Politics, Sports, AI (views are my own)
New York, NY
Joined October 2012
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I think final margin will be around KLB +3. Feel free to call me out if I’m wrong.
🚨FINAL GEORGIA POLL🚨
Governor
🔵Keisha Lance Bottoms 50%
🔴Rick Jackson 47%
⚪️DK/DR 4%
Lieutenant Governor
🔵Josh McLaurin 49%
🔴Greg Dolezal 45%
⚪️DK/DR 6%
Attorney General
🔵Tanya Miller 49%
🔴Brian Strickland 45%
⚪️DK/DR 5%
Secretary of State
🔵Penny Brown Reynolds 49%
🔴Tim Fleming 45%
⚪️DK/DR 6%
State House Generic Ballot
🔵Democrats 51%
🔴Republicans 44%
⚪️DK/DR 5%
articles.statenavigate.com/g…
Nar retweeted
This is extremely dirty politics, but both parties do it wherever they can.
We should find ways to make it illegal.
SCOOP: Democrats have insisted they have nothing to do with the other Dan Sullivan on Alaska's Senate ballot.
But aides with the Mary Peltola campaign and DSCC were part of a monthslong secret plan to recruit him to run -- as well as other candidates.
nytimes.com/2026/10/28/us/po…
I don’t know the political impact of this tbh. However, I am skeptical voters will care about inside baseball stuff
1. This is politics.
2. Needs to have better Dem staffers. This staffer that got fired clearly wants Peltola to lose and is doing everything in her power to make that happen.
NYT: Inside Democrats’ Secret Effort to Stack Alaska’s Ballot
Operatives aligned with Mary Peltola, the Democratic nominee for Senate, spent months recruiting candidates to peel votes from Senator Dan Sullivan, the Republican.
In the summer of 2025, a staffer for Mary Peltola, the Alaska Democrat who was eyeing a run for Senate, received unusual instructions from top campaign aides: Find as many people named Dan Sullivan in Alaska as you can.
nytimes.com/2026/10/28/us/po…
Nar retweeted
Trump’s commentary on men’s physiques gets more homoerotic by the day, but his absolute revulsion at Ken Paxton’s appearance remains unwavering.
Isn't there a risk that rural turnout really crumbles in ED heavy states which can cause some pain for Rs?
Nar retweeted
The funny thing is that all the swing state electorates were completely winnable for Ds
Ds won the senate races in NV//WI/MI/AZ! Harris got absolutely killed on persuasion
Nar retweeted
My guess is Graham ultimately wins by around 4%
And probably gets primaried regardless in 6 years
Nar retweeted
A reminder their final poll of the SC senate race 6 years ago was about 4% off
Which isn’t far off from your normal margin of error
Also being an appointed incumbent can sometimes be a drag not a benefit
