Breakout ⚡️

Bought $AG in Jul 2021. Since then $Silver price has roughly doubled, market cap roughly doubled, CEO & board paid well. Share count nearly doubled from dilution (esp. Gatos). My shares? Flat, down big after inflation. Lesson learned.

King Coal - chart of the day. The Macro W Bottom (decade-long) Blue zig-zag from 2011–2022 formed a classic double bottom / “W.” Resistance sat at $4.57–$5.59. Clearing $5.59 in 2022 flipped the entire long-term structure from bearish to structurally bullish. The Flag / Wedge After topping near $10, price spent ~2 years grinding lower inside a descending black trendline. Textbook bullish flag / falling wedge. Breakout + Retest It has cleanly broken above that black descending line. Current price ~$7.79–$7.80 is a textbook retest — former resistance now acting as support, and so far it’s holding. Key Levels • Must hold: $7.00–$7.50 (the broken trendline) on a monthly close. • Immediate target: $9.42. Clear that and $10+ comes into play. • Longer-term projection: The steep blue diagonal points toward meaningful new highs into 2028 if the broader energy tape stays supportive. As long as price stays above that black downward-sloping line, the bulls remain in full control. One of the cleaner continuation setups on the chart.

The First Majestic $AG share price remains near $17.30 in October 2026, close to the roughly $20 level at the end of 2012. Market capitalisation has roughly tripled from about $2.3–2.4 billion in 2012 to around $8.5 billion now, yet most other metrics have grown substantially more. Revenue has expanded 5x from $247 million in 2012 to $1.26 billion in 2025 and about $1.64 billion on a trailing basis, while free cash flow has moved ~9x from negative $39 million to positive $315 million in 2025 and strongly positive recently.

$CRSP - Chart of the Day feat. Wyckoff accumulation: - Long markdown. - Cause built for years inside the box. - Spring flushed the weak hands in 2025. - Price is now sitting above that low, holding the $45 line, coiling under resistance. Very much Phase D behaviour. The spring is in. Supply is getting absorbed. Volume is showing up on the green days. All that’s left is the Sign of Strength through the top of the range. - $45 holds = the setup is alive. - Lose $45 = it was just another range.

Share-accretion ranking across the AI/HPC miner group - measuring whether additional equity has translated into more operating capacity, revenue/EBITDA and contracted value per share, not just bigger headline numbers: 1. $HIVE — 72/100 Best realised operating accretion. HIVE has diluted heavily, but it has already converted capital into a much larger mining fleet, sharply higher revenue and positive adjusted EBITDA. The caveat: most earnings are still Bitcoin-mining led; HPC remains early. 2. $IREN — 66/100 Best forward accretion potential, but weakest historical per-share proof. IREN’s dilution has been extreme, yet it has built a far larger AI-cloud revenue and contracted-ARR pipeline. It ranks below HIVE because execution, capex and further ATM dilution risk remain high. 3. $HUT — 54/100 Lower dilution than HIVE and IREN, with substantial power and AI-data-centre optionality. But the per-share earnings conversion is less visible today: the market still needs proof that its powered land, development pipeline and financing structure turn into sustained cash flow per share. 4. $GLXY — 51/100 Lowest dilution risk, but less direct operating accretion. Galaxy has a diversified platform—trading, asset management, investment banking and Helios infrastructure—so a mining-style capacity-per-share framework understates some value. It needs to be judged more on NAV/share, fee earnings/share and Helios monetisation. Bottom line: $HIVE has delivered the clearest *realised* per-share operating build; $IREN has the strongest *forward* upside if its AI contracts ramp as planned. $HUT and $GLXY carry less dilution pressure but have more to prove on near-term per-share cash-flow conversion.

The 2024 $silver deficit narrative hasn’t vanished. Peak shortfall was 254 Moz in 2022. Then: 2023: –200 2024: –138 2025: –40.3 2026F: –46.3 Six years running. Cumulative drawdown since 2021: 762 Moz — roughly a full year of mine supply. High prices cut jewelry, silverware and solar loadings. Recycling rose. Mine output barely moved (most silver is a byproduct). Inventories got thinner anyway. That’s why London seized up in 2025 even as the annual gap shrank. 2027–29: still expected in deficit. No official year-by-year numbers, but Metals Focus says a swing to surplus would take an extreme mix of more supply and less demand. Structural tightness isn’t gone. It’s just quieter on the spreadsheet.

They are laying it out for you in plain sight #gold #btc

#Breakout chart of the day 👀🚀 Aussie gold company recently went into production. Fifteen years to round out the bottom, broke out, now back to kiss the line. This is the retest, not the fail. DM for ticker.