tenth of walking pace. In December 2025, Weilan said military demand was its starting point. Weilan says it has delivered its fourth-generation robot and completed autonomous inspections of subsea energy facilities. Its AI is meant to find targets by sonar and guide the arms up close. Training would move from simulation into real jobs under human supervision, with human corrections used to retrain the model. Weilan plans to sell maintenance services before selling robots. Those jobs would give it experience of what fails underwater and the records of completed jobs needed to improve its robots. Weilan's figures don't show how much power the base produces or how much energy a job uses, so it is unclear how often the robot can work. Long idle periods or repeated vessel trips to recover a failed robot would weaken the case. Where inspection or cleaning is frequent, a reliable robot could avoid enough vessel visits to justify staying. Full analysis: research.zengenlabs.com/p/un…
1
156
Imagine pairing a fast diffusion model like this and a decision model like JEV. I think we're approaching what will feel like magic.
1/4 Today, we’re releasing Mercury 3. Mercury 3 is by far our most powerful model and the most intelligent diffusion LLM ever released. It outperforms GPT-6 Luna and Haiku 5.5 on quality while running at 1000+ tok/sec.
1
1
326
I had not seen this. This is now the greatest thing I've ever seen.
since everyone is sharing their fav nathan bit mine is him doing the asian accent. kills me every single time
3
958
This is amazing stuff. Impeccable vibes, captivating
Лучшее, что я видел за последнее время — чел пилит ASCII MMORPG, в которой вся графика состоит из букв и символов. Да, буквально весь мир, персонажи, окружение и спецэффекты нарисованы разноцветным текстом. Автор сейчас экспериментирует с магией, визуалом и боссами. Я прям залип на то, как из нескольких десятков символов получается такая красота. Буквально сны при температуре 37,2. Via: tiktok.com/@Ansenjeo
7
429
how they be describing nathan on youtube
139
me: hi claude 5.5: python3 - <<'PY' words = ["good", "morning"] print(" ".join(words)) PY
100
I have long worried about this. Chinese society's respect for, and deference to, anybody who can reasonably refer to themselves as 老师 (teacher) or 师傅 (master) is a huge attack surface and the primary haven for charlatans in the country.
A new piece from me on @NYMag is out today. It is the second installment in a reporting trilogy I’m calling “AI and the Chinese society.” Earlier this year, I visited China’s largest get-rich-with-AI company, which sells AI courses for profits. It has more than 80,000 paying members. Its meeting rooms have names like “Apostle of the Method” and “Evangelist.” Their membership system resembles a pyramid scheme. I was greeted by Mr. Tree, an in-house influencer and AI educator whose social media bio promises to “search for 100 business answers in the age of AI”—an echo of Beijing’s “AI Plus” plan. The company felt like a prosperity-gospel church, and salvation meant adopting AI as fast as you can. In Liangzhu, China’s vibe-coding capital, which I wrote about, young people give one another AI lessons for free in their living rooms. I also met Xiaokai, a 25-year-old filmmaker who became a pro on AI video generation through free classes, built a business earning several million yuan in profit, and now walks red carpets in Shanghai and Beijing. To understand this AI education craze, I found peoples’ fear of being left behind, their religious faith in education, and millions of ordinary people trying to find a place for themselves in a AI future Beijing is summoning on behalf of everyone. ----- Earlier this week, @KaiserKuo and I chatted about this trilogy on the great @SinicaPodcast in detail and some behind-the-scenes stories. You can listen to it now (links in the comments)! Also. Many thanks to my wonderful editor, Joy Shan; my fact-checker, Jessica Suriano; and some friends who read the draft and offered feedback.
2
202
I reckon most teams been working around the Mid-Autumn (September 25–27) and Golden Week (October 1–7) holidays, I wouldn't be surprised if there isn't a flurry soon
The collective silence of all the Chinese frontier labs feels like certain collective explosion approaching.
2
118
I think EUV boils down to a manufacturing problem, precision parts, etc. It’s only a matter of time. And it’s a good thing. Mankind needs lots of high quality and cheap chips
Langdao Silex Tech showcased its Flint-LPP EUV light source @ 2026 CIIF. While FlintNano is already in production, FlintMicro is still been validated. It also has Glow series of MOPA laser of up to 20 kW which seems to be sufficient for commercial lithography machine. I don't think the key here is just how far this system is in commercialization or how its power & conversion efficiency compares to latest ASML machine, but the fact that they are willing to showcase it. Also the fact that HW was talking this wk about EUV being in development in China. These aren't the things that would be happening unless we are getting close. The EUV supply chain wouldn't be displaying their product on their websites prominently unless they are allowed to do so.
3
239
This is the 3rd or 4th tweet I’ve seen where @GoogleDeepMind Argon has had quite an interesting and often better way of reasoning through a problem or approaching it from a very different angle. It goes to show that competition in AI is important, and having different labs produce models with different architectures and training approaches is a huge benefit to society. I find @OpenRouter’s fusion tool very useful. When I use a panel composed of different architectures, I often get much better results than from any one model alone.
Interesting divergence of Gemini 4 Argon from other frontier models on this question
1
176
The home of the brave
Finally, some respect has been put on my name.
119
Wild numbers
I spent ages this morning doing my sums on China's September's trade data but kept having to redo them because I thought - surely they can't be right? China's trade surplus with Germany grew 201.7% in Sept alone (vs Sept 2025) With EU up 52.3% With France up 251.8% Crazy!
1
254