Veteran/ Poet / Not a scientist
Hell
Joined January 2024
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DC retweeted
La zone à +6° d'anomalie de température d'eau de mer face aux côtes #Perú #Ecuador jusqu'aux #Galapagos et au-delà est juste énorme #ElNiño
DC retweeted
Iran Update, November 7, 2026: The United States conducted limited strikes targeting Iranian air defense capabilities on Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz on November 6 amid reports that US officials are considering broader strikes on Iran and continued Iranian attacks on commercial shipping. US President Donald Trump stated on November 6 that US forces conducted “minor” strikes and destroyed a “little” Iranian anti-aircraft system. (1/2)
DC retweeted
TWZ: USS Theodore Roosevelt Arrives In Singapore; Last Stop Before Third Carrier Strike Group Reaches The Middle East
USS Theodore Roosevelt moored at Changi Naval Base in Singapore just before midnight on Thursday (Eastern Time), her final stop before continuing on to the Middle East.
The Theodore Roosevelt Carrier Strike Group (CSG) will join the George H.W. Bush and George Washington CSGs, which are both now prepared, locked, and loaded should the commander in chief follow through on threats to renew military action against Iran after Tuesday’s midterm elections.
Roosevelt and three escorting warships will transit the Strait of Malacca next before heading west toward the U.S. Central Command area of responsibility, a journey that will likely take one to two weeks.
Read my latest report here: twz.com/sea/uss-theodore-roo…
DC retweeted
SUPER EL NIÑO 🔥: ECMWF PAINTS A REMARKABLE WINTER CONTRAST!
The latest ECMWF SEAS5 seasonal outlook (November 1 initialization) shows an extraordinary temperature anomaly pattern for December 2026–February 2027.
Look at the contrast:
🌎 Equatorial Pacific: Exceptionally strong positive temperature anomalies, consistent with a powerful El Niño signal.
🇺🇸 United States: A striking pocket of below-normal temperatures stretches across a large part of the central and southern Lower 48, despite the warmer global background.
Meanwhile, much of Canada, the Arctic and other parts of the Northern Hemisphere remain significantly warmer than normal.
The bigger concern is the potential atmospheric response.
A powerful El Niño can reshape the Pacific jet stream, influencing storm tracks, moisture transport and winter precipitation patterns.
The combination of a warmer background atmosphere and powerful Pacific moisture surges could create significant weather volatility, including heavy precipitation, flooding and potentially major winter storms.
One critical distinction: this is a 51-member seasonal ensemble mean, not a deterministic forecast of individual blizzards or ice storms.
But the temperature pattern is certainly striking.
A warmer planet does not mean everywhere experiences a warmer winter.
This is the kind of atmospheric configuration that deserves close monitoring.
#SuperElNino #ECMWF #Weather #Climate #AgWx
DC retweeted
Yes, there is a chance for a low pressure system to bring mixed precipitation to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast by next weekend. But, there remains a lot of uncertainty. Keep apprised of the latest information at weather.gov
ALT WHAT WE KNOW: A wave of low pressure is likely to develop across the Ohio Valley late Wednesday and then track eastward to off the Mid-Atlantic coast Friday while strengthening. This low pressure will cause expanding precipitation, with rain and high elevation snowfall possible. Much cooler than normal temperatures will accompany this system Friday and through next weekend. WHAT WE DON’T KNOW: The exact placement of the storm — small shifts in the track will greatly change impacts. The amount of snow that may occur, and whether lower elevations will receive any accumulation. The impacts to coastal regions due to gusty winds and onshore flow. BOTTOM LINE: Confidence in storm development is higher than confidence in specific impacts. Forecast details will change over the next several days. Keep up to date with the latest at weather.gov
DC retweeted
🚨BREAKING: US Forces have just launched a land blockade of Iran.
CENTCOM is now attempting to control Iran’s vast border entrances and exits 😬
DC retweeted
🇺🇸🇮🇷 BREAKING: US AIRSTRIKES IN IRAN!
Initial reports indicate that American forces have carried out multiple airstrikes near the Iranian port city of Jask, following alleged launches of anti-ship cruise missiles toward the Strait of Hormuz.
Jask is located near the eastern entrance to the Strait of Hormuz.
DC retweeted
As we enter the final official month of hurricane season, this #FullDiskFriday we are showing daily global composite sea surface temperature anomalies (changes from “average” conditions) mapped on top of an image from @NOAA's #GOESEast (#GOES19) 🛰️. This image shows warmer-than-average waters in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, where an active El Niño is influencing ocean temperatures.
ALT Full-disk image of Earth showing daily global composite sea surface temperature anomalies with the NOAA logo in the bottom left-hand corner.
DC retweeted
New ECMWF data shows the *strongest subtropical jet stream* in its forecast history blowing across the Pacific and U.S. this winter into next spring, with record-strength winds predicted from California to Florida.
There's even a connection to Europe.
El Niño fuels more thunderstorms near the equator, which release heat high into the atmosphere.
That extra warmth strengthens the Hadley circulation and steepens the temperature gradient between the tropics and the mid-latitudes, which strengthens the subtropical jet.
And that's why such a stormy winter is anticipated across the western, southern and eastern United States.
DC retweeted
The latest ECMWF update has interestingly shifted its forecast El Niño peak (+4.1°C) one month later to January.
This likely owes to relentless westerly wind forcing that continues to shift warm water eastward across the Pacific.
El Niño's impacts will extend well into 2027.
DC retweeted
No importa si la metodología del cálculo de las anomalías de las temperaturas del mar sean hechas por los Australianos, los Europeos o los Americanos.
Al final del día lo que importa es la temperatura del mar.
En el centro del Pacífico esa temperatura (Región Niño 3.4) con la data de la #NOAA (oficial) es la mayor observada jamás. Por eso la @WMO y @NOAA estiman que este será el mayor evento #ElNiño observado.
Para los peruanos esto supone un sesgo a menores lluvias en nuestra sierra sur principalmente.
En el Pacífico Oriental (Región Niño 1+2), estamos para la época, igualmente más cálidos que nunca. Aun cuando por la estacionalidad no se ha alcanzado la mayor temperatura en esa región. Sin embargo, es muy probable - según los modelos, que tan bien pronosticaron este #ElNiño - que también termine siendo el más cálido desde que hay registros .
Para #Ecuador y #Perú esto supone lluvias costeras muy severas.
En noviembre, en apenas 3 días de lluvias, #Guayaquil y #Tumbes ya exhiben números elocuentes. Ambas ciudades están a pocos días de completar, desde el 1 de setiembre, lo que debe llover en 1 año.
En particular en #Guayaquil ya llovió el 20% de lo observado entre 1982-83 durante el Gran evento de aquellos años; mientras en #Tumbes, en estos 3 días de noviembre, ya precipitó la mitad de todo lo que llovió en octubre. Notable!
DC retweeted
Sea-surface temperatures in the central & eastern tropical Pacific continue to rise as El Niño approaches its forecast peak in December. El Niño is nearly certain to persist through Feb 2027 and could be one of the strongest since at least 1950. bit.ly/4hFr1XD
