Assistant Professor @Ipol_UnB || Prev: DataSci @CSMAP_NYU & Stats @LAPOP_Lab || Ph.D. @SBUPoliSci || Political Psychology & Online Behavior 🇧🇷 🇺🇸
Joined April 2010
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Robert Vidigal retweeted
Uma das razões que explica porque os analistas políticos não previram a virada de Lula no 2oT se deve à aceitação (acrítica) da narrativa da direita sobre o 1oturno. Acreditaram que FB tinha um voto ideológico e muito cristalizado e na decadência de longo prazo da esquerda 1/4
Robert Vidigal retweeted
🚨 ESTREIA HOJE, ÀS 17H!
🔴 APURAÇÃO AO VIVO NO POLLINGDATA
Vamos acompanhar o 2º turno minuto a minuto, com projeções baseadas nos dados do TSE e apontar o vencedor até 1 hora antes da confirmação matemática!
📊 Acompanhe ao vivo:
flex.pollingdata.com.br/pdvo…
#Eleições2026
Robert Vidigal retweeted
QUEM REPRESENTA MAIOR RISCO À DEMOCRACIA, LULA OU FLÁVIO BOLSONARO?
Pedi à IA do Google que lesse vários artigos científicos sobre erosão da democracia, considerasse resultados do 1o turno e fatos recentes e montasse um script de vídeo . Com o script, montei esse vídeo aqui:
Robert Vidigal retweeted
🇧🇷 Reminder! Join us this Thursday, Oct. 22, for a discussion of new #AmericasBarometer findings on democracy in Brazil.
In partnership with @usponline, @KelloggInst and @KeoughGlobal.
🔴 Tune in live! Details below 👇
🇧🇷 Ahead of a presidential runoff, what do Brazilians think about democracy?
Join us Thurs., Oct. 22 at @usponline for new #AmericasBarometer findings with @RobbVidi, Marta Arretche, & Nara Pavão.
🕠 5:30 p.m. Brasília | 4:30 p.m. ET
🔴 Watch live: youtube.com/live/PSfw6ewSzvE
Robert Vidigal retweeted
📢 Join us this Wednesday, Oct. 21, for our next #WISM!
🎤 @lschiume (University of Notre Dame)
🕚 11 a.m. CT
💻 Free & virtual via Zoom
Sign up to receive the Zoom invitation and join the conversation on international survey methods!
🔗 vanderbilt.edu/cgd/workshop-…
Robert Vidigal retweeted
New Free Systems research:
AI agents can reinforce one another’s false beliefs, even when new evidence points the other way.
In our experiment, giving agents a shared message board made an early misbelief persist, compared with agents working independently from the same evidence.
Robert Vidigal retweeted
What a great opportunity to take the pulse of the region! New data from @pewresearch & @LAPOP_Lab + historical dat from @RoperCenter @AmericasyMundo should come in handy.
📢CALL FOR PAPERS: Special Issue
LATIN AMERICAN PUBLIC OPINION TOWARDS THE UNITED STATES: Patterns, Determinants & Consequences
CO-EDITORS
Orlando J. Pérez @Perez1oj
Dinorah Azpuru
Gerardo Maldonado @yogerardomh
Federico Merke
Proposal deadline 1 Dec 2026 rlop.usal.es/index.php/2026/…
Robert Vidigal retweeted
New in @ForeignAffairs: Will Freeman draws on 2026 #AmericasBarometer data to examine Cuba’s deepening economic and institutional crisis.
This is the first AmericasBarometer round to include Cuba, offering new insight into public opinion on the island.
“Repression is the only thing the Cuban state still does well,” writes @WillGFreeman. “This owes less to any apparent abundance of resources than to the leadership’s entirely rational unity.”
foreignaffairs.com/cuba/cuba…
Robert Vidigal retweeted
Report on Democracy in Latin America
The annual report of @LAPOP_Lab - sponsored by @VU_CGD and @KelloggInst - has just been released.
It presents and analyzes the AmericasBarometer survey data for 2026. A great resource.
Download: vanderbilt.edu/cgd/resource/…
Robert Vidigal retweeted
The 2026 Pulse of Democracy (@LAPOP_Lab's AmericasBarometer) finds ideological self-placement on the right barely moved in two decades, 31–34% for most of that span, ticking up to just 36% in 2026, even as right-wing candidates swept every competitive presidential election in the region since 2025.
As I argued @wpreview in July, Latin American electorates are doing what they've done for 30 years: punishing whoever holds power when crime rises and the economy disappoints, a standing referendum on whether the government of the day delivers.
The same anti-incumbent reflex that elected Fujimori, de la Espriella and Kast will turn on them the moment crime or prices move the wrong way. worldpoliticsreview.com/lati…
Robert Vidigal retweeted
New public opinion polling reveals that Cuban citizens primarily blame their government, rather than the U.S., for the island’s current economic collapse. The findings come from the 2026 AmericasBarometer, which collected public opinion data in Cuba for the first time.
Robert Vidigal retweeted
Marisa Abrajano, Marianna Garcia, Aaron Pope, @RobbVidi & Jonathan Nagler find significant post-Dobbs knowledge gaps: Latinos, especially foreign-born Latinos, are more likely to overestimate the strictness of their state’s abortion laws.
Read more here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.…
Robert Vidigal retweeted
Did podcasts really swing young men to Trump in 2024? We assembled the data to find out, and we are presenting it at APSA this Saturday, Sept 5, 2 to 3:30pm. Long awaited working paper link also attached below! If you have seen this before, we have new data, come check it out.
Robert Vidigal retweeted
Are voters myopic? In our newest publication, Markus Prior and I find that what looks like short-sightedness in retrospection may actually be a genuine preference for improvement over time. Read more in the @apsrjournal: cambridge.org/core/journals/…
Robert Vidigal retweeted
Applications are open for our new mentorship program!
We are launching a program to connect PhD candidates and postdocs studying authoritarian politics with volunteer mentors who provide research and professional guidance.
To find more info and apply: apsg.work/apsg-mentorship-pr…
Robert Vidigal retweeted
A Palver publica hoje sua primeira pesquisa pré-eleitoral demonstrando, em minha opinião, um grande diferencial perante aos institutos de pesquisa brasileiros: um compromisso com a honestidade e, acima de tudo, completa transparência metodológica. Segue um fio sobre isso: 🧵+
Robert Vidigal retweeted
“Just collect more data” is one of the most common responses to uncertainty in quantitative research.
But in a lot of social science, that advice is impossible—or even misleading. Our new working paper asks: when has a study reached its information limit?
Robert Vidigal retweeted
🚨 I'm recruiting 2 postdoctoral researchers for the @ldnsocmedobs, to be based at the @UniofOxford. These are both full-time positions for 2 years. Deadline for applications: June 23. Expected start date: September 2026. 🔁 Please share and help me spread the word! 🚀
Robert Vidigal retweeted
⏰ Reminder: The deadline to submit proposals for the 2027 #AmericasBarometer is 1 WEEK away - May 25, 2026!
With @KelloggInst, we invite proposals for survey questions, modules, & experiments on democracy & political behavior across the Americas.
📄:
vanderbilt.edu/lapop/2027Ame…