MeusterMint (@meustermint) header
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@polymarket maxi & long-time trader, 2100+ markets traded since August 2024 on main. Undergrad CS! Polymarket challenge is BondSolo and ReinforcementLearning

Joined November 2021
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VERY good article by Forbes: Sprecher was fascinated by Polymarket, Coplan’s blockchain-based prediction market, and after dinner, he made his move: “I asked Shayne if he would consider selling us his company.” Coplan initially turned down Sprecher’s buyout offer. But discussions led to negotiations and eventually a deal.
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DeSantis warned of Tuesday much earlier than everyone else. People following 2025 + Specials saw it coming
Special elections are quirky and not necessarily projectable re: a general election. That said, a swing of this magnitude is not something that can be dismissed. Republicans should be clear-eyed about the political environment heading into the midterms.
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Important to note that this is BEFORE the Iran situation too.
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MeusterMint retweeted
Special elections are quirky and not necessarily projectable re: a general election. That said, a swing of this magnitude is not something that can be dismissed. Republicans should be clear-eyed about the political environment heading into the midterms.
Results - Texas SD 09 - 95% Reported 🔵 Rehmet 57% 🏆 🔴 Wambsganss 43% Money spent 🔴 Wambsganss - $2.4M 🔵 Rehmet - $200K 2022 results - Republicans +20
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1966 Nixon = 2028 Kamala
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Oracle
Replying to @ThomasVLinge
Kamala and DeSantis is my dark horse matchup
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this is where we get rich
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Just be greedy when others are fearful
Glad I bought $MCD at 230 on days like this 🙃
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Last night was special. Election days just never get old for us at Polymarket. Watching regular people experience the beauty of market based forecasts as the results come in. How practically useful it is. How simple it is to interpret. When it clicks, it clicks. It’s now routinely hours between when prediction markets call it versus the TV networks. The networks hold out until absolute certainty, and the suspense keeps it entertaining all night. No knock to them, but now there’s Polymarket, and many people are realizing they want to know what's happening in real time. I know the industry has gained a mixed rap for a variety of reasons, many of which are criticisms with real merit. But I think I speak for both myself and my peers when I say we got into this because we really love the idea of markets being able to place a price on the future (e.g. Democrats had a 92% chance to take the House on Polymarket), and how that can help people better understand what's likely to happen and make decisions accordingly. Our mission is to make sure we deliver on the promise of prediction markets, which was on full display last night. In the midst of so much noise around what we do, the American people get to see what Polymarket is really all about. Feels like one step closer to the dream. Onwards.
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Legend
[SEC-FORM4] *INTEL CORP | CEO TAN LIP BU | BOUGHT $9.71M @ $64.73 | AFTER -40% 5D SELLOFF $INTC
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you didn't need the @ap last night, you needed polymarket
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THE HUGE WIN FOR PREDICTION MARKETS My only take from last night. Both in the runup to the vote and on election night, the prediction markets did exactly what they were supposed to do. A big confident forecast in the runup, and incredibly timely conveying of data as it dropped.
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2027: Return of Kamala
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Cherry on top 😎
Made north of 30k tonight! Main wins tonight: Texas Governor, SC Senator, Senate control, Senate margin, and a Dem Sweep. My only loss was sadly Jolly, who fell short due to the poor candidate choice of Nixon. Here’s my favorite win: Texas Governor going Democrat. If you look on my page, I’ve been saying a D Wave has been undervalued since last year! (Further pushed by Iran) What a day!
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MeusterMint retweeted
I don’t know if this is consensus or not yet but midterms aren’t that big of a deal and won’t matter that much for the stock market outside of basically this week.
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Made north of 30k tonight! Main wins tonight: Texas Governor, SC Senator, Senate control, Senate margin, and a Dem Sweep. My only loss was sadly Jolly, who fell short due to the poor candidate choice of Nixon. Here’s my favorite win: Texas Governor going Democrat. If you look on my page, I’ve been saying a D Wave has been undervalued since last year! (Further pushed by Iran) What a day!
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EVERYTHING BUT JOLLY HIT, GGWP
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BE ON THE SIDE OF FREE MONEY AND NOT GREAT DEBT!
Generational wealth is made by believing in underdog Democrats
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Steve Kornacki getting ready for election night tomorrow.
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