Praize_Jr(♟,♟) (@PraizeJR) header
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Markets, data, maths & crypto

onchain
Joined January 2022
Photo by Praize_Jr(♟,♟) (@PraizeJR)Photo by Praize_Jr(♟,♟) (@PraizeJR)Photo by Praize_Jr(♟,♟) (@PraizeJR)Photo by Praize_Jr(♟,♟) (@PraizeJR)Photo by Praize_Jr(♟,♟) (@PraizeJR)Photo by Praize_Jr(♟,♟) (@PraizeJR)Photo by Praize_Jr(♟,♟) (@PraizeJR)Photo by Praize_Jr(♟,♟) (@PraizeJR)Photo by Praize_Jr(♟,♟) (@PraizeJR)Photo by Praize_Jr(♟,♟) (@PraizeJR)
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Replying to @Grace_Jhayy
you know ball
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Before the APY, ask for: → Starting LTV → Liquidation threshold → Who can liquidate, and when → Top-up mechanics → How fast deployed assets turn to cash Weekly BTC credit research from here. Follow if that’s useful
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Why this matters for yield products: Anything that borrows against BTC to fund a strategy inherits this math. You can have a healthy spread and still get squeezed on collateral. Two risks, not one: the spread AND the buffer. Top-ups will only work if you can raise cash fast.
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Now apply a 26% drop: 30% LTV → 40.5% 40% → 54.1% 50% → 67.6% 60% → 81.1% ⚠️ past the line 70% → 94.6% ⚠️ That’s point-to-point. Intra-year drawdowns can run deeper than the YoY number.
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Illustrative, assuming an 80% liquidation threshold (real ones vary by lender): Start at 30% LTV → BTC can fall 62.5% 40% → 50% 50% → 37.5% 60% → 25% 70% → 12.5% Higher starting LTV, thinner cushion. Fast.
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The mechanics: LTV = loan ÷ collateral value BTC falls → LTV rises. Liquidation hits when LTV reaches the lender’s threshold. Buffer before liquidation = 1 − (starting LTV ÷ liquidation LTV)
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bitcoin:native is down ~26% over the past year. If you borrowed against it, what happened to your buffer? An attempt to break down the math every BTC-backed borrower should run 🧵
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DeFi is starting to eat Wall Street’s lunch
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new website looks clean
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Replying to @sadiq_u_know
may he find eternal rest
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putting $BTC to work, absolute game changer
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Replying to @brianchoffman
what do you think it looks like now?
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Praize_Jr(♟,♟) retweeted
POV: You invested just $10 a month into Bitcoin since it launched.
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Replying to @Grace_Jhayy
May the yields be high and the gas fees low. Have a great week!
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borrow at 7.5% earn 3.5% in T-bills call it "carry" that’s not carry, that’s a subscription happy sunday CT
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Replying to @0xPrajal
prime time!
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Replying to @treeonchain
change is often scary and uncomfortable, probably why
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This doesn’t mean we can predict every market move. But regime models can help us study changing volatility, liquidity conditions and trading behavior. I’m exploring the mathematics behind these models as part of my quant journey.
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